This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $425K lifetime. They have traded across 120 events with the same 85% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge. Buying No at 74¢ means they are backing Villarreal not to win despite recent price movement against Yes.

Part of: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,440.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought No on Villarreal winning at 74¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $286k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 109 events with the same 94% hit rate.
Bought No at 74¢, betting Villarreal is being overrated despite a liquid order book.

$1,036 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

85% winner buying No

Sharp, highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 85% record is buying No at 74¢ on a liquid soccer market.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $425K lifetime.
They have traded across 120 events with the same 85% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Buying No at 74¢ means they are backing Villarreal not to win despite recent price movement against Yes.

$2,368 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor put a large net No position into a very quiet soccer market, though the opposing Yes fill makes the signal less clean.

This bettor has won 60% of 114 resolved trades and is up about $95k lifetime.
They have traded across 71 events, suggesting an experienced cross-market sports bettor rather than a one-off whale.
The larger fill is a $13.8k No buy in a market with only about $496 of 24h volume.

$17,036 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

0xb184...b6c6 — Outcome 27506689, $3,704 (77% win rate)
0x203d...2b2c — Outcome 27506689, $3,647 (43% win rate)
0xc294...570e — Outcome 27506689, $3,111 (81% win rate)
0x19e2...ce3c — Outcome 27506689, $2,862 (41% win rate)
0x04b9...79e0 — Outcome 27506689, $1,999 (64% win rate)
0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 27506689, $1,971
0x005c...a987 — Outcome 27506689, $1,810
0xc686...5a55 — Outcome 27506689, $1,500 (22% win rate)
0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 27506689, $1,406 (83% win rate)
0x3bbb...48f2 — Outcome 27506689, $1,222

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?

ResolvedRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF$20,440 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If Villarreal CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

102¢

82¢

63¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction