Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for April 19 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester City FC and Arsenal FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $797,588.
Categories: EPL, Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League
Notable Trades
Sharp-led Under surge
Five wallets piled into Under and helped drive the market from roughly 40% to 84%, led by at least one very strong long-term bettor with a 73% win rate across 654 resolved bets.
- A bettor who wins 73% of 654 resolved trades bought Under at 40¢, and that price is now 84¢
- Five wallets all landed on the same side for $7.6k total, pushing Under up about 35 points
- The same trading group has a broad cross-market track record: 382 events, 502 markets, and a 73% win rate
$7,556 on Under
Sharp bettor led Under cluster
A 3-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Under, led by a highly profitable 73% win-rate bettor who got in before a sharp move from roughly 40¢ to 72¢.
- A bettor who wins 73% of 654 resolved trades and is up $339k bought Under at 40¢ before it jumped to 72¢
- Three wallets put about $5k on the same side in a short window, and one trade was effectively the same Under bet via selling Over
- The market moved hard right after these trades, suggesting real conviction rather than routine activity
$5,014 on Under
Profitable new wallet betting big
A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profitability made another sizable buy, though the market has since moved sharply against this specific Over entry.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made 10 large flagged bets totaling $34k and is up about $4k early
- The bettor is 3 for 3 on resolved markets so far, which makes the repeat sizing more worth tracking
- This was a $1.2k buy, but they paid 59¢ and the market is now 28¢, so the entry looks badly timed despite the wallet's early hot streak
$1,236 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
80% winner flips to Under
A high-volume sports bettor with an 80% hit rate sold Over at 40¢, which translates to buying Under around 60¢ in a liquid match total market.
- This bettor wins 80% of their resolved trades across 317 bets, a rare long-term hit rate.
- Their sale of Over at 40¢ is effectively a buy on Under at 60¢, close to the current 64¢ market price.
- The bet is on a major Premier League market, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than random whale activity.
$2,480 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%
New whale piling into Over
A very new but already highly profitable wallet piled $321k into Over late in a live Premier League total, joined by two other wallets, and the market ripped from 29-51¢ entries to 66¢ within minutes.
- This 11-day-old wallet is already up $1.07M and has won all 4 of its resolved bets
- It bought $321k of Over in the final minutes, including fills at 29¢ that are now worth 66¢
- Three wallets lined up on the same side, and market volume exploded while price jumped 40 points in a day
$321,129 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
New live-sports whale
A very new but already highly profitable wallet piled nearly $360k into Over minutes before resolution, alongside 2 other wallets on the same side, making this a strong live-sports conviction signal despite the trade now being underwater.
- This 11-day-old wallet has already made over $1.06M profit and is 4 for 4 on resolved bets
- It bought nearly $360k of Over in the final 15 minutes, including a $200.6k order just minutes before the match resolved
- Three wallets lined up on Over for $248k+, showing coordinated conviction rather than a lone punt
$359,945 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new whale reloads
A very new but already highly profitable wallet put nearly $99k into Over on a major Premier League totals market during a huge volume spike, showing unusual conviction despite the price moving sharply against its earlier entries.
- This 11-day-old wallet is already up $1.07M and has been flagged 254 times for large bets.
- They put nearly $99k into Over across 6 buys, including repeated adds after earlier 50¢ entries fell to 28¢.
- Market volume ran 134x above normal, so this bet landed during a real surge of action rather than quiet noise.
$98,563 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp sports bettor
A high-volume sports bettor with an 80% win rate and strong edge bought Over at 27¢, making this a credible sharp-positioning signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 80% of their trades across 317 settled markets
- They beat market odds by 31% on average, which points to real edge rather than lucky favorites
- Bought Over at 27¢, a cheap entry that implies they see the true chances much higher
$1,663 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x36a3...fafb — Over, $413,658 (100% win rate)
- 0xfea3...d227 — Under, $344,828 (56% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Under, $30,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Under, $19,709 (55% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Over, $9,273
- 0x7236...ea53 — Under, $8,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x0a26...1851 — Under, $6,659 (73% win rate)
- 0x374a...03ed — Under, $6,000 (96% win rate)
- 0xe0ee...e8d1 — Over, $5,705 (100% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Over, $5,669 (51% win rate)
