What is the Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend prediction market?

It is a tennis prediction market on which player will advance in the Istanbul 3 match: Yanki Erel or Jay Dylan Friend.

Who are smart money bettors backing in this match?

The listed smart money alerts show multiple bettors adding to or buying Jay Dylan Friend, including bettors with reported win rates of 95% and 93%.

When was the Istanbul 3 match scheduled?

The match was originally scheduled for September 11, 2026, at 3:00 AM ET.

How does this market resolve?

The market resolves to Yanki Erel if he advances and to Jay Dylan Friend if he advances. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or no winner is determined by the stated deadline, the exchange's fallback resolution rules apply.

When does the market resolve?

The listed market resolution date is September 18, 2026. Its rules also reference a September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline for determining a winner.

Part of: Istanbul 3: Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend

Istanbul 3: Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend

This Polymarket tennis market tracks the Istanbul 3 match between Yanki Erel and Jay Dylan Friend, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; recent smart money activity has favored Jay Dylan Friend, with the market scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026, subject to its stated fallback rules.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,307.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

95% win-rate bettor adds to Jay Dylan Friend

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding $2,350 to an existing Jay Dylan Friend position in a relatively thin market.

This bettor has won 444 of 466 resolved trades and is up $445,567 lifetime.
They added $2,350 to an existing Jay Dylan Friend position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
The bet consumes more than the market's recent trading volume, while the bettor's average winning entry is only 45%.

$3,739 on Jay Dylan Friend | Wallet win rate: 95%

93% winner buys Jay Dylan Friend

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and 41% average entry made a fresh $1,000 bet on Jay Dylan Friend, which has since risen to 55%.

This bettor has won 93% of 2,639 resolved positions and earned $2.28 million in profit.
The fresh $1,000 bet bought Jay Dylan Friend at 41%, while the market now prices the outcome near 55%.
With 643 events and 755 markets traded, this is a highly experienced serial bettor rather than a one-off wager.

$3,218 on Jay Dylan Friend | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% winner buys Jay Dylan Friend

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and 41% average entry made a fresh $1,000 bet on Jay Dylan Friend, which has since risen to 55%.

This bettor has won 93% of 2,639 resolved positions and earned $2.28 million in profit.
The fresh $1,000 bet bought Jay Dylan Friend at 41%, while the market now prices the outcome near 55%.
With 643 events and 755 markets traded, this is a highly experienced serial bettor rather than a one-off wager.

$1,000 on Jay Dylan Friend | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp bettor scaling into Jay Dylan Friend

A proven 88% bettor with substantial positive edge added $1,000 to Jay Dylan Friend before a sharp price decline.

This bettor has won 88% of 16 resolved trades and is up $2,335.
They added $1,000 to an existing Jay Dylan Friend position at 49¢, showing increased conviction.
The position was placed before Jay Dylan Friend fell sharply, creating a potentially attractive entry if the move was overdone.

$1,000 on Jay Dylan Friend | Wallet win rate: 88%

95% win-rate bettor adds to Jay Dylan Friend

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding $2,350 to an existing Jay Dylan Friend position in a relatively thin market.

This bettor has won 444 of 466 resolved trades and is up $445,567 lifetime.
They added $2,350 to an existing Jay Dylan Friend position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
The bet consumes more than the market's recent trading volume, while the bettor's average winning entry is only 45%.

$2,350 on Jay Dylan Friend | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11020556, $28,407 (65% win rate)
0xde80...d8b9 — Outcome 11020556, $3,043 (61% win rate)
0xa283...61e5 — Outcome 11020556, $2,000 (77% win rate)
0xd788...fc62 — Outcome 11020556, $667
0x9086...4d46 — Outcome 11020556, $625
0x5c18...2f76 — Outcome 11020556, $188
0xd9e0...05f2 — Outcome 11020556, $147 (51% win rate)
0x5cc8...a0e4 — Outcome 11020556, $143
0x5e02...b178 — Outcome 11020556, $136
0xfea6...b795 — Outcome 11020556, $116

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Istanbul 3: Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend

6dIstanbul 3: Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend$11,307 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Yanki Erel and Jay Dylan Friend in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanki Erel' if Yanki Erel advances against Jay Dylan Friend. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Yanki Erel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Jay Dylan Friend”

102¢

77¢

52¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction