Part of: Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $118,511.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
4-wallet underdog cluster
Four wallets piled into the underdog No side for $7.6k while Atlético was priced at 78%, including a repeat new wallet and cross-market positioning across the same event.
- Four wallets all took the No side in a short burst for $7.6k while the market still gave Atlético a 78% chance to win.
- One of the bettors is a 9-day-old wallet already making repeat large bets, which can signal fresh conviction.
- Most of the flow came from selling Yes at 77-78¢, which is equivalent to buying No around 22-23¢.
$8,003 on No
91% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.0M P&L just put $6.8k on No in a major soccer market after a sharp move against Atlético.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.0M lifetime across nearly 900 bets
- They track 212 events and 269 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off wager
- They bought No at 78¢ after Atlético dropped 27 points in a day, backing the favorite even after the big move
$6,836 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Late coordinated sports bettor
Surface this because a serial cross-market sports trader joined coordinated late money 2 minutes before resolution by effectively buying No at 50¢, alongside a strong pre-event volume spike.
- This wallet has bet across 55 events for nearly $298k and wins 64% of the time.
- The trade came just 2 minutes before resolution, effectively buying No at 50¢.
- Three wallets piled into the same side for $42.2k as market volume ran 181x above normal.
$6,073 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
3-wallet sharp cluster
Three wallets, including a serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate, coordinated into Yes with nearly $7k, making this cluster worth monitoring despite the market moving sharply against their 45¢ entries.
- Three wallets piled into Yes within minutes for $6.9k total, including one bettor who has traded 336 markets across 271 events.
- One wallet wins 84% of resolved bets across 694 decisions, and two of the wallets are linked by the same funder.
- They bought at 45¢ while the market now sits near 22¢, so this is a high-conviction stance against a big recent price drop.
$6,939 on Yes
91% winner buys the dip
Three wallets piled into Atlético de Madrid Yes after a sharp 30-point selloff, led by a bettor with a 91% win rate and over $2.0M in profit, making this a notable contrarian cluster.
- A bettor who wins 91% of their trades and is up $2.0M lifetime led most of this cluster's $13.6k position.
- All 3 wallets bet the same side after Yes crashed about 30 points in a day to 18¢, a clear buy-the-dip setup.
- The lead wallet sold No at 79-81¢, which is the same as buying Yes around 19-21¢.
$13,625 on Yes
Sharp 77% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 77% win rate across 1,018 resolved positions bought Yes at 48¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest stake.
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up $1.7M across more than 1,000 resolved bets
- Their average winning entry is just 30¢, so buying at 48¢ suggests they still see clear value here
- They have traded 392 markets across 368 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
$1,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
89% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 89% win rate and $1.38M in realized P&L just made a large $62.7k bet on No in Atlético Madrid, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.38M lifetime.
- They just put $62.7k on No at 53¢, a large fresh position from a proven winner.
- This wallet has traded 121 markets across 103 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
$62,703 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
89% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp sports-style bettor with an 89% win rate sold No at 51¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 49¢, on a liquid market near current price.
- This bettor wins 89% of their resolved trades and is up $62k across 97 settled positions.
- They have repeated this pattern across 30 events and 32 markets, suggesting a real edge rather than a one-off hit.
- Selling No at 51¢ is the same as buying Yes at 49¢, almost exactly where the market is trading now.
$3,560 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable new whale
A 6-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits bought nearly $10k of No, suggesting a new high-conviction bettor worth tracking despite limited resolved history.
- This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 10 large-bet alerts and is up $16.6k early
- They put nearly $9.8k on No in a single trade, showing concentrated conviction rather than small probing
- The bet came around 53¢ in a liquid soccer market, a level that implies they see Atletico as overpriced
$9,756 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x4d30...a42d — Outcome 11538527, $156,441 (89% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 11538527, $128,636 (53% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 11538527, $119,894 (63% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 11538527, $36,786 (96% win rate)
- 0x4912...b76f — Outcome 11538527, $30,273 (90% win rate)
- 0x29cc...3c29 — Outcome 11538527, $29,850 (95% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 11538527, $29,610 (87% win rate)
- 0xbe87...6fc0 — Outcome 11538527, $29,284 (87% win rate)
- 0x54d2...de22 — Outcome 11538527, $18,629 (80% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 11538527, $17,580 (91% win rate)
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