Part of: Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,907.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Tennis steam from serial bettors
Coordinated tennis flow from serial cross-market bettors pushed Cerundolo from mid-prices to 100%, though the live edge is likely gone now.
- Three wallets bet the same way for $7K, all backing Cerundolo as the market rapidly moved to 100%.
- Two bettors are high-volume sports traders with 155+ and 197+ prior event bets tracked.
- This looks like a successful steam move, but the market is already at 100% so it is mainly useful to follow or study.
$7,042 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo
80% winner tennis sharp
Sharp, profitable sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate bought $11k of Raphael Collignon amid a major volume spike and rapid price move.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $113k lifetime.
- They bought $11k of Raphael Collignon at 67–69¢ as the price jumped to 70¢.
- This wallet is a serial sports trader across 108 events with nearly $1.5M deployed.
$11,000 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 80%
Volume spike toward favorite
Surfaced for a 50x pre-match volume spike plus a rapid move toward Collignon, though the specific wallet is active but not clearly profitable.
- A 50x burst of pre-match trading hit this market, with money pushing toward Raphael Collignon.
- Collignon’s price jumped about 15 percentage points in under 3 minutes, suggesting fast one-sided momentum.
- The bettor is highly experienced across 155 events, though their lifetime results are slightly negative.
$1,111 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 70%
Tennis momentum spike
Surface as a market-momentum alert: Collignon saw a huge pre-event volume spike and rapid price move, though the wallet itself is not a proven profitable sharp.
- Collignon drew a 109x pre-event volume spike with 14 trades hitting the market.
- The price jumped 14.5 percentage points in under 3 minutes, suggesting fast one-way momentum.
- This bettor is highly active across 155 events and bought Collignon at 67¢.
$1,111 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable tennis cluster
Three profitable, high-volume tennis bettors clustered on Cerundolo, including one wallet up $9.6M lifetime, though the market has moved against their entries so far.
- Three wallets are all buying Cerundolo, with two winning about 72–73% of resolved bets.
- The strongest wallet is up $9.6M lifetime across more than 6,000 resolved markets.
- This is a coordinated $4.4K position at an average entry near 51¢, while Cerundolo is now available around 44¢.
$4,413 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Profitable sports regular on momentum
A massively experienced, profitable sports trader bought Collignon during a sharp upward move, though the individual bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has 30,675 resolved trades and is up about $2.5M lifetime.
- Collignon jumped 14.5 percentage points in under 3 minutes, and this wallet bought into the move at 52¢.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so the move looks like real momentum rather than just a thin-book spike.
$1,040 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 55%
97% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Cerundolo at 43%, making the wallet track record strong enough to surface despite the price slipping to 40%.
- This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved bets and is up $70k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market sports track record: 30 events, 97% winners, and $75k traded in similar patterns.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they see Cerundolo as meaningfully undervalued versus the market near 40¢.
$2,252 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable wallets buying together
Three wallets, including a highly profitable whale, bought the same tennis side and helped move Collignon up 14.5 percentage points in minutes.
- A whale bettor with $9.6M lifetime profit joined this move on Collignon.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $5.1K, helping push the price up 14.5 points in under 3 minutes.
- One newer wallet is already up $469 across 9 positions, adding to the coordinated signal.
$5,066 on Raphael Collignon
Profitable new tennis wallet
A newly active, already profitable wallet bought Collignon as the market moved sharply upward, giving this tennis trade a plausible informed-momentum setup despite the modest size.
- This new wallet is already up $469 after 8 resolved bets and is taking Collignon at 70¢.
- Collignon jumped 14.5 percentage points in under 3 minutes, suggesting fast one-way momentum.
- The market is fairly liquid, so a $1.6K buy looks more like conviction than random noise.
$1,572 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 43%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $350k lifetime profit bought Collignon in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 499 wins on 681 resolved bets and $350k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 425 events with $1.8M in detected volume.
- A $2.3k buy in a $9.4k-volume tennis market shows meaningful conviction on Collignon.
$2,300 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x4f75...af7e — Outcome 88814915, $21,538 (80% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 88814915, $15,360 (55% win rate)
- 0xcf03...5b17 — Outcome 88814915, $5,000
- 0x0a26...1851 — Outcome 88814915, $3,286 (77% win rate)
- 0x4e9c...1fca — Outcome 88814915, $1,530 (100% win rate)
- 0x6f3c...786d — Outcome 88814915, $973 (100% win rate)
- 0xa6c3...55a3 — Outcome 88814915, $905 (59% win rate)
- 0x5839...2c33 — Outcome 88814915, $539 (82% win rate)
- 0x3252...1d21 — Outcome 88814915, $404
- 0xca7e...b68e — Outcome 88814915, $301
Related Theses
Bitcoin stays below 70K
Covers 5 related markets
Bitcoin rallies above $70,000
Covers 5 related markets
