Part of: Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,181.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Elite serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 70% win rate bought Timberwolves at 80% and the market has since moved to 98%.

  • This bettor is up $2.85M lifetime with a 70% win rate across nearly 5,000 resolved bets.
  • They have traded 522 events and are positioning across 5 markets in this same game, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • They bought Timberwolves at 80¢ before the line moved to 98¢, showing strong confirmation from the market.

$4,210 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Surface: a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% record is effectively buying Timberwolves while three wallets pushed the same side sharply upward.

  • A bettor up $311K lifetime is effectively buying Timberwolves after a 74% record across 313 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets all backed Timberwolves, moving the price about 17 points during the alert window.
  • The sharpest wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 592 events with $7.1M in tracked volume.

$4,380 on Timberwolves

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with 1,077 resolved bets and nearly $193k profit bought Spurs -4.5 at 54%, making the wallet track record the main signal despite a modest composite score.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 1,077 resolved bets and is up about $193k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 55 events, with over $203k flagged in similar positioning.
  • Bought Spurs at 54¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢, suggesting early confirmation.

$1,963 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 61%

New repeat whale

A 1-day-old wallet has now made multiple large flagged bets totaling $18.8k, adding a $3.7k Spurs spread position despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A brand-new wallet is making repeat large bets, with $18.8k total flagged in just over a day.
  • This is a fresh $3.7k buy on Spurs at 53¢ in a very liquid NBA spread market.
  • Entry at 53¢ implies they see Spurs -4.5 as better than a coin-flip despite the market already moving up 3 points today.

$3,710 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with strong realized profit bought Spurs -4.5 amid a pre-game volume spike, though the market is highly liquid and the trade size is modest relative to liquidity.

  • This bettor has a long track record across 126 events and is up about $571K lifetime.
  • They win 63% of resolved bets across 232 results, with over $7.7M deployed.
  • Bought Spurs at 53¢ as pre-game volume jumped 11.6x above normal.

$5,400 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 71%

New repeat Spurs bettor

A brand-new wallet is making repeat four-figure Spurs spread bets ahead of a high-volume NBA market, with early profit but limited track record.

  • This wallet is less than 1 day old and has already made multiple flagged bets totaling $3.3K.
  • The bettor’s only resolved trade won, producing about $1.7K profit on $4K invested.
  • Market volume is spiking 17.8x before tipoff, and this trade buys Spurs at 53¢.

$2,120 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 100%

82-0 sports sharp

Elite sports wallet with an 82-0 resolved record and serial cross-market success bought Timberwolves +4.5 amid a large pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is 82-for-82 on resolved positions and is up $228,951 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events with a perfect tracked record.
  • Entry at 47¢ on Timberwolves +4.5 implies they see value against the current 46¢ market.

$3,290 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable sports wallets aligned

Four profitable high-volume sports wallets, including a 79% winner and a $2.85M lifetime P&L bettor, bought $15k of Spurs -4.5 in coordinated one-sided flow.

  • Four proven bettors put $15k on the Spurs to cover, all in the same direction.
  • The top wallet here wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $355k lifetime.
  • Another buyer has nearly 5,000 resolved bets and is up $2.85M lifetime, with Spurs odds already up 7 points today.

$15,003 on Spurs

87% win-rate sports sharp

Proven sharp NBA bettor with an 87% win rate and strong cross-market history is buying Timberwolves +4.5 at 47¢ against current 46% odds.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $80K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 36 events and $70K traded with the same 87% hit rate.
  • Buying Timberwolves at 47¢ implies they see value against a market currently near 46%.

$2,679 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 87%

89% sports sharp

Proven cross-market sports bettor with an 89% win rate and strong profits is taking Timberwolves +4.5 at 47¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $28.9K on $62.1K invested.
  • They have traded across 28 sports events with the same 89% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Buying Timberwolves at 47¢ goes against the current 54% Spurs price, implying they see value on the underdog spread side.

$1,910 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 64065315, $122,632 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x777d...5143 Outcome 64065315, $100,000 (60% win rate)
  3. 0x163e...dc5b Outcome 64065315, $40,000 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xbd14...d62a Outcome 64065315, $19,608 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 64065315, $10,189 (71% win rate)
  6. 0xd8bd...463d Outcome 64065315, $10,047 (66% win rate)
  7. 0x479e...91c3 Outcome 64065315, $8,523 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x462d...ce9b Outcome 64065315, $8,148 (62% win rate)
  9. 0x4667...cab0 Outcome 64065315, $7,872 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xdfa6...6c6c Outcome 64065315, $7,000 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder win by seven

Covers 9 related markets

Knicks edge Spurs in shootout

Covers 14 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

ResolvedSpurs vs. Timberwolves$76,181 tracked17 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 10 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

SAS
62-20
Target Center
MIN
49-33
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -5.5O/U: 218.5ML: -198/+164
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$4,210 on Timberwolves at 80¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$4,380 on Timberwolves at 73¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$1,963 on Spurs at 54¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$3,710 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$5,400 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$2,120 on Spurs at 53¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$3,290 on Timberwolves at 47¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$15,003 on Spurs at 56¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$2,679 on Timberwolves at 47¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$1,910 on Timberwolves at 47¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$1,726 on Timberwolves at 47¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$2,021 on Timberwolves at 47¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$1,220 on Timberwolves at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$5,893 on Timberwolves at 48¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

52d ago

$9,433 on Timberwolves at 49¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

53d ago

$1,222 on Spurs at 51¢

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

53d ago

$10,000 on Spurs at 51¢

Related Theses