Part of: Netherlands vs. Japan - More Markets
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $129,358.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Four-wallet No push
A four-wallet cluster put $53k on No before the match, led by a $43k buy, amid a 31x pre-event volume spike.
- Four wallets put $53k on No, led by one $43k buy around 46¢.
- Market volume is running 31x normal ahead of the match, suggesting unusual pre-game positioning.
- The No flow is larger than the opposing Yes cluster, $53k versus $17k.
$53,258 on No
94% win-rate soccer sharp
Elite profitable soccer bettor with a 94% long-term win rate bought Yes, alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $890K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 444 events, with nearly $1.5M previously deployed.
- Six wallets are all buying Yes, totaling about $16.8K in same-direction flow.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Linked cluster backing Yes
Strong one-sided Yes flow from 6 wallets, including linked funding, plus a high-volume profitable sports trader and a pre-event volume spike.
- 6 wallets are all buying Yes, with $16.8K in same-side flow and 2 wallets sharing a funder.
- The main bettor is up $3.7M lifetime across a very large sample of resolved markets.
- Market volume spiked 31x versus normal, suggesting fresh attention behind the Yes move.
$1,177 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
Elite 87% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.1M lifetime profit bought No on both teams scoring.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 672 events and $3.7M traded.
- Buying No at 46¢ means they see value against a market currently pricing Yes slightly ahead.
$2,859 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Elite 87% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.1M lifetime profit bought No on both teams scoring.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 672 events and $3.7M traded.
- Buying No at 46¢ means they see value against a market currently pricing Yes slightly ahead.
$2,987 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
94% winner in Yes cluster
High-score Yes flow combines a 7-wallet same-direction cluster, linked funding, and a bettor with a 94% historical win rate despite some opposing No money.
- A bettor in this flow wins 94% of resolved positions and is up about $890K lifetime.
- 7 wallets bought the same Yes side for $29K, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
- The market saw a 38x volume spike before the match, though there is also sizable opposing No flow.
$29,157 on Yes
Undefeated bettor in No cluster
Profitable 9-0 bettor sold Yes, equivalent to buying No at 47¢, alongside a 3-wallet one-sided No cluster and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is 9-for-9 on resolved bets and is up $169k lifetime.
- Three wallets are all betting No, with $11.8k moving the same way before kickoff.
- Selling Yes at 53¢ is equivalent to buying No at 47¢, below the current 46% market midpoint.
$7,361 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Elite 87% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.1M lifetime profit bought No on both teams scoring.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 672 events and $3.7M traded.
- Buying No at 46¢ means they see value against a market currently pricing Yes slightly ahead.
$2,936 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
New sports whale scaling up
A 3-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing large sports bets and just bought $8.8k of Yes, with early positive P&L but limited resolved history.
- This wallet is less than 3 days old but has already had 10 large-bet flags totaling $25k.
- It bought $8.8k of Yes at 54¢, adding meaningful conviction on a liquid World Cup market.
- Early results are positive, with $4.5k profit on $26k invested, though only 2 bets have resolved.
$8,756 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Elite 87% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.1M lifetime profit bought No on both teams scoring.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 672 events and $3.7M traded.
- Buying No at 46¢ means they see value against a market currently pricing Yes slightly ahead.
$2,877 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x2805...76ed — Outcome 87775223, $94,531 (49% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 87775223, $68,428 (87% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 87775223, $38,760 (96% win rate)
- 0x99e4...e4c4 — Outcome 87775223, $37,705 (62% win rate)
- 0x087d...b872 — Outcome 87775223, $33,733 (57% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 87775223, $33,048
- 0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 87775223, $25,720 (51% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 87775223, $22,500 (51% win rate)
- 0x22ed...002b — Outcome 87775223, $22,440
- 0x6bef...5e49 — Outcome 87775223, $20,317 (60% win rate)
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