Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch. The market resolves based on total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable, with a listed resolution date of January 1, 2028. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,544 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent Yes-side buying from high win-rate traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,760.
Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
$4M winner buying Yes
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and +$4.0M lifetime P&L took a meaningful Yes position in a quiet, wide-spread market.
- This bettor has won 88% of 1,022 resolved trades and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
- The trade effectively buys Yes at 20¢, below the current 24¢ market price.
- The $1.5K order was larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, signaling conviction in a quiet market.
$1,544 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% win-rate event specialist
A proven 88% win-rate bettor is making a fresh cross-market event trade here by selling No at 84¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 16¢, and the bet is large relative to recent volume.
- This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and has been active across 106 events.
- They sold No at 84¢, which is the same as buying Yes around 16¢ on a low-probability outcome.
- This single $4.3k trade was bigger than the market's recent 24-hour volume, showing real conviction.
$4,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% winner buying Yes
A proven sharp wallet with an 88% win rate made a fresh $15.1k contrarian bet on Yes by selling No across related Predict.fun markets, with trade size large relative to recent volume.
- This bettor wins 88% of their trades across 86 resolved markets.
- They put $15.1k into the Predict.fun thesis across 3 related markets, showing a coordinated event view.
- Their orders were bigger than recent market flow, suggesting real conviction rather than routine trading.
$15,102 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
A proven cross-market trader with a 73% win rate made a large, concentrated NO bet on this event set, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than routine flow.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and has made nearly $37k profit across 56 settled markets
- They have traded 61 related markets across 37 events, and put $28.6k into 3 markets in this same event
- This $4.8k buy was 66% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction even in a thinner market
$4,840 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xac3a...798d — Yes, $45,589
- 0xf27b...6104 — Yes, $18,418
- 0xc88e...f3e1 — No, $11,685 (37% win rate)
- 0xdfc4...079f — No, $11,657 (50% win rate)
- 0xf6eb...dcf1 — No, $10,000
- 0xbda8...2fd6 — No, $9,909
- 0x88e1...3077 — Yes, $8,059
- 0x753f...89b2 — Yes, $7,096
- 0x9ab0...cbb6 — Yes, $6,799
- 0x77fc...c044 — Yes, $6,752
Related Theses
Crude oil spikes above 175
Covers 3 related markets
