What does the Predict.fun FDV above $1B market predict?

It predicts whether Predict.fun’s governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $1 billion one day after its official launch.

How is Predict.fun’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the token’s total supply by its token price at the market’s specified resolution time.

When does the Predict.fun $1B FDV market resolve?

The market resolves at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token launches, with the market showing a listed resolution date of January 1, 2028.

What are smart money traders doing in this market?

PolySpotter currently shows $1,544 in tracked smart money activity from 1 signal, with recent alerts indicating Yes buying by high win-rate traders.

Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Q: What counts as the Predict.fun token launch?

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched for this market.

This prediction market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch. The market resolves based on total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable, with a listed resolution date of January 1, 2028. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,544 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent Yes-side buying from high win-rate traders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,760.

Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

$4M winner buying Yes

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and +$4.0M lifetime P&L took a meaningful Yes position in a quiet, wide-spread market.

This bettor has won 88% of 1,022 resolved trades and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
The trade effectively buys Yes at 20¢, below the current 24¢ market price.
The $1.5K order was larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, signaling conviction in a quiet market.

$1,544 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

88% win-rate event specialist

A proven 88% win-rate bettor is making a fresh cross-market event trade here by selling No at 84¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 16¢, and the bet is large relative to recent volume.

This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and has been active across 106 events.
They sold No at 84¢, which is the same as buying Yes around 16¢ on a low-probability outcome.
This single $4.3k trade was bigger than the market's recent 24-hour volume, showing real conviction.

$4,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

88% winner buying Yes

A proven sharp wallet with an 88% win rate made a fresh $15.1k contrarian bet on Yes by selling No across related Predict.fun markets, with trade size large relative to recent volume.

This bettor wins 88% of their trades across 86 resolved markets.
They put $15.1k into the Predict.fun thesis across 3 related markets, showing a coordinated event view.
Their orders were bigger than recent market flow, suggesting real conviction rather than routine trading.

$15,102 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%