Part of: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $143,755.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Under at 47%, and the market has already moved to 55%.

  • This bettor is up $2.9M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved markets.
  • They have a 70% win record and trade heavily across related sports markets.
  • They bought Under at 47%, and the market has already moved to 55%.

$1,745 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

92% winner buying Under

Sharp MLB bettor with a 92% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Under at 46¢ against a relatively wide market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $174K lifetime.
  • They bought Under at 46¢ while the market shows it around 44%, suggesting a modest edge on a sharp sports total.
  • The market has a wide 9¢ spread and under $2K liquidity, so a $1.5K bet is meaningful size.

$1,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 96%

91% winner buying Under

Sharp MLB bettor with a 91% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Under despite market leaning slightly Over, with added pre-event volume activity.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $341K lifetime.
  • They bought Under at 45¢ while the market slightly favors Over, suggesting a contrarian edge.
  • The market has a 42x pre-event volume spike, adding support that sharper money is active.

$1,397 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%

93% winner joins Under cluster

Surface: a highly profitable 93% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided Under buy during a major pre-game volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $218K bought Under at 46¢.
  • Three wallets put $6.3K on the same Under side within minutes.
  • Pre-game volume is running 13.5x normal, suggesting this total is getting unusual attention.

$6,319 on Under

New repeat whale on Over

A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly fired as a large bettor and is taking another meaningful Over position, but its early record is negative so the signal is mainly conviction rather than proven edge.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already made 12 flagged large bets totaling $152.5K.
  • The bettor is putting $4.6K on Over at 55¢ in a liquid MLB totals market.
  • This is a conviction signal, though the wallet’s early record is weak at 3 wins and 5 losses.

$4,644 on Over | Wallet win rate: 61%

New repeat bettor on Under

Very new wallet is making repeat four-figure bets and is already profitable, but the track record is still tiny and the MLB market is liquid.

  • This wallet is under 2 days old but has already placed multiple flagged bets totaling about $3.2K.
  • It is already up $2.3K on $4.3K invested, though only 1 resolved bet so far.
  • The bet is a fresh $1.2K buy on Under at 46¢ in a liquid MLB total market.

$1,158 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale buying Over

A 2-day-old repeat whale has put $42.6k on Over 8.5 amid a major pre-game volume spike, though the wallet’s early resolved record is negative.

  • A 2-day-old wallet bought $42.6k of Over shares, adding to $147.9k in flagged bets across 11 recent alerts.
  • The market saw a 113x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual money is arriving before first pitch.
  • This is a high-conviction bet at 54–55¢, but the wallet is still unproven and down $42.2k on early resolved trades.

$42,601 on Over | Wallet win rate: 61%

89% winner buying Under

A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought $14.4k of Under at 46¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $784K lifetime.
  • They have bet across 120 events with nearly $1.5M in tracked volume.
  • A $14.4K buy at 46¢ suggests they see value on Under despite the market leaning Over.

$14,382 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%

New whale buying Over

A brand-new repeat whale is taking a $41.5k Over position into an MLB total, helping drive a large pre-event volume spike despite having no proven winning record yet.

  • A 2-day-old wallet put $41.5k on Over, a large position for an $87k-volume market.
  • This wallet has already made 9 flagged large bets totaling $141k, suggesting aggressive repeat conviction.
  • Market volume spiked 258x above its recent pace before first pitch.

$41,501 on Over | Wallet win rate: 61%

New wallet on hot start

A 1-day-old repeat bettor with early profits is taking a $2.1k Under position amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already had 5 flagged large bets totaling $10.4k.
  • The bettor is 2-for-2 on resolved trades and up $715 so far.
  • Market volume is running 258x above its recent average before first pitch.

$2,147 on Under | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 10108639, $13,817 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x1da3...2f94 Outcome 10108639, $930 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x1eee...9b2b Outcome 10108639, $700
  4. 0x45d1...83da Outcome 10108639, $364 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xc7e5...2d3a Outcome 10108639, $364 (82% win rate)
  6. 0xfb2e...cc6b Outcome 10108639, $255
  7. 0x6e48...f025 Outcome 10108639, $250
  8. 0x7d4d...4f6b Outcome 10108639, $213
  9. 0xf3d6...e952 Outcome 10108639, $180
  10. 0x2567...2371 Outcome 10108639, $100

Related Theses

Thunder win by seven

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Knicks edge Spurs in shootout

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Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 5 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

ResolvedNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$143,755 tracked11 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 13 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYY
0
27-17
Final
BAL
7
20-24
NYY -163BAL +135O/U 9
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
14,521

Notable Trades

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$1,745 on Under at 47¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$1,500 on Under at 46¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$1,397 on Under at 45¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$6,319 on Under at 46¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$4,644 on Over at 55¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$1,158 on Under at 46¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$42,601 on Over at 54¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$14,382 on Under at 46¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$41,501 on Over at 54¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$2,147 on Under at 46¢

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

49d ago

$26,362 on Over at 54¢

Related Theses