Part of: United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $147,455.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Perfect-record bettor bought high

A historically perfect sports bettor bought Over 4.5, but the market has since collapsed from their 70¢ entry to 4¢, making this more of a notable sharp-wallet watch than a clean copy at entry.

  • This bettor has won 682 resolved bets in a row and is up $17.2K lifetime.
  • They also positioned across 3 markets in this same event, totaling $6.4K.
  • Caution: their 70¢ entry on Over has since fallen to 4¢, so the market is strongly against this position right now.

$1,384 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor on one-sided Over

Sharp sports bettor with a 75% resolved win record joined one-sided Over flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $57.5K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader with activity across 28 events and nearly $500K traded.
  • Three wallets bought the same Over side, but the price has fallen from 51¢ to 18¢ since this entry.

$1,890 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%

92% winner on totals

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% record bought Under, with supporting pre-game volume and price movement toward the same side.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 153 resolved bets and is up $19.5k lifetime.
  • They bought Under, matching a 22x pre-game volume surge in this market.
  • Under has seen a 16-point move, suggesting other money is leaning the same way.

$1,413 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%

Linked cluster buying Over

High-score coordinated Over flow from a profitable high-volume bettor, with linked-wallet clustering and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This highly active bettor is up $3.6M lifetime across 44,997 resolved trades.
  • 4 wallets are buying the same Over side, including 3 linked wallets with $115k in total activity.
  • Market volume is 95x above normal, and Over has moved up 29 points in the last day.

$1,856 on Over | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp bettor on one-sided Over

Sharp sports bettor with a 75% resolved win record joined one-sided Over flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $57.5K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader with activity across 28 events and nearly $500K traded.
  • Three wallets bought the same Over side, but the price has fallen from 51¢ to 18¢ since this entry.

$1,199 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%

Sharp bettor joins Under cluster

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% record bought Under alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $44.8K lifetime.
  • Five wallets are all buying Under, totaling $52.2K in same-direction flow.
  • They entered at 55¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢, confirming momentum.

$1,454 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable whale with Under flow

A highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor bought Under alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-game volume spike, with the price already moving from 51¢ to 62¢.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 14,453 resolved bets and is up $15.7M lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same Under side for $52K total, suggesting strong one-way conviction.
  • The Under price moved from 51¢ to 62¢ after the trade amid a 162x pre-game volume spike.

$10,762 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable new whale on Under

A very new but already profitable wallet made a $10.2k Under bet, with repeat large-bet history and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.

  • This 1-day-old wallet is already 4-for-4 on resolved bets and up $5.2k.
  • The bettor has now been flagged 12 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling about $50k.
  • They bought $10.2k of Under at 80¢, while the market now prices it closer to 60¢.

$6,366 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor on one-sided Over

Sharp sports bettor with a 75% resolved win record joined one-sided Over flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $57.5K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader with activity across 28 events and nearly $500K traded.
  • Three wallets bought the same Over side, but the price has fallen from 51¢ to 18¢ since this entry.

$1,294 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial sports sharp

Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 77% long-run win rate is buying Under alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $634K lifetime across 524 positions.
  • Four wallets are all buying Under, totaling $25.7K on the same side.
  • Market volume spiked 103x before the game, and this wallet is also active across 3 related markets.

$11,149 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7a88...41cc Outcome 92765966, $42,222 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xf0f7...0c5a Outcome 92765966, $18,622 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 92765966, $15,095 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xd218...b5c9 Outcome 92765966, $12,868 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x002f...92f3 Outcome 92765966, $9,685 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x9cb9...32f2 Outcome 92765966, $5,541 (39% win rate)
  7. 0xd881...af24 Outcome 92765966, $3,874 (92% win rate)
  8. 0xf658...655e Outcome 92765966, $3,846 (56% win rate)
  9. 0x4ffd...7821 Outcome 92765966, $3,811 (57% win rate)
  10. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 92765966, $3,643 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

ResolvedUnited States vs. Paraguay - More Markets$147,455 tracked18 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupSportsGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Paraguay, scheduled for June 12 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if United States and Paraguay combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Paraguay
PAR
1
World Cup
Full Time
USA
USA
4
Venue
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Attendance
70,492
Price History — “Under
94¢
77¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$1,384 on Over at 70¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$1,890 on Over at 51¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$1,413 on Under at 82¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,856 on Over at 51¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,199 on Over at 51¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,454 on Under at 55¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$10,762 on Under at 51¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$6,366 on Under at 80¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,294 on Over at 51¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$11,149 on Under at 60¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$5,115 on Under at 60¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,367 on Over at 40¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

1h ago

$15,845 on Over at 49¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

3h ago

$3,323 on Under at 61¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$7,084 on Over at 41¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

3h ago

$5,000 on Under at 82¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

3h ago

$10,177 on Under at 80¢

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$60,774 on Under at 65¢

Related Theses