Part of: Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau
This prediction market covers the Shanghai tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Alexis Galarneau, scheduled for September 10, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $1,739 in tracked smart-money activity and one recorded signal; live odds are shown on the market page.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,501.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp tennis bettor adding to Kotov
A highly experienced sports trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Pavel Kotov position.
- This bettor has won 80% of 380 resolved trades and is up about $200,000.
- The wallet has demonstrated a repeatable edge across 134 events, beating its average implied odds by 20%.
- This trade adds to an existing Kotov position, signaling continued conviction despite the market moving below the 51¢ entry.
$1,739 on Pavel Kotov | Wallet win rate: 80%
Three-wallet coordinated surge
Three wallets bought Pavel Kotov in a concentrated burst that moved the price 18 percentage points, including two highly profitable long-term traders.
- Three wallets committed $6,887 to Pavel Kotov, with the buying pushing the price from roughly 34¢ to 52¢.
- Two participants have substantial lifetime profits: about $3.7 million and $868,000.
- The purchases came at 32¢, 35¢, and 50¢, suggesting strong conviction before the sharp repricing.
$3,881 on Pavel Kotov
Sharp bettor scales into Kotov
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 82% win rate is adding $3,881 to an already substantial Pavel Kotov position at 41¢ in a thinly traded market.
- This bettor has won 82% of 204 resolved trades and is up $502,451 lifetime.
- The $3,881 purchase adds to an existing $9,576 Kotov position, showing increased conviction rather than routine entry.
- The trade is larger than the market’s entire recent 24-hour volume, with a 41¢ entry implying substantial upside if Kotov wins.
$3,881 on Pavel Kotov | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x5965...935f — Outcome 11244037, $2,200 (65% win rate)
- 0x033e...1bb9 — Outcome 11244037, $1,854 (67% win rate)
- 0x70fb...946b — Outcome 11244037, $1,224 (51% win rate)
- 0xc367...a0b4 — Outcome 11244037, $980 (65% win rate)
- 0xe8d3...acf8 — Outcome 11244037, $652
- 0x6d6f...7135 — Outcome 11244037, $650 (68% win rate)
- 0x240b...c32a — Outcome 11244037, $539 (77% win rate)
- 0x42b7...5cd6 — Outcome 11244037, $386 (82% win rate)
- 0x7044...5104 — Outcome 11244037, $345
- 0x3d42...5bf3 — Outcome 11244037, $316 (87% win rate)
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