Part of: San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $99,805.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner makes contrarian tennis bet
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a $29,300 concentrated bet on Mili Poljicak despite the market falling sharply afterward.
- This bettor has won 96% of 164 resolved positions and is up roughly $6.0 million.
- They committed $29,300 across three buys of Mili Poljicak at 51–60¢, a substantial position in a thin market.
- The market has since fallen to 26%, making this an unusually high-conviction contrarian position worth monitoring rather than blindly chasing.
$9,000 on Mili Poljicak | Wallet win rate: 38%
Linked seven-wallet Basilashvili cluster
A seven-wallet, partially linked $40,000 Basilashvili cluster and extreme volume spike are notable, although opposing positions and the market's apparent price collapse materially weaken the copy-trade case.
- Seven wallets bought Basilashvili for nearly $40,000, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- The market saw a 7,118x volume spike and a 61.5-point one-day move, indicating unusually concentrated activity.
- Several participants also hold Poljicak or both outcomes, while Basilashvili is now quoted at 0%, so this looks more like a high-risk event to study than a clean consensus trade.
$39,992 on Nikoloz Basilashvili
96% winner makes contrarian tennis bet
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a $29,300 concentrated bet on Mili Poljicak despite the market falling sharply afterward.
- This bettor has won 96% of 164 resolved positions and is up roughly $6.0 million.
- They committed $29,300 across three buys of Mili Poljicak at 51–60¢, a substantial position in a thin market.
- The market has since fallen to 26%, making this an unusually high-conviction contrarian position worth monitoring rather than blindly chasing.
$19,000 on Mili Poljicak | Wallet win rate: 38%
Sharp bettor in seven-wallet cluster
A highly profitable bettor and six linked wallets were involved as the market saw an extreme volume spike and a sharp move away from Mili Poljicak.
- This bettor has won 89% of 37 resolved positions and is up nearly $29,000.
- Seven linked wallets shared the same funder, while market volume surged over 10,000 times its recent average.
- The trade effectively favored Nikoloz Basilashvili at 50¢, before the market moved to imply roughly 74% odds for him.
$1,094 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 89%
96% winner makes contrarian tennis bet
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a $29,300 concentrated bet on Mili Poljicak despite the market falling sharply afterward.
- This bettor has won 96% of 164 resolved positions and is up roughly $6.0 million.
- They committed $29,300 across three buys of Mili Poljicak at 51–60¢, a substantial position in a thin market.
- The market has since fallen to 26%, making this an unusually high-conviction contrarian position worth monitoring rather than blindly chasing.
$29,300 on Mili Poljicak | Wallet win rate: 38%
Serial trader bought Basilashvili early
A highly experienced serial trader bought Basilashvili at 50¢ amid an extreme volume surge, though the wallet’s broad win rate does not clearly exceed its average entry odds.
- This wallet has resolved 30,201 markets and earned nearly $29.0M in lifetime profit.
- The $1,419 purchase at 50¢ preceded Basilashvili’s move to roughly 74¢.
- Trading activity spiked more than 10,000x the recent average across five trades.
$1,419 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 87670570, $32,444 (65% win rate)
- 0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 87670570, $2,932 (70% win rate)
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 87670570, $2,200 (84% win rate)
- 0xa261...af5b — Outcome 87670570, $1,661 (85% win rate)
- 0xcc57...2b3c — Outcome 87670570, $1,471 (97% win rate)
- 0xeea3...a6a2 — Outcome 87670570, $1,073 (53% win rate)
- 0x168c...f24b — Outcome 87670570, $842 (93% win rate)
- 0xa804...2a75 — Outcome 87670570, $804 (64% win rate)
- 0xfbe9...1af5 — Outcome 87670570, $614
- 0x82a1...e38b — Outcome 87670570, $574
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