Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

This prediction market covers the best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 quarterfinal between FURIA and Team Falcons at the PGL Astana Playoffs. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds alongside $10,990 in smart money activity and 2 smart money signals, including sharp esports bettor alerts. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution listed for May 15, 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between FURIA and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $84,225.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor

Serial cross-market sports/esports bettor with a profitable 138-bet history bought FURIA, making the wallet track record the main signal despite a modest alert score.

  • This bettor has won 59% of 138 resolved bets and is up $78.5K lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader, active across 114 events with $1.1M in flagged volume.
  • Entry at 49¢ is near even money, implying they see FURIA as mispriced versus the market.

$3,920 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial bettor cluster

Three wallets bought Team Falcons together, led by a profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and strong lifetime P&L.

  • A profitable bettor with 74% wins is leading this Falcons buy and is up $45.9K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side within 12 minutes, putting $7.1K on Team Falcons at 52¢.
  • The lead wallet has traded across 28 events with a 74% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$7,070 on Team Falcons

81% win-rate esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with an 81% historical win rate is buying Team Falcons at 52%, despite only moderate trade size on a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $5.5K lifetime.
  • Their past bets averaged near coin-flip odds, making the record much stronger than just picking favorites.
  • They switched away from a prior FURIA position and are now backing Team Falcons at 52¢.

$1,100 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 81%

93% sharp esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% record bought Team Falcons for $5.6k at 52¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $258k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 140 events, with $722k in tracked activity.
  • A $5.6k buy at 52¢ signals fresh confidence in Team Falcons despite a liquid market.

$5,600 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 93%

90% win-rate sharp

Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with a 90% resolved win rate is buying Team Falcons at 52% in a liquid esports market.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 69 resolved bets and is up $45.6k lifetime.
  • They are buying Team Falcons at 52¢, a near coin-flip price despite their strong track record.
  • The market is very liquid, so the signal is the bettor’s proven edge rather than market impact.

$2,496 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable esports specialist

Serial cross-market bettor with a strong 73% record and $43k profit is buying Team Falcons at 52% in a liquid CS2 playoff market.

  • This bettor has won 30 of 41 resolved bets and is up $43,417 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 52¢ implies a near-even matchup where they see Team Falcons as mispriced.

$1,671 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with a strong long-term profit record bought FURIA at 48¢ despite only a modest standalone signal.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 635 resolved bets and is up about $731k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.5M tracked across 222 events and 345 markets.
  • Entry at 48¢ suggests they see FURIA as better than a coin flip.

$4,800 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 66%

$10M profitable esports sharp

A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with $10.4M lifetime profit placed a $40.6k buy on FURIA at 47¢ despite only a weak correlated-cross-market signal.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 1,306 resolved bets and $10.4M in lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 341 events with 58% wins at roughly even-money prices.
  • A $40.6k entry at 47¢ implies they see FURIA as mispriced in a liquid market.

$40,572 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market esports bettor with a strong 447-bet record and $556k profit bought $7.1k of FURIA at 47¢.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 447 resolved bets and is up $556k lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $2.0M deployed across 351 markets.
  • A $7.1k buy at 47¢ suggests they see FURIA as underpriced versus a near coin-flip market.

$7,144 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable bettor in quiet market

A nearly $10k Team Falcons buy in a relatively quiet esports market is notable, especially from a wallet with a small but profitable 75% resolved record.

  • This bettor has won 75% of resolved trades and is up $4.6k so far.
  • The $9.9k buy was flagged as about 18x the market’s recent activity, suggesting strong conviction.
  • Entry at 55¢ is close to current odds, so the copy price has not moved much yet.

$9,852 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a FURIA, $93,959 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 Team Falcons, $50,000 (87% win rate)
  3. 0x21ec...5348 FURIA, $45,000 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x1136...0c2e Team Falcons, $30,000 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x29b5...cc6c FURIA, $26,329 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x30c7...ac3b Team Falcons, $25,000 (63% win rate)
  7. 0x5e6e...be00 Team Falcons, $19,020 (52% win rate)
  8. 0xac75...1319 FURIA, $17,053 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x9770...0ff5 FURIA, $15,200 (63% win rate)
  10. 0xa7df...5eee Team Falcons, $15,000 (48% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

7hCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$84,225 tracked10 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
FURIA
49¢
Team Falcons
52¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between FURIA and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Falcons
57¢
54¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

1h ago

$3,920 on FURIA at 49¢

49¢49¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

1h ago

$7,070 on Team Falcons at 52¢

52¢52¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

2h ago

$1,100 on Team Falcons at 52¢

52¢52¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

4h ago

$5,600 on Team Falcons at 52¢

52¢52¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

5h ago

$2,496 on Team Falcons at 52¢

52¢52¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

5h ago

$1,671 on Team Falcons at 52¢

52¢52¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

7h ago

$4,800 on FURIA at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

10h ago

$40,572 on FURIA at 47¢

47¢49¢2¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

15h ago

$7,144 on FURIA at 47¢

47¢49¢2¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

21h ago

$9,852 on Team Falcons at 55¢

55¢52¢3¢

Related Theses