Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between FURIA and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $363,578.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced, profitable wallet bought Team Falcons amid a sharp 21-point price move in their favor, though the position size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor is up $2.45M across nearly 29,000 resolved bets.
- They have traded 1,786 markets across 1,512 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Team Falcons moved up 21 points, and this buy joined the momentum at 55¢.
$1,859 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 58%
Sharp wallets flipped to FURIA
Four profitable sports/esports wallets flipped against Team Falcons into FURIA, including an 81% winner up $253k, though the market has since resolved against the trade.
- A bettor who wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $253k was part of this FURIA-side move.
- Four wallets all took the same side for $7.7k, with three converting Team Falcons sells into FURIA exposure.
- This was a coordinated reversal from prior Falcons positions, but current odds show the trade has already gone to 0¢.
$7,659 on FURIA
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is selling FURIA, equivalent to buying Team Falcons, alongside one-sided Falcons flow and a sharp recent price move.
- This bettor has 2,718 resolved trades, wins 60% of them, and is up $185K lifetime.
- Five wallets are all betting Team Falcons the same way, totaling $8.7K in recent flow.
- FURIA dropped 11 points in about 4 minutes, matching the trader’s move against them.
$1,633 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 62%
Experienced bettor joins Falcons flow
High-volume CS2 market shows one-sided Falcons flow from 5 wallets, including a very experienced cross-market bettor with a 67% win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,079 resolved trades and is up about $59K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window for $8.7K total.
- Falcons jumped 14 points in 5 minutes, suggesting fast momentum behind the move.
$2,423 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 64%
99% winning esports sharp
A highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet bought FURIA, backed by same-side flow from other wallets, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $172.8k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 34 events and $105.9k in similar activity.
- Three wallets bought FURIA the same way, but the price has fallen from 55¢ to 28¢ since entry.
$1,300 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp bettor exits favorite
Sharp profitable wallet exited Team Falcons after a run-up, with small same-direction flow toward FURIA, though prior-position profit-taking makes the signal less clean.
- This bettor wins 80% of tracked bets and is up $15.1K lifetime.
- They sold Team Falcons at 69¢ after entering around 55¢, signaling they no longer like the favorite at this price.
- Three wallets leaned the same way toward FURIA, though the flow is small versus this market’s $2.3M daily volume.
$2,865 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 84%
99% winner exits FURIA
Elite 99% win-rate wallet closed a FURIA position in a liquid CS market, effectively signaling Team Falcons at 82¢ despite the market later showing FURIA at 48%.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $171k lifetime.
- They have traded across 34 events with the same 99% hit rate, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Selling FURIA at 18¢ is equivalent to backing Team Falcons at 82¢.
$1,503 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial event trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history is effectively buying FURIA after major market movement, though the edge is more pattern-based than win-rate elite.
- This bettor is up $185k lifetime across over $4.6M invested.
- They trade across many related event markets, with activity in 209 events and 265 markets.
- Selling Team Falcons at 81¢ is equivalent to buying FURIA around 19¢ after a sharp price move.
$1,094 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp bettor fades favorite
Sharp wallet with an 86% track record is selling Team Falcons after a major price run, effectively pointing to FURIA value around 29¢, though it may partly be profit-taking.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.4K lifetime.
- They sold Team Falcons at 71¢ after entering around 59¢, effectively making FURIA a 29¢ buy.
- Team Falcons has jumped about 18 points, so this looks like a sharp exit after a big move.
$2,388 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 81%
New wallet in 5-bettor push
A brand-new wallet is joining a 5-wallet one-sided push on FURIA, though the entry is stale after the price fell sharply from 65% to 42%.
- Five wallets are all buying FURIA in the same window, totaling $23.5K on one side.
- This wallet is only 10 hours old but has already had $12.4K in flagged bets and is up about $3K so far.
- The original entry was 65¢, but FURIA has since dropped to 42¢, making this a changed trade setup.
$2,500 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — FURIA, $491,154 (62% win rate)
- 0x47a8...52f9 — FURIA, $151,817 (98% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — FURIA, $22,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x9770...0ff5 — FURIA, $15,200 (66% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — FURIA, $10,500 (84% win rate)
- 0xcc6e...fa6f — FURIA, $8,877 (67% win rate)
- 0x94a5...fa5a — FURIA, $8,820
- 0x823d...189d — FURIA, $7,829 (100% win rate)
- 0xce80...08ed — FURIA, $6,120 (80% win rate)
- 0x611a...e171 — FURIA, $5,625 (91% win rate)
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