Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or extended delay rules applying if no winner is determined within the stated window. PolySpotter is tracking $5,743 in smart money and 3 signals, including sharp activity on both NAVI and the underdog TheMongolz.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $140,642.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% winner joins NAVI cluster
Sharp 92% winning bettor is buying Natus Vincere alongside a 12-wallet one-sided flow and linked-wallet cluster despite heavy market liquidity.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $15.3K lifetime.
- 12 wallets are all buying Natus Vincere, totaling $29K in same-direction flow.
- Three linked wallets share a funder, adding confidence behind the NAVI side.
$1,155 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp bettor joins 12-wallet flow
Sharp profitable esports bettor joined 12-wallet one-sided flow buying Natus Vincere amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $39,173 lifetime.
- 12 wallets bought the same side, totaling $29,028 on Natus Vincere.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 76% win record.
$1,646 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 76%
12-wallet Natus buy wave
High-score alert driven by 12-wallet one-sided flow into Natus Vincere plus a 1-day-old repeat large bettor with $44k previously flagged.
- 12 wallets bought Natus Vincere in the same direction, totaling about $29k of coordinated flow.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts with $44k flagged across 4 positions.
- The buy came at 66¢, suggesting they are backing Natus despite a sharp short-term price drop.
$2,942 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A profitable high-volume serial trader bought $10.4k of Natus Vincere during a major pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 66% of 330 resolved bets and is up $85k lifetime.
- They put $10.4k on Natus Vincere at 71¢, a sizable position relative to the $28.8k order-book liquidity.
- The market saw a 58x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader money is moving into this match.
$4,730 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 66%
5-wallet underdog push
Surfaced because a five-wallet underdog push, linked-wallet participation, and a 10.5-point move toward TheMongolz suggest coordinated conviction despite some opposing flow.
- Five wallets put $21.8k behind TheMongolz, mostly by selling Natus Vincere exposure.
- Three linked wallets joined the same side, and this funder cluster has appeared in prior runs.
- The price moved about 10.5 points toward TheMongolz during the burst.
$21,827 on TheMongolz
81% winner buying dip
Surface because a highly profitable 81% lifetime winner and serial cross-market bettor bought Natus Vincere after a sharp dip.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $646k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 363 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting edge.
- Bought Natus Vincere at 30¢ after a fast 10.5-point drop; the market has already rebounded to 34¢.
$1,124 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%
Undefeated new esports bettor
New 6-day wallet with an 8-0 resolved record and positive P&L bought TheMongolz with a meaningful $1.1k position, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This new bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved trades and is up $1,042 so far.
- They put $1,078 on TheMongolz at 81¢, showing strong conviction despite the market now sitting near 66¢.
- The trade coincided with a sharp short-term move, including a 10.5-point jump in five minutes.
$1,078 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp serial bettor backing underdog
Sharp 86% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying TheMongolz amid one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $159k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 76 events with the same 86% hit rate.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $24k total as volume spiked 87x before the match.
$9,568 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought $13k of TheMongolz amid a major volume spike and one-sided cluster flow.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 1,675 resolved bets and over $1.1M in lifetime profit.
- Three wallets are all buying TheMongolz, with $24K on the same side in this scan.
- Market volume spiked 87x above normal before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$13,083 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp bettor joining one-sided flow
Sharp bettor with an 89% historical win rate is buying TheMongolz alongside one-sided market flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of their resolved bets and is up $7,915 lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying TheMongolz, totaling $24,411 in one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 87.5x before the match, suggesting fast-moving conviction.
$1,760 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Natus Vincere, $149,999 (78% win rate)
- 0x73e3...1be9 — TheMongolz, $99,998 (100% win rate)
- 0x89dd...f662 — TheMongolz, $77,537 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Natus Vincere, $56,362 (66% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Natus Vincere, $50,275 (61% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — TheMongolz, $44,354 (58% win rate)
- 0x5faf...1183 — TheMongolz, $37,000 (35% win rate)
- 0x1610...ae49 — Natus Vincere, $33,357 (64% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — TheMongolz, $32,982 (80% win rate)
- 0x67a4...32a8 — TheMongolz, $25,743 (100% win rate)
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