Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $181,876.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

80% winner joins draw cluster

Surface because a highly profitable 80% lifetime winner joined a coordinated Yes/draw flow, though earlier linked-wallet entries are now far underwater.

One bettor in this flow wins 80% of 1,388 resolved markets and is up $101k lifetime.
Five wallets put $18.3k on the draw, including linked wallets funded by the same addresses.
The sharpest entry was effectively 15¢, close to the current 14¢ price after earlier buyers paid 34–38¢.

$18,346 on Yes

Profitable coordinated No cluster

High-score coordinated No buying by three wallets, including a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor and linked-wallet activity.

Three wallets bought $26.9K of No within one minute, all at 66¢.
The strongest wallet wins 63% of resolved bets and is up $1.6M lifetime.
One serial cross-market bettor has traded 358 events with $5.3M in volume and a 63% win record.

$26,854 on No

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought the draw despite the market drifting lower.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $63.5K lifetime.
They have traded 30 related sports events with the same 87% win rate across $285K in volume.
They bought Yes at 21¢ while market volume is spiking 14.5x before the match.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp draw buyer joins cluster

Surface because a proven 80% win-rate, $101k-profit trader took the Yes-equivalent side near the current price, alongside a 6-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.

A bettor who wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $101k bought the Yes-equivalent side at 15¢.
Six wallets put $19.8k on the draw, including two linked wallets totaling $8.1k.
Volume is 18x above normal, and the current 14¢ price is near the sharp trader’s entry.

$13,306 on Yes

96% win-rate sports sharp

Surface this because a highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought the draw at 21¢.

This bettor has won 96% of 84 resolved bets and is up $339k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.57M tracked across 82 events.
They bought the draw at 21¢, suggesting they see the current 20% odds as too low.

$4,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

99% win-rate sports sharp

Elite 99% win-rate sports bettor bought No on the draw market, backed by a long cross-market track record and strong lifetime profit.

This bettor has won 99 of 100 resolved positions and is up $164,709 lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 141 events with a 99% win rate.
Buying No at 80¢ suggests confidence Croatia vs. Panama avoids a draw.

$1,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

New repeat sports whale

A 3-day-old repeat large bettor is taking a $3.5k position against the draw after $16.5k in recent flagged bets, making this worth monitoring despite limited track record.

This wallet is only 3 days old but has already made 7 flagged large bets totaling $16.5k.
They are putting $3.5k on No at 77¢, implying strong confidence Panama vs. Croatia does not end in a draw.
The wallet has 2 resolved wins so far, but the track record is still very early.

$3,555 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

New repeat sports whale

A 3-day-old repeat large bettor is taking a $3.5k position against the draw after $16.5k in recent flagged bets, making this worth monitoring despite limited track record.

This wallet is only 3 days old but has already made 7 flagged large bets totaling $16.5k.
They are putting $3.5k on No at 77¢, implying strong confidence Panama vs. Croatia does not end in a draw.
The wallet has 2 resolved wins so far, but the track record is still very early.

$5,499 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

13-0 sharp scaling No

A perfect-record wallet is net buying No on the draw market amid a large pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite mixed buy/sell execution.

This bettor has won 13 of 13 resolved bets and is up $16.4K lifetime.
They traded $63.8K and ended net long No, with fresh buys around 78–79¢.
Market activity is surging, with volume about 61x above its historical average before the match.

$63,768 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

90% winner buying No

A proven 90% winner with $88k lifetime profit is buying No on a soccer draw market, supported by a long cross-market betting history.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $88k lifetime.
They have a broad track record across 51 events and 63 markets, not just one lucky market.
Entry at 78¢ suggests confidence that Panama vs. Croatia avoids a draw.

$2,667 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 66634953, $444,834
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 28101413, $53,254
0x9f7b...7f37 — Outcome 28101413, $27,956 (96% win rate)
0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 28101413, $26,190 (89% win rate)
0xb87b...3626 — Outcome 28101413, $25,000 (51% win rate)
0xacce...c07c — Outcome 28101413, $23,000 (86% win rate)
0x424d...3b7e — Outcome 28101413, $22,181 (75% win rate)
0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 28101413, $20,000 (97% win rate)
0x14eb...2e34 — Outcome 28101413, $18,564 (59% win rate)
0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 28101413, $15,785 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

ResolvedPanama vs. Croatia$181,876 tracked15 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupGamesSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.