LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
This Polymarket tracks the League of Legends LPL Group Ascend best-of-three match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Invictus Gaming, scheduled for April 8, 2026. Traders are pricing the odds of which team will win the BO3, with market activity shaped by esports bettors and tracked smart money signals. The market resolves to the winning team, or may void under the listed rules if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days.
This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $100,167.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Proven serial event bettor
A proven high-volume cross-market bettor with 800 resolved trades bought Invictus Gaming during a sharp pre-match move, and the price has already gone from 89¢ to 100¢.
- This bettor has 800 resolved trades, wins 64% of them, and is up $211.6k lifetime
- They bought Invictus Gaming at 89¢ during a 23.8x pre-match volume spike and a fast 15-point move
- The price is already 100¢, so this was a late but correctly timed entry into a decisive move
$1,208 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 63%
82% winner beat the move
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate bought Invictus Gaming at 83¢ before the market moved to 94¢, suggesting strong edge and timing.
- This bettor wins 82% of 1,104 resolved markets and is up $276k lifetime
- They bought Invictus Gaming at 83¢ and the market quickly moved to 94¢
- This wallet has bet across 72 related markets in 49 events, showing a repeatable event-trading edge
$1,853 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 82%
New whale chasing edge
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly bet thousands on the same side before a sharp move, and this latest buy at 79¢ is already marked up to 94¢.
- A 4-hour-old wallet has already made repeated large bets, with $5.2k flagged in total
- This buy at 79¢ is now 94¢ after a fast 15-point move, showing strong momentum behind Invictus Gaming
- Market volume spiked more than 21x above normal before the match, suggesting concentrated pre-event positioning
$1,081 on Invictus Gaming
87% win-rate esports bettor
An 87% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Invictus Gaming at 87¢ during a sharp volume-and-price move, suggesting a strong informed read despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $535k across 349 settled markets.
- They bought Invictus Gaming at 87¢ before the price moved up to 94¢ in a fast volume surge.
- This wallet has traded 440 markets across 205 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
$1,543 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp bettor chased momentum
A profitable high-win-rate bettor bought Invictus Gaming during a sharp pre-match move, and the price has already moved from 88¢ to 94¢ in their favor.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $1.1k on about $4.9k invested
- They bought Invictus Gaming at 88¢ during a 21.5x pre-match volume spike and a fast 15-point move
- The market quickly moved to 94¢ after their buy, showing strong one-sided conviction
$1,642 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 83%
15-wallet sharp cluster
A 15-wallet linked cluster piled $55.8k into Invictus Gaming and pushed the price from the mid-50s to 86%, with several wallets showing elite long-term win rates and cross-market sports betting history.
- 15 wallets bought the same side for $55.8k, and 4 of them share a funder, which points to coordinated conviction.
- Several wallets in the group have standout records, including 98% on 306 resolved bets and 100% on 66 resolved bets.
- They bought as low as 55-57¢ before the market jumped to 86¢, a 31.7-point move in a market with only $17.3k liquidity.
$55,811 on Invictus Gaming
82% win-rate esports bettor
A profitable bettor with an 82% win rate put nearly $8k on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 46¢ during a sharp pre-match volume spike, making this a modest but credible follow signal.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $121k overall
- They bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 46¢, a price that implies roughly 2.2x upside if they are right
- Match volume jumped 22x versus normal before start, suggesting stronger-than-usual conviction in this market
$7,916 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 82%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 1-day-old wallet has already made repeated five-figure flagged bets and is now selling Ninjas in Pyjamas at 46¢, equivalent to buying Invictus Gaming at 54¢, which is notable despite the liquid market.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 10 large-bet alerts totaling $31.5k
- The trade sells Ninjas in Pyjamas at 46¢, which is the same as buying Invictus Gaming at 54¢
- The wallet is new and already showing a profit, suggesting early conviction rather than a one-off punt
$1,212 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp 4-wallet esports cluster
A 4-wallet cluster piled into Ninjas in Pyjamas around 43-44¢, led by a bettor with a 93% win rate across 577 resolved markets and backed by a sharp cross-market betting history.
- A bettor who wins 93% of their trades and is up $569k joined this buy cluster.
- Four wallets lined up on the same side for $10.5k total at 43-44¢.
- Market activity jumped 23x versus normal as price moved toward Ninjas in Pyjamas.
$10,536 on Ninjas in Pyjamas
Serial event trader chasing move
Surface this because a highly active cross-market bettor bought into a sharp pre-match move on Invictus Gaming as volume surged and price jumped more than 27 points.
- This wallet has traded 193 markets across 168 events and has stayed profitable over more than $1.1M wagered
- The bet followed a 33x volume spike and a 27-point jump toward Invictus Gaming, showing strong one-sided momentum
- They paid 81¢ in a liquid market, backing the favorite even after a big move
$2,237 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xe950...1e0a — Invictus Gaming, $70,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x161e...6ef0 — Invictus Gaming, $59,122 (82% win rate)
- 0xe9de...5fb1 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $42,236
- 0xd812...2558 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $35,999 (90% win rate)
- 0x692a...9d71 — Invictus Gaming, $22,443 (60% win rate)
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Invictus Gaming, $21,185 (92% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Invictus Gaming, $20,272 (85% win rate)
- 0xe96f...ff4b — Invictus Gaming, $19,110 (67% win rate)
- 0x1d2e...896d — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $18,950 (82% win rate)
- 0xe308...25cd — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $18,502 (34% win rate)
