Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,314.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, sea

Notable Trades

New whale contrarian buy

A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just expressed strong contrarian conviction on Napoli by effectively buying Yes at 26¢ despite the market now pricing it at 4%.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 14 large-bet alerts, putting about $69k to work
  • This trade was a $9.1k effective buy on Napoli Yes at 26¢, a hard contrarian stance versus the current 4¢ market price
  • The bettor is scaling size quickly in a liquid sports market, which points to real conviction rather than a random small punt

$9,071 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%

3-wallet No surge

A 3-wallet cluster piled $31.7k into No as the market swung hard and volume exploded, with one repeat new wallet driving most of the size.

  • Three wallets bought $31.7k of No in a short burst as market volume ran 95x above normal.
  • The biggest wallet is a 2-day-old repeat bettor that has already been flagged 10 times and put up most of the size.
  • Two buys landed at 37¢ and 40¢ before No ripped to 62%, showing strong early conviction and fast price follow-through.

$31,721 on No

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just bought No before a major price move, suggesting strong conviction worth tracking despite no meaningful resolved history yet.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 10 large-bet alerts, putting about $48k to work in flagged trades
  • They bought No at 40¢ and the market is now 64¢, so this entry moved sharply in their favor
  • Market volume surged 56.6x above normal, which supports the idea that informed money hit this match market

$4,910 on No | Wallet win rate: 0%

3-wallet Napoli pile-in

Three wallets piled into Napoli Yes for $12.3k during a sharp pre-match volume surge, led by a very active wallet with over $1.1M lifetime profit and backed by a highly aggressive new wallet.

  • Three wallets all bought Napoli Yes for $12.3k as market volume ran 22.5x above normal.
  • One wallet has made 3,822 resolved bets and is up $1.1M lifetime, giving this cluster some proven betting skill.
  • A 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts with $34k flagged, suggesting unusually aggressive early conviction.

$12,334 on Yes

Repeat new wallet whale

A 3-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed meaningful size across multiple markets and just bought nearly $6.9k of Napoli into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a decent conviction follow despite limited proof of skill so far.

  • This 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts and put up about $34k in flagged trades
  • They just bought nearly $6.9k of Napoli at 64¢ as market activity jumped 26x above normal
  • The bet is meaningful but not market-moving in a deep book, so this looks more like repeat conviction than a proven sharp signal

$6,894 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active and profitable sports trader with a large long-term sample bought Yes into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a reasonable follow despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 1,111 resolved trades and is up about $420k overall.
  • They trade across many related sports markets — 136 markets over 120 events — which suggests repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
  • The buy came during a 588x jump in market activity, with entry at 64¢ on Napoli.

$1,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

99% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 99% win rate and nearly $280k profit made a fresh $19.8k buy on Napoli, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 70 of 71 resolved markets and is up about $280k overall
  • They put nearly $19.8k on Napoli at 64¢, a sizable fresh position from a proven winner
  • This wallet has traded across 159 events and still holds a 99% hit rate, which is rare at this scale

$19,784 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3625...1187 Outcome 43588172, $30,913 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x40d5...79a5 Outcome 43588172, $7,781 (52% win rate)
  3. 0xfc0c...cfc9 Outcome 43588172, $7,311
  4. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 43588172, $6,488 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x84ad...bfb7 Outcome 43588172, $3,843
  6. 0x4a8d...31ea Outcome 43588172, $3,205 (98% win rate)
  7. 0xdb47...2bb6 Outcome 82659785, $2,890 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x1fd6...95e3 Outcome 43588172, $2,742 (44% win rate)
  9. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 43588172, $2,577 (70% win rate)
  10. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 43588172, $2,549 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

Resolved$86,314 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccersea

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If SSC Napoli wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

1d ago

$9,071 on Yes at 26¢

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

1d ago

$31,721 on No at 62¢

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

1d ago

$4,910 on No at 40¢

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

1d ago

$12,334 on Yes at 64¢

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

1d ago

$6,894 on Yes at 64¢

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

1d ago

$1,600 on Yes at 64¢

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

1d ago

$19,784 on Yes at 64¢

Related Theses