Part of: Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

21 smart money signals detected, totaling $71,438.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

5-wallet esports cluster

A profitable high-volume esports trader from a 5-wallet linked cluster sold Team Spirit at 67¢, equivalent to buying Xtreme Gaming at 33¢, alongside coordinated same-side flow from multiple wallets.

  • This wallet has 440 resolved bets, wins 64% of them, and is up about $136k overall.
  • Five linked wallets funded by the same source have put about $5.5k into this market, with 3 wallets aligned on Xtreme Gaming.
  • Selling Team Spirit at 67¢ is the same as buying Xtreme Gaming at 33¢, a cheap entry for a coordinated cluster bet.

$1,310 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 65%

Linked sharp fading Xtreme

A linked-wallet bettor with a large multi-market history sold Xtreme Gaming at 86¢ before a 30-point collapse, implying a strong bearish view now best copied as buying Team Spirit.

  • This wallet has 440 resolved bets and is up $135.9k, so the trade comes from a proven active bettor.
  • The wallet is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster that has put in about $4.1k together, which points to coordinated conviction.
  • They sold Xtreme Gaming at 86¢ and that side is now 11%, a 30-point drop that strongly favors the other side.

$2,517 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 65%

5-wallet funded cluster

A proven high-volume bettor from a 5-wallet funded cluster is buying into this esports market, suggesting coordinated conviction even though the single trade size is modest.

  • This wallet has 440 resolved bets, wins 64% of the time, and is up about $136k lifetime.
  • Five wallets share the same funder and this setup has shown up repeatedly across prior runs, pointing to coordinated conviction.
  • The bettor bought Xtreme Gaming at 71¢ after a quick price jump, signaling willingness to pay up for this side.

$1,624 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 65%

92% win-rate bettor

A very high-win-rate serial sports trader bought into this market despite a now-worse price, making the wallet worth following even though the single trade is modest and the market is liquid.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 1,321 markets and has traded nearly $983k across 255 events
  • They bought Xtreme Gaming at 77¢, showing a strong directional view even though the market has since moved down to 68¢
  • A quick 11-point price jump hit this side before, suggesting this market has seen aggressive informed flow

$1,021 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 5-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets across 35 alerts and is again taking a fresh position, suggesting notable conviction despite this specific trade being early and currently underwater.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has been flagged 35 times for big bets, with about $48.8k in total flagged volume.
  • This is a fresh buy on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢, showing new conviction rather than profit-taking.
  • The market is liquid and active, so the signal comes from the bettor pattern more than market dislocation.

$986 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

79% esports sharp

A high-win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Team Spirit despite a sharp move, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal even though the fill was very rich.

  • This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades across 188 bets and is up nearly $40k lifetime
  • They trade across many related markets with a strong record: 36 events, 48 markets, and $108.8k tracked in this pattern
  • They bought Team Spirit after a 20-point price swing, signaling conviction even at an aggressive 86¢ entry

$2,175 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 75%

Linked cluster backs Xtreme

A known linked-wallet cluster piled into Xtreme Gaming with nearly $9.5k of one-sided flow, including one wallet with an 80% win rate, and the move coincided with a sharp price swing.

  • Four wallets funded by the same address put about $9.5k behind Xtreme Gaming in a coordinated push
  • One of the wallets wins 80% of its bets across 315 resolved markets and is up about $59k lifetime
  • Their buying helped move Xtreme up 11 points in about 3 minutes, showing real conviction despite a wide 11-point spread

$9,544 on Xtreme Gaming

Funded cluster backing Team Spirit

A profitable, high-volume serial cross-market bettor joined a 4-wallet funded cluster buying Team Spirit together, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a routine single bet.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 440 resolved trades and made about $136k profit overall
  • Four wallets funded by the same source all bought Team Spirit, putting in $13.4k combined
  • They entered at 41¢ in a market that just saw a 49x volume spike and a fast price move

$2,089 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 65%

97% win-rate esports bettor

A proven sharp sports wallet with a 97% win rate joined a 7-wallet one-sided move into Xtreme Gaming during a major volume spike, making this a strong trade to study despite the market moving against their entry.

  • This bettor wins 97% of their resolved trades and is up $421k across 69 settled positions
  • Seven wallets piled into Xtreme Gaming together for $15.3k as volume ran 44.5x above normal
  • This wallet has made 56 bets across 46 events with the same standout hit rate, suggesting repeatable edge

$1,152 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%

7-wallet one-sided push

A very new wallet with repeated large bets joined a 7-wallet one-sided push into Xtreme Gaming during a major volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite weak personal track record so far.

  • 7 wallets all bought Xtreme Gaming, putting in $15.3k on the same side.
  • This wallet is only 4 days old but has already triggered 17 large-bet alerts with $20.7k flagged.
  • The buy came during a 44.5x volume spike after Xtreme moved up fast, showing aggressive conviction rather than a routine bet.

$1,432 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 38596473, $59,229 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 38596473, $40,466 (91% win rate)
  3. 0xc690...42b8 Outcome 38596473, $13,986 (85% win rate)
  4. 0xd6f5...f3b5 Outcome 38596473, $10,750 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x69bf...0c5d Outcome 38596473, $10,049 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x7d11...99ca Outcome 38596473, $9,700 (89% win rate)
  7. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 38596473, $6,326 (73% win rate)
  8. 0x56c9...0d9e Outcome 38596473, $6,082 (92% win rate)
  9. 0x30db...07c3 Outcome 38596473, $5,101 (96% win rate)
  10. 0x70c1...dba0 Outcome 38596473, $5,000 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$71,438 tracked21 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Xtreme Gaming and Team Spirit in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 22 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 1 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Xtreme Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,310 on Xtreme Gaming at 33¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$2,517 on Team Spirit at 14¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,624 on Xtreme Gaming at 71¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,021 on Xtreme Gaming at 77¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$986 on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$2,175 on Team Spirit at 86¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$9,544 on Xtreme Gaming at 56¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$2,089 on Team Spirit at 41¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,152 on Xtreme Gaming at 59¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,432 on Xtreme Gaming at 59¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$988 on Xtreme Gaming at 59¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$3,176 on Team Spirit at 49¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$6,958 on Team Spirit at 48¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$6,099 on Team Spirit at 85¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$2,956 on Xtreme Gaming at 51¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$2,769 on Xtreme Gaming at 54¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$3,479 on Xtreme Gaming at 55¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$4,422 on Team Spirit at 47¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$9,839 on Xtreme Gaming at 19¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$4,930 on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,973 on Xtreme Gaming at 54¢

Related Theses