Part of: UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,347.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC

Notable Trades

Serial bettor scales into Orolbai

A high-volume UFC market saw a serial cross-market bettor add $17,600 to an existing Orolbai position during an extreme volume spike, though the trade is partly routine scaling rather than fresh entry.

  • A serial trader with 1,252 resolved bets and $141,655 in lifetime profit added $17,600 to Orolbai at 88¢.
  • Market activity was 491.6 times its historical average, making the concentrated pre-fight flow worth monitoring.
  • This adds to an existing $20,000 Orolbai position at the same 88¢ entry, signaling continued conviction but not a new price-discovery trade.

$17,600 on Myktybek Orolbai | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial trader backs Orolbai

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with $667k in profits bought the 88% favorite amid an extreme 492x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 6,956 resolved trades and is up $667,470 lifetime.
  • The $1,187 buy on Myktybek Orolbai came during a 491.6x historical volume spike, suggesting unusual pre-event interest.
  • Orolbai was bought at 88¢, so the trade reflects confidence in the heavy favorite rather than a long-shot value bet.

$1,187 on Myktybek Orolbai | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven sharp makes $21K UFC bet

A highly experienced and profitable bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial edge committed over $21,000 to Orolbai at 90%.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 841 resolved bets and is up nearly $985,000 lifetime.
  • They committed $21,476 to Myktybek Orolbai at 90%, sizing the trade far above the market’s recent volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 304 events and 503 markets, providing a substantial track record behind this position.

$21,476 on Myktybek Orolbai | Wallet win rate: 78%

Repeat new whale backing Orolbai

A repeat new wallet with early profitability is adding a concentrated $9,500 position to an existing Orolbai bet in a relatively thin market.

  • This repeat new wallet has invested another $9,500 on Orolbai after already committing $10,731 to the same outcome.
  • The bettor is up $1,596 and has won 67% of six resolved bets, though the track record remains small.
  • The trade represents over the full recent 24-hour market volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in a relatively thin market.

$9,500 on Myktybek Orolbai | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp wallets backing Orolbai

A coordinated three-wallet Orolbai buy is supported by a highly profitable 91% bettor and an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought Orolbai for $11,584 during a 910x historical volume spike.
  • One bettor wins 91% of 1,419 resolved positions and is up $251,000.
  • The position was entered around 88¢ in a liquid market, implying strong conviction despite already-favorable odds.

$11,584 on Myktybek Orolbai

Top Holders

  1. 0xd696...8a49 Outcome 64891568, $40,479 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xf438...9559 Outcome 64891568, $40,000 (48% win rate)
  3. 0xe7a2...ae70 Outcome 64891568, $32,000 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x10a6...4d8b Outcome 64891568, $24,862 (78% win rate)
  5. 0x5411...ff7d Outcome 64891568, $10,216
  6. 0x224f...514a Outcome 64891568, $10,000 (84% win rate)
  7. 0xa804...2a75 Outcome 64891568, $8,615 (64% win rate)
  8. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 64891568, $7,000
  9. 0x5e30...acbf Outcome 64891568, $5,648 (81% win rate)
  10. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 64891568, $5,000 (99% win rate)

Related Theses

England Ghana ends 1-1

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Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring

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Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals

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Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low

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Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring

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Early goal, exactly two total

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Bosnia keeps low-scoring match close

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UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Jeremiah Wells" if Jeremiah Wells is officially declared the winner of the fight against Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Myktybek Orolbai" if Myktybek Orolbai is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Myktybek Orolbai
92¢
87¢
81¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

8d ago

$17,600 on Myktybek Orolbai at 88¢

UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

8d ago

$1,187 on Myktybek Orolbai at 88¢

UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

8d ago

$21,476 on Myktybek Orolbai at 90¢

UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

11d ago

$9,500 on Myktybek Orolbai at 89¢

UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

8d ago

$11,584 on Myktybek Orolbai at 88¢

Related Theses

England Ghana ends 1-1
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Spread: England (-1.5)
Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Hal…
Tunisia keeps Japan close
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Will New Zealand win on 2026-0…Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15…Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand e…
Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half …
Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 6 related markets
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: …
Early goal, exactly two total
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2…Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st H…Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0…
Bosnia keeps low-scoring match close
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
United States vs. Bosnia and H…Spread: United States (-1.5)United States vs. Bosnia and H…