Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the Map 2 winner between Natus Vincere and Vitality in the IEM Atlanta Playoffs Counter-Strike quarterfinal. It resolves to the team that wins Map 2, with resolution scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 03:30 UTC; PolySpotter is tracking $9,066 in smart money across 3 signals for this market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and Vitality in the IEM Atlanta Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,289.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New wallet riding esports surge
A very new wallet is buying into Natus Vincere alongside a large pre-event volume surge and a 28-point price move, suggesting strong market momentum despite limited wallet history.
- A 1-day-old wallet bought Natus Vincere at 78¢ while the market was moving sharply upward.
- Market volume is 33.6x above normal, with Natus Vincere up about 28 points on the detected move.
- This is not a proven sharp yet, but the trade aligns with strong pre-match momentum and heavy market interest.
$1,539 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable trader fading spike
Profitable high-volume bettor faded Natus Vincere at the top of a sharp move, effectively buying Vitality at 13¢ before the market moved to 22¢.
- This bettor has 2,750 resolved trades and is up $185K lifetime.
- They sold Natus Vincere at 87¢, effectively buying Vitality at 13¢ before it moved to 22¢.
- The market had a 33.6x volume spike and a 28-point price move, making this a notable contrarian entry.
$3,654 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 60%
77% winner buying esports
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable 77% winner made a $3.9k Natus Vincere buy despite the low standalone price-impact signal.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $21k lifetime.
- They bought $3.9k of Natus Vincere at 59¢ on a liquid esports market.
- Natus Vincere has moved up 19 points today, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
$3,873 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 77%
81% winner buying underdog
Sharp profitable wallet with an 81% resolved-bet win rate bought Natus Vincere Map 2, making the bettor track record the main signal despite the price drifting lower afterward.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $17.4K lifetime.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 47¢, taking the underdog side in a liquid esports market.
- The trade helped drive a quick 11.5-point move upward, suggesting other money followed the same direction.
$1,900 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%
Perfect-record sharp bettor
Surfacing because a highly profitable wallet with a perfect 62-0 resolved record bought Vitality at 68¢ and the market has already moved to 76¢.
- This bettor has won 62 of 62 resolved bets and is up $92,272 lifetime.
- They bought Vitality at 68¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.
- Entry at 68¢ implies they saw meaningful value versus the current market price.
$1,000 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 100%
Two sharp wallets align
Three wallets bought the same side, including two highly profitable bettors with exceptional resolved track records, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite modest sizing.
- One bettor is 62-for-62 on resolved positions and up $92K lifetime.
- Another bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $9.7K on $30K invested.
- Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, entering around 62¢ before the market moved to 64¢.
$4,727 on Vitality
Profitable esports sharp buying
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $10.8k of Natus Vincere amid one-sided clustered flow, a 42x volume spike, and an 11.5-point rapid price move.
- This bettor has won 66% of 114 resolved bets and is up $222,816 lifetime.
- They bought $10,826 of Natus Vincere at 38¢, before the market moved to 46¢.
- Three wallets are all buying the same side, alongside a 42x volume spike and a fast 11.5-point move.
$10,826 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly experienced cross-market sports/esports trader with nearly $916k lifetime profit bought $5.3k of Vitality amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,526 resolved bets, 62% wins, and about $916k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 151 events with nearly $5.9M flagged in similar activity.
- Vitality was bought at 62¢ during an 87x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the position.
$5,289 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable esports serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 61% win rate is buying Vitality amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 61% of 969 resolved bets and is up $155K lifetime.
- They are a heavy repeat trader across 288 events, with $1.75M previously deployed.
- Market volume spiked 87x before the match, and this wallet is backing Vitality at 62¢.
$2,480 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x880b...c98b — Natus Vincere, $40,664 (66% win rate)
- 0xdb63...a71d — Vitality, $36,137 (63% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Natus Vincere, $16,123 (50% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Vitality, $13,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Natus Vincere, $13,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x93cc...6ffc — Natus Vincere, $12,372
- 0xed88...e838 — Natus Vincere, $10,034 (91% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Vitality, $9,058 (44% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Vitality, $8,531 (62% win rate)
- 0xbf5e...4189 — Vitality, $8,000 (56% win rate)
