Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,604.

Notable Trades

Three-wallet cluster backing Atmane

Three wallets concentrated $14,000 on Terence Atmane amid a 37.5x volume spike and an 11-point Tiafoe price drop, though the traders have mixed track records and existing positions.

Three wallets committed $14,009 to Atmane as Tiafoe’s price fell 11 points in two minutes.
The market saw a 37.5x surge over its historical trading pace, supporting a coordinated directional move.
Two wallets were adding to existing Atmane positions, while the third exited Tiafoe at 64¢ to effectively back Atmane.

$6,610 on Terence Atmane

Sharp bettor adds to Tiafoe

A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Tiafoe position amid a major price drop and volume spike.

This bettor has won 82% of 290 trades, earning $124,569 while entering at an average 46% price.
They added $1,737 to Tiafoe at 65¢ despite the outcome falling 22%, increasing an existing $2,673 position.
The market saw a 27.7x volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity around the match.

$1,737 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 84%

Proven sharp backing Tiafoe

A highly experienced bettor with 1,515 resolved trades and a substantial edge bought Tiafoe heavily, though the position is now underwater and should be followed cautiously.

This bettor has won 88% of 1,515 resolved trades and is up $55,848.
The $1,000 purchase was made at 80¢ despite a 27.7x volume spike, signaling strong conviction in Tiafoe.
Tiafoe has since fallen to about 66¢, so the position is underwater and the signal is worth studying rather than blindly chasing.

$1,000 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 87%

97% winner scaling into Tiafoe

A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate is adding to a large Tiafoe position amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 97% of 212 resolved trades and earned $784,809 in profit.
The wallet is adding to an existing $19,764 Tiafoe position at 89¢, signaling continued conviction.
Market volume is running 77x above its historical average while Tiafoe has risen 20% in one day.

$1,717 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp bettor leads Tiafoe cluster

Three wallets concentrated $7.3K on Tiafoe, led by a highly profitable bettor with an 83% historical win rate, though two participants are losing traders adding to existing positions.

A profitable bettor with an 83% win rate and $666K lifetime profit placed the largest trade, $5,000 at 75¢.
Three wallets bought Tiafoe for $7,338 as the market moved 6% higher over the past day.
Two wallets were adding to existing Tiafoe positions, so the cluster is meaningful but not uniformly sharp.

$6,528 on Frances Tiafoe

97% winner adds to Tiafoe

A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Tiafoe position at 75¢.

This bettor has won 97% of 146 resolved trades and is up $217,075.
The wallet has traded across 82 events, suggesting broad and repeatable market skill rather than a one-off bet.
Buying more at 75¢ reinforces an existing Tiafoe position as the market has risen 5% in one day.

$2,012 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

0x8201...8a41 — Outcome 51572292, $49,118 (69% win rate)
0xa2c9...2c23 — Outcome 51572292, $21,659 (82% win rate)
0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 51572292, $19,764 (97% win rate)
0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 51572292, $6,667 (83% win rate)
0xc293...fac3 — Outcome 51572292, $5,992 (94% win rate)
0xcf6e...7d1c — Outcome 51572292, $5,618 (100% win rate)
0x9d94...017d — Outcome 51572292, $5,417
0xf8ab...13a1 — Outcome 51572292, $5,000 (67% win rate)
0xc1a9...e2db — Outcome 51572292, $2,688 (97% win rate)
0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 51572292, $2,685 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane

ResolvedMubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane$19,604 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Terence Atmane in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Terence Atmane. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Frances Tiafoe”

79¢

73¢

68¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction