Magic vs. Pistons
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 19 at 6:30PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,241,454.
Categories: Sports, Basketball, Games, NBA
Notable Trades
98% winner fading underdog
A proven sharp sports trader with a 98% win rate sold Pistons at 15¢, which translates to buying Magic around 85¢ before the market moved to 96%.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $693k across nearly $5.9M invested
- The trade was effectively a buy on Magic at 85¢, and the market is now 96¢ after a sharp move
- This wallet has bet across 185 markets and 177 events with the same elite hit rate
$13,505 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 98%
New wallet chasing steam
A 4-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profits bought Magic at 90¢ just before a sharp move to 96%, suggesting strong short-term conviction despite the market already being heavily favored.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already made 4 flagged bets totaling $12.5k and is up $811 early
- They bought Magic at 90¢ and the price quickly moved to 96%, showing strong momentum behind the bet
- This market saw a 10x volume spike, but the trade was in a very liquid game market so the edge looks more momentum-driven than hidden-info driven
$2,991 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 100%
8-wallet funded cluster
An 8-wallet funded cluster is piling into Magic as the price breaks higher, suggesting coordinated conviction even though this specific ticket is modest relative to the market’s liquidity.
- 8 linked wallets funded by the same source are betting the same thesis here, a strong sign of coordinated conviction
- This wallet bought Magic at 73¢ and the market has already moved up to 80¢, so the trade is working immediately
- The wallet is new but already active, which can matter more when it appears inside a larger funded cluster
$1,984 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 100%
75% win-rate bettor
A proven 75% win-rate sports trader bought Magic before a sharp 16-point move, suggesting a bettor worth following despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 55 markets and is up $4.7k
- They bought Magic at 72¢ before the price jumped to 80¢, an 8¢ edge already locked in
- The wallet has traded 38 markets across 37 events, so this looks like a repeatable approach rather than a one-off bet
$1,761 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp cluster buying Pistons
A highly active and profitable sports trader bought Pistons alongside 6 other wallets in a large one-sided cluster, making this coordinated sharp flow worth watching despite the small individual ticket.
- This bettor has a huge record: 67% wins across 4,148 resolved bets and $15.5M profit
- Seven wallets all bought Pistons in the same push, totaling $45.3k of one-sided flow
- They entered at 41¢, well above the current 32¢ price after a fast 16-point move
$1,179 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 67%
7-wallet Pistons cluster
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate joined a 7-wallet one-sided cluster to buy Pistons after a major price move, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 73% of nearly 3,000 resolved markets and is up $5.6M lifetime
- Seven wallets piled into Pistons for $61.7k total, with some linked by the same funder
- The buy came at 37¢ after a sharp move, implying they still see value well above that price
$8,159 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp cluster buying Pistons
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 74% win rate sold Magic at 50¢, which converts to a Pistons buy, while 12 wallets piled into the same side for $85k.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades across 281 bets and has made about $180k profit
- 12 wallets all lined up on Pistons for $85k total, showing strong one-sided conviction
- This trade sold Magic at 50¢, which is equivalent to buying Pistons at 50¢ before the market moved to 40%
$36,404 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp bettor in 12-wallet cluster
A proven sharp wallet with an 81% win rate made a large Pistons buy as part of a 12-wallet one-sided cluster, and the market moved sharply higher afterward.
- This bettor wins 81% of their trades and is up $1.9M lifetime
- 12 wallets all bought Pistons, putting in $43.2k total on the same side
- This wallet bought at 48¢ and the market is now 72¢, showing strong follow-through
$16,449 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 81%
12-wallet Pistons cluster
A 12-wallet one-sided cluster bought Pistons before a sharp move higher, and this wallet is part of a massive serial cross-market bettor cohort with a solid long-run record.
- 12 wallets bought Pistons together for $43.2k, a strong one-way signal on this game
- This wallet has 370 resolved bets, wins 62% of the time, and is up $122k lifetime
- They bought at 48¢ and the market is now 72¢, showing immediate follow-through
$1,280 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 62%
91% winner in 10-wallet surge
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate bought Magic at 42¢ alongside a 10-wallet one-sided surge that pushed the price sharply higher.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $140k on $333k invested
- 10 wallets piled into Magic for $69k total, and the price jumped 16 points in under 5 minutes
- This wallet got in at 42¢ and the market is already at 50¢, showing immediate follow-through
$1,789 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xbd14...d62a — Pistons, $1,633,470
- 0x37c1...c53a — Magic, $481,798 (67% win rate)
- 0x0c15...9a45 — Magic, $242,122 (42% win rate)
- 0x7d92...8676 — Pistons, $223,188 (81% win rate)
- 0x751a...9ea1 — Magic, $195,903 (99% win rate)
- 0x3ef4...4f5e — Magic, $169,000
- 0x1117...3532 — Magic, $168,000 (58% win rate)
- 0xa2b5...4582 — Magic, $155,048 (43% win rate)
- 0x84db...aeeb — Magic, $129,310 (51% win rate)
- 0x8b52...568e — Pistons, $110,356 (64% win rate)
