Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)

This Polymarket tracks the set handicap outcome for Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego at the Barcelona Open, scheduled for April 16, 2026. The market resolves to Rublev if he wins by 2 or more sets than Sonego; otherwise it resolves to Sonego. Traders following tennis prediction market odds are watching this matchup ahead of the market’s expected resolution by April 23, 2026.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,264.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

98% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an extraordinary 98% win rate made a market-moving buy on the underdog side in a very thin tennis handicap market.

  • This bettor wins 159 of 163 resolved trades and is up $115.8k lifetime
  • They bought Sonego at 55¢ in a market with only $2.0k of 24h volume, so this was a meaningful conviction bet
  • The market has already moved from their 55¢ entry to 47¢, offering a cheaper follow price if their edge is real

$1,264 on Sonego | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x77a3...0e3f — Outcome 39079716, $2,287 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x00f8...2c23 — Outcome 39079716, $1,281
  3. 0xdeff...78f8 — Outcome 39079716, $482
  4. 0xc4c9...9ee4 — Outcome 39079716, $372
  5. 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 39079716, $245
  6. 0xc60b...d9f7 — Outcome 39079716, $100
  7. 0xcdb6...2992 — Outcome 39079716, $32
  8. 0x9bd9...084f — Outcome 39079716, $30
  9. 0xa0c5...4291 — Outcome 39079716, $25
  10. 0xb41e...11fd — Outcome 39079716, $24

Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)

5d$1,264 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rublev" if Andrey Rublev wins by 2 or more sets than Lorenzo Sonego, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sonego." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)

1d ago

$1,264 on Sonego at 55¢