Part of: LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 3 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 3 against MVK Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,732.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports, LoL Worlds 2026, Play-in

Notable Trades

Event trader scaling into Karmine Corp

A $16,400 add to an existing Karmine Corp position coincided with an extreme pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning, though the trader's record does not show a clear edge over entry odds.

  • The trader added $16,400 to an existing $32,682 Karmine Corp position at 82¢.
  • They traded across three markets in the event, while activity spiked to 1,176 times its historical average.
  • Their 66% win rate is below their 77¢ average winning entry price, so the record alone does not establish an edge.

$16,400 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 69%

Proven high-volume serial bettor

A highly profitable bettor with 2,616 resolved trades is buying Karmine Corp amid a major event-wide volume spike and repeated cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 2,616 resolved trades and is up $1.2M lifetime.
  • A 1,177× volume spike and activity across four markets in the event reinforce the Karmine Corp position.
  • The wallet bought Karmine Corp at 79¢, near the current 78% odds.

$3,160 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 80%

Whale adding to Karmine Corp position

A $30.9K add to an existing $54K position coincided with an exceptional event-volume spike and betting across three related markets, though the wallet's track record is not notably sharp.

  • The bettor added $30.9K to an existing Karmine Corp position worth about $54K.
  • Trading across three related markets totaled nearly $60K, alongside a 1,177× spike in event volume.
  • The wallet has a large positive lifetime P&L, but its 52% win rate is not strong evidence of an edge on its own.

$30,907 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader added to a Karmine Corp position during an exceptional pre-event volume spike, though the entry is slightly above the current price.

  • This bettor is up $206,662 across 4,675 resolved bets, with a 75% win rate.
  • Market activity spiked to 1,176 times its historical average as the bettor added $2,215 to Karmine Corp.
  • The trade was placed at 82¢, while the current odds are around 78¢.

$2,215 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable bettor adds to Karmine position

A sharp-volume surge accompanies a profitable, high-volume trader adding to an already substantial Karmine Corp position, though the wallet's win rate alone does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • A profitable bettor added $2,050 to a Karmine Corp position already carrying $25,000.
  • Market activity was flagged at 1,176 times its historical average across 15 trades.
  • The wallet is up $373,118 overall, though its 60% win rate is close to its average winning odds.

$2,050 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6100...ed95 — MVK Esports, $85,363 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x7c37...6aeb — MVK Esports, $53,697 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xc44f...d49f — MVK Esports, $45,494 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xce7d...898e — MVK Esports, $34,999 (66% win rate)
  5. 0x17f1...af18 — MVK Esports, $16,111 (56% win rate)
  6. 0xa997...ea38 — MVK Esports, $14,881
  7. 0x000e...f7e9 — MVK Esports, $12,500 (46% win rate)
  8. 0xf070...ac55 — MVK Esports, $12,278 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x6e2c...787c — MVK Esports, $11,886 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x5c72...7e7e — MVK Esports, $6,500 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

Karmine Corp sweeps GIANTX in playoffs

Covers 4 related markets

Karmine Corp sweeps MVK Esports

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine Corp sweeps MVK Esports

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili Gaming sweeps Top Esports

Covers 3 related markets

LOS wins; Lyon takes first two

Covers 3 related markets

England and France both win

Covers 2 related markets

Rays Will Beat Red Sox

Covers 1 related market

Top Esports beats Team WE

Covers 2 related markets

Vissel Kobe will not win

Covers 1 related market

BNK FEARX Wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In$54,732 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSportsLoL Worlds 2026Play-in
MVK Esports
0¢
Karmine Corp
100¢

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 3 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 3 against MVK Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

2026-10-16 20:13 UTC

$16,400 on Karmine Corp at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

2026-10-16 20:08 UTC

$3,160 on Karmine Corp at 79¢

79¢→100¢↑21¢

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

2026-10-16 20:08 UTC

$30,907 on Karmine Corp at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

2026-10-16 20:13 UTC

$2,215 on Karmine Corp at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

2026-10-16 20:13 UTC

$2,050 on Karmine Corp at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

Related Theses