Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Wimbledon ATP match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Ethan Quinn, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 8, 2026 if a winner is determined. PolySpotter is tracking $3,420 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts highlighting sharp interest backing Ethan Quinn.
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $129,031.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games, Wimbledon
Notable Trades
Hot new tennis bettor
A 1-day-old wallet with five straight resolved wins and positive P&L bought Mochizuki at 76¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- This new wallet is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and is up $1,349 so far.
- It bought Mochizuki at 76¢ before the market moved to 100¢, suggesting strong timing.
- This is the wallet’s fifth flagged position in about a day, totaling $7,482 in notable bets.
$1,500 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable tennis bettor
A brand-new wallet with early profit bought Mochizuki at 81¢ ahead of a move to 100¢, alongside a major volume spike.
- This 19-hour-old wallet is already up $2,064 across its first few positions.
- They bought Mochizuki at 81¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- The market saw a 21.9x volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy attention around this match.
$1,919 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial sports trader flipped/hedged into Ethan Quinn during a sharp pre-match odds move, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 165 resolved bets and is up about $178K lifetime.
- They effectively bought Ethan Quinn around 28¢ by selling Mochizuki and adding direct Quinn shares.
- The market saw a 39x volume spike and a 17-point move in under two minutes.
$4,830 on Ethan Quinn | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable new tennis whale
Profitable repeat new wallet put nearly $30k on Mochizuki amid a sharp pre-match volume spike and rapid price move.
- This 29-day-old wallet has repeatedly made large bets and is already up $15,065.
- They bought nearly $30k of Mochizuki at 76–77¢, and the market quickly moved to 84¢.
- Market volume spiked 38.8x while Mochizuki’s price jumped 17 points in under two minutes.
$29,666 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Ethan Quinn during a major pre-match volume surge, and the market has since moved against them, making the same side cheaper now.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 18,525 resolved bets, 63% wins, and $16.4M lifetime profit.
- They bought Ethan Quinn at 24¢ during a 38.8x volume spike before the match.
- The price has fallen to about 16¢ since their entry, so the same underdog side is now cheaper than the bettor paid.
$2,287 on Ethan Quinn | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports trader
Experienced profitable wallet bought Mochizuki before a sharp price jump amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This experienced bettor is up $111k lifetime across more than 2,100 resolved trades.
- They bought Mochizuki at 62¢ before the market jumped to 84¢ in a fast move.
- Market volume spiked 38.8x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match momentum behind the same side.
$1,271 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with a 73% win rate and $176,877 lifetime profit bought Mochizuki as the price moved sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 73% of 165 resolved trades and is up $176,877 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader, active across 241 events with nearly $800k total bet.
- Mochizuki moved up 17 points in under 2 minutes, and this wallet entered at 50¢ before the market reached 54¢.
$1,600 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable veteran tennis bettor
Experienced high-volume sports bettor with long-term profit bought Ethan Quinn amid a major volume spike and fast price move, though the market has moved against the entry.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 53,055 resolved trades, 69% wins, and $266,759 lifetime profit.
- They bought Ethan Quinn at 53¢, while the market now offers around 40¢, making the copy entry cheaper than theirs.
- The market saw a 33x volume spike and a 17-point move in under 2 minutes, suggesting fast-moving tennis information.
$1,030 on Ethan Quinn | Wallet win rate: 69%
9-wallet linked steam
High-conviction one-sided flow into Mochizuki with 9 wallets buying, a linked subcluster, a 132x volume spike, and a 24-point price move.
- 9 wallets bought the same side, totaling $34.8k, with 3 wallets sharing a funder.
- Volume spiked 132x above normal and the price is up 24 points in the past day.
- Entry at 51¢ is already moving in their favor, now around 55¢.
$2,780 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor placed a $6.9k Quinn bet in a relatively quiet tennis market, backed by a long positive track record.
- This bettor has 1,351 resolved trades, wins 65% of them, and is up $52k lifetime.
- They put $6.9k on Ethan Quinn, larger than the market’s recent quiet-volume baseline.
- Entry at 73¢ implies they see Quinn as a strong favorite despite already-high market odds.
$2,052 on Ethan Quinn | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 70636824, $59,106 (96% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 70636824, $21,479 (81% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 70636824, $19,823 (59% win rate)
- 0x3590...71c0 — Outcome 70636824, $8,834 (83% win rate)
- 0x8711...ff1c — Outcome 70636824, $7,859
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 70636824, $6,561 (99% win rate)
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 70636824, $6,137 (100% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 70636824, $5,600 (73% win rate)
- 0xe9d3...079f — Outcome 70636824, $5,031 (86% win rate)
- 0x9ec2...bd08 — Outcome 88343876, $4,554 (42% win rate)
Related Theses
Türkiye avoids defeat
Covers 3 related markets
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil-Japan match will happen
Covers 3 related markets
A favorite wins World Cup
Covers 7 related markets
