Part of: Pistons vs. Magic

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,814.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp cross-market sports bettor

A highly profitable 72% win-rate sports trader is re-entering the Pistons spread after already trading this market heavily, while also positioning across three related markets in the same game.

  • This bettor has won 2,576 of 3,566 resolved trades and is up $6.45M overall.
  • They have placed $51.8k across 3 markets tied to this same game, showing a broader game script view.
  • This buy came at 41¢ after a quick 11.5-point drop, suggesting they stepped in on cheaper odds.

$1,086 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 73%

74% winner selling Pistons

A proven 74% win-rate cross-market bettor joined a 3-wallet one-sided move against Pistons spread, helping drive a sharp price drop on a liquid NBA market.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $213k across 289 settled bets.
  • Three wallets lined up on Magic for $7.3k total, and the Pistons price dropped nearly 20 points.
  • This trade was effectively a buy on Magic around 62¢, showing a clear bet against the Pistons covering.

$1,229 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Coordinated buying by 3 wallets hit Magic after a fast 12.5-point move, and this wallet is a large, profitable serial sports trader with over $400k in realized gains.

  • This bettor has 1,958 resolved trades and is up about $402k overall.
  • Three wallets all bought Magic for $7.3k total as the price moved fast on this side.
  • They got in at 40¢, well below the current 59¢ market price.

$1,844 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 57%

81% win-rate sports bettor

A high-performing serial sports trader with an 81% win rate and $229k profit just put $5.3k into Pistons -3.5 near market price, making this a credible follow despite modest price impact.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $229k across 177 settled positions
  • They have traded 209 markets across 177 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Pistons -3.5 at 54¢, close to current 52¢ pricing, giving a reasonable copy entry

$5,325 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 81%

5-wallet Magic cluster

Five wallets piled into Magic at 50¢ for nearly $27k during a 58.5x volume spike, and several of them have strong long-run profits, making this a notable coordinated sports bet.

  • Five wallets bought Magic at 50¢ for nearly $27k in a tight burst, a strong coordinated signal.
  • Two of the wallets have elite results, including one up $6.5M with a 72% win rate and another up $1.7M with a 68% win rate.
  • The market moved from 50¢ to 60¢ right after the buys, so they already pushed this line in their favor.

$26,973 on Magic

Profitable new wallet whale

A very active 7-day-old wallet with nearly $609k in flagged bets and early profits just put $60k into Pistons spread, a size that suggests real conviction despite limited resolved history.

  • This 7-day-old wallet has already made about $609k in flagged bets and is up $39k early
  • They just placed a single $60k buy on Pistons spread, showing concentrated conviction
  • The bet went in at 51¢ while the market now sits near 43¢, so copying only makes sense at a better price

$60,266 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 67%

85% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable wallet with an exceptional 85% win rate and $1.5M P&L is taking a fresh position on Pistons -3.5, making this worth following despite the modest alert score.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up $1.5M lifetime.
  • They bought Pistons -3.5 at 51¢, close to a coin flip price with room if their edge is real.
  • This is a fresh single-wallet bet from a proven winner, not routine profit-taking.

$2,513 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 85%

94% win-rate NBA sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and $2.39M in profit just put nearly $20k on Magic at even odds in a major NBA spread market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $2.39M across 255 resolved positions
  • They have bet 48 markets across 40 events with the same strong results, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a lucky streak
  • They bought Magic at 50¢, meaning they likely see the spread as better than a coin flip at even money

$19,700 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 93%

97% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 97% win rate and strong positive edge is taking a fresh position on Pistons -3.5 at essentially even odds, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 59 of 61 resolved trades and is up about $39k overall.
  • They bought Pistons -3.5 at 51¢, close to even odds, suggesting they see clear value rather than chasing a heavy favorite.
  • The market is deep and liquid, so this looks like a deliberate pick from a proven bettor, not a move caused by a thin order book.

$1,005 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp cluster buying dip

A proven high-volume sports trader with a 72% win rate and $6.45M profit re-entered Pistons alongside two other wallets after a sharp price drop, creating a coordinated buy signal worth watching.

  • One wallet wins 72% of 3,566 resolved bets and is up $6.45M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought Pistons together right after a roughly 20-point price drop, suggesting coordinated dip-buying.
  • The strongest trader re-entered at 42¢ after previously trading this market, showing renewed conviction rather than routine profit-taking.

$4,241 on Pistons

Top Holders

  1. 0x9714...76ad Outcome 86225173, $118,168 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x3de4...b032 Outcome 86225173, $44,986 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x1a35...2fad Outcome 86225173, $26,701 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 86225173, $21,895 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x2114...84c5 Outcome 86225173, $20,508 (52% win rate)
  6. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 86225173, $17,845
  7. 0xf721...ecf5 Outcome 86225173, $17,373 (82% win rate)
  8. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 86225173, $13,997 (67% win rate)
  9. 0xa974...ef79 Outcome 86225173, $9,862 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x269c...9017 Outcome 86225173, $9,853 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

ResolvedPistons vs. Magic$146,814 tracked17 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DET
60-22
Kia Center
ORL
45-37
Draft Kings
Spread: DET -3.5O/U: 214.5ML: -166/+140
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

14d ago

$1,086 on Pistons at 41¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

14d ago

$1,229 on Magic at 62¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

14d ago

$1,844 on Magic at 40¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$5,325 on Pistons at 54¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$26,973 on Magic at 50¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$60,266 on Pistons at 51¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$2,513 on Pistons at 51¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$19,700 on Magic at 50¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$1,005 on Pistons at 51¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

14d ago

$4,241 on Pistons at 41¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$1,708 on Pistons at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$1,969 on Pistons at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$2,157 on Pistons at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$4,607 on Pistons at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$7,895 on Pistons at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$3,288 on Pistons at 49¢

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

15d ago

$1,007 on Pistons at 49¢

Related Theses