UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

This Polymarket covers the UFC 327 early prelim welterweight bout between Charles Radtke and Francisco Prado, resolving to the fighter officially declared the winner. If the bout ends in a draw, no contest, or is postponed beyond April 25, 2026, the market resolves 50-50. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,637 in smart money activity on this fight, with 1 smart money signal recently flagged.

This market will resolve to "Charles Radtke" if Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,491.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

77% win-rate sharp

A highly active trader with a strong 77% win rate and nearly $474k profit is buying Francisco Prado at 41¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection flag.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved markets and is up $473,776 lifetime
  • They have traded 212 markets across 184 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Francisco Prado at 41¢ while the market sits around 40%, implying they see Prado as undervalued at roughly 2.4x payout

$2,637 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 77%

82% win-rate sports bettor

A proven profitable sports trader with an 82% win rate and broad cross-market activity is buying Charles Radtke at 63¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $25.2k on $105.6k invested
  • They have bet across 112 events and 130 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Charles Radtke at 63¢, close to the current ask, showing fresh conviction instead of profit-taking

$1,483 on Charles Radtke | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% win-rate bettor

A proven profitable sports-style trader with an 82% win rate and broad cross-market activity is making a fresh $3k buy on Charles Radtke at 63¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $25.2k overall
  • They have bet across 111 events and 129 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Charles Radtke at 63¢, pricing him like a solid favorite but still leaving room if the bettor is right

$2,967 on Charles Radtke | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% win-rate bettor

A high-performing wallet with an 82% win rate and nearly $500k profit is taking an underdog position on Francisco Prado at 38¢, which is notable even though the automated alert score is low.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $491k lifetime
  • They bought the underdog at 38¢, implying they see Prado as clearly undervalued
  • The bet is modest at $1.1k, but it came from a proven sharp wallet rather than routine market flow

$1,144 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% win-rate UFC sharp

A highly profitable 82% win-rate sports trader with over 250 resolved bets is taking a meaningful underdog position in a relatively thin UFC market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up about $491k lifetime
  • They've traded 170 markets across 139 events, showing a strong repeat edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Francisco Prado at 37¢ in a market with only about $5k of 24-hour volume, signaling real conviction on the underdog

$1,260 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7966...6f94 Charles Radtke, $11,881 (89% win rate)
  2. 0x27f7...44b0 Francisco Prado, $10,146 (82% win rate)
  3. 0x832d...d420 Francisco Prado, $9,627 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xafba...e61b Francisco Prado, $7,914 (69% win rate)
  5. 0x8982...59fb Charles Radtke, $7,064 (82% win rate)
  6. 0xd1e6...1dc1 Francisco Prado, $5,800 (100% win rate)
  7. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Charles Radtke, $5,332 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x37c1...c53a Charles Radtke, $5,246 (67% win rate)
  9. 0x4a1b...724f Charles Radtke, $3,247 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x8bb0...ca79 Francisco Prado, $2,583 (21% win rate)

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UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

Resolved$9,491 tracked5 signalsSportsUFCGames
Charles Radtke
62¢
Francisco Prado
39¢

This market will resolve to "Charles Radtke" if Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Charles Radtke
65¢
63¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

9h ago

$2,637 on Francisco Prado at 41¢

41¢39¢2¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

11h ago

$1,483 on Charles Radtke at 63¢

63¢62¢1¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

11h ago

$2,967 on Charles Radtke at 63¢

63¢62¢1¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

2d ago

$1,144 on Francisco Prado at 38¢

38¢39¢1¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

3d ago

$1,260 on Francisco Prado at 37¢

37¢39¢2¢

Related Theses