UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,013.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

3-wallet breakout cluster

Three wallets piled into Charles Radtke as the market broke sharply upward, including two large buys at 58-59¢ before the price jumped to 89%, making this a strong momentum-following cluster despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Three wallets bought the same side within minutes as Radtke jumped 27 points in a day.
  • Two of the buys got in at 58-59¢, far below the current 89¢ price, showing strong early conviction.
  • The market saw a 212x volume spike, suggesting fast new information hit this fight market.

$8,568 on Charles Radtke

Sharp bettor in 3-wallet surge

A proven profitable bettor with a 79% win rate joined a 3-wallet $23.8k wave into Francisco Prado during an extreme pre-fight volume spike, making this a strong flow signal despite the market moving sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up $133k across 214 resolved bets
  • Three wallets put $23.8k on Francisco Prado as market activity jumped 219x versus normal
  • The entry was 51¢, but the market is now 16¢, showing this thesis has been heavily rejected since the buy

$1,011 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 78%

82% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and $726k profit is buying Francisco Prado at 38¢, making this underdog entry worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 361 resolved markets and is up $726k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related events — 260 markets over 206 events — which suggests a repeatable edge
  • Buying Prado at 38¢ means they see the underdog as meaningfully undervalued

$1,943 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 82%

77% win-rate sharp

A highly active trader with a strong 77% win rate and nearly $474k profit is buying Francisco Prado at 41¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection flag.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved markets and is up $473,776 lifetime
  • They have traded 212 markets across 184 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Francisco Prado at 41¢ while the market sits around 40%, implying they see Prado as undervalued at roughly 2.4x payout

$2,637 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 76%

82% win-rate sports bettor

A proven profitable sports trader with an 82% win rate and broad cross-market activity is buying Charles Radtke at 63¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $25.2k on $105.6k invested
  • They have bet across 112 events and 130 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Charles Radtke at 63¢, close to the current ask, showing fresh conviction instead of profit-taking

$1,483 on Charles Radtke | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% win-rate bettor

A proven profitable sports-style trader with an 82% win rate and broad cross-market activity is making a fresh $3k buy on Charles Radtke at 63¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $25.2k overall
  • They have bet across 111 events and 129 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Charles Radtke at 63¢, pricing him like a solid favorite but still leaving room if the bettor is right

$2,967 on Charles Radtke | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% win-rate bettor

A high-performing wallet with an 82% win rate and nearly $500k profit is taking an underdog position on Francisco Prado at 38¢, which is notable even though the automated alert score is low.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $491k lifetime
  • They bought the underdog at 38¢, implying they see Prado as clearly undervalued
  • The bet is modest at $1.1k, but it came from a proven sharp wallet rather than routine market flow

$1,144 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% win-rate UFC sharp

A highly profitable 82% win-rate sports trader with over 250 resolved bets is taking a meaningful underdog position in a relatively thin UFC market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up about $491k lifetime
  • They've traded 170 markets across 139 events, showing a strong repeat edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Francisco Prado at 37¢ in a market with only about $5k of 24-hour volume, signaling real conviction on the underdog

$1,260 on Francisco Prado | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa4f5...1079 Outcome 26934057, $43,690 (54% win rate)
  2. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 26934057, $25,167 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xe524...d34f Outcome 26934057, $23,151 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xc65c...ea39 Outcome 26934057, $11,732 (54% win rate)
  5. 0x832d...d420 Outcome 26934057, $9,627 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 59706626, $8,397 (66% win rate)
  7. 0xafba...e61b Outcome 26934057, $7,914 (69% win rate)
  8. 0x1433...56a0 Outcome 26934057, $7,176 (97% win rate)
  9. 0x6f8b...01aa Outcome 26934057, $7,137 (36% win rate)
  10. 0x477f...6c45 Outcome 26934057, $6,899 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

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UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

Resolved$21,013 tracked8 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Charles Radtke" if Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Charles Radtke
65¢
63¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

6h ago

$8,568 on Charles Radtke at 59¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

6h ago

$1,011 on Francisco Prado at 51¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

7h ago

$1,943 on Francisco Prado at 38¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

9h ago

$2,637 on Francisco Prado at 41¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

11h ago

$1,483 on Charles Radtke at 63¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

12h ago

$2,967 on Charles Radtke at 63¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

2d ago

$1,144 on Francisco Prado at 38¢

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

3d ago

$1,260 on Francisco Prado at 37¢

Related Theses

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | PolySpotter