Part of: Australia vs. Türkiye - More Markets
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $433,646.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
85% winner buys underdog spread
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Türkiye -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume surge.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved positions and is up $73k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 31 events with the same 85% win rate.
- Türkiye is priced around 31¢, so the bet is a high-upside view that they win by 2+ goals.
$1,500 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 91%
Whale pre-game Australia bet
A single whale put nearly $392k on Australia +1.5 into a massive pre-event volume spike, though the wallet has no resolved track record.
- One bettor put nearly $392k on Australia +1.5 just before the market close.
- The market saw a 2,138x volume spike versus its historical average, driven by heavy late money.
- Entry around 70¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Türkiye will not win by 2+ goals.
$392,283 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 100%
76% winner leads cluster
A profitable 76% lifetime bettor with $569k P&L is part of a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying Türkiye into a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $569k is buying Türkiye here.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $8.3k, all around 31–32¢.
- This market’s volume spiked sharply before the game, with nearly $287k traded in 24 hours.
$8,279 on Türkiye
97% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Australia on the spread, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved positions and is up about $258K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 69 events, 103 markets, and $435K traded.
- They bought Australia at 69¢, backing Türkiye not to win by 2+ goals.
$3,435 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 97%
New whale repeat bettor
A very new wallet with repeated large-bet alerts has put another $5.7k on Australia in a liquid World Cup spread market, suggesting notable fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet has already made 3 flagged large bets totaling $116k.
- This bet adds $5.7k on Australia at 69¢ in a high-volume World Cup spread market.
- The wallet has no resolved track record yet, so the signal is conviction rather than proven skill.
$5,726 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 100%
Elite bettor exits spread
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% record and large lifetime profit is exiting Türkiye -1.5, implying a lean toward Australia covering at about 70¢, though this is a position close rather than a fresh large bet.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $345k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $829k tracked across 208 events.
- Selling Türkiye at 30¢ implies they no longer like the favorite to cover the -1.5 spread.
$1,329 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 83%
New repeat sports whale
A one-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable sports bets, with $10.4k total flagged and early profit from its first resolved position.
- This wallet is only 1 day old but has already made 6 flagged bets totaling $10.4k.
- It is already up $1.6k from its first resolved position, though the track record is still very short.
- This bet buys Türkiye -1.5 at 32¢, implying a high-upside view that they win by 2+ goals.
$2,000 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 78%
New repeat sports whale
A one-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable sports bets, with $10.4k total flagged and early profit from its first resolved position.
- This wallet is only 1 day old but has already made 6 flagged bets totaling $10.4k.
- It is already up $1.6k from its first resolved position, though the track record is still very short.
- This bet buys Türkiye -1.5 at 32¢, implying a high-upside view that they win by 2+ goals.
$2,335 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 78%
New repeat sports whale
A one-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable sports bets, with $10.4k total flagged and early profit from its first resolved position.
- This wallet is only 1 day old but has already made 6 flagged bets totaling $10.4k.
- It is already up $1.6k from its first resolved position, though the track record is still very short.
- This bet buys Türkiye -1.5 at 32¢, implying a high-upside view that they win by 2+ goals.
$2,411 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 78%
88% winner buying spread
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying Australia on the spread despite only a weak automated signal.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.17M lifetime.
- They bought Australia at 69¢, backing Türkiye not to win by 2+ goals.
- The wallet has been flagged 15 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-volume bettor.
$2,629 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 48122666, $50,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Outcome 48122666, $21,110 (74% win rate)
- 0x3da4...367e — Outcome 48122666, $16,058 (81% win rate)
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 48122666, $10,800 (70% win rate)
- 0xdb15...8393 — Outcome 48122666, $10,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x03c5...5f61 — Outcome 48122666, $7,317 (94% win rate)
- 0xd34a...78c7 — Outcome 48122666, $6,250 (78% win rate)
- 0xc0df...5974 — Outcome 48122666, $4,845 (91% win rate)
- 0x8dee...412b — Outcome 48122666, $3,226 (96% win rate)
- 0xd146...9bf0 — Outcome 48122666, $3,000 (40% win rate)
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