Part of: Australia vs. Türkiye - More Markets

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 14 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Australia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $433,646.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

85% winner buys underdog spread

Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Türkiye -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume surge.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved positions and is up $73k lifetime.
They are a serial sports/event trader across 31 events with the same 85% win rate.
Türkiye is priced around 31¢, so the bet is a high-upside view that they win by 2+ goals.

$1,500 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 92%

Whale pre-game Australia bet

A single whale put nearly $392k on Australia +1.5 into a massive pre-event volume spike, though the wallet has no resolved track record.

One bettor put nearly $392k on Australia +1.5 just before the market close.
The market saw a 2,138x volume spike versus its historical average, driven by heavy late money.
Entry around 70¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Türkiye will not win by 2+ goals.

$392,283 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 100%

76% winner leads cluster

A profitable 76% lifetime bettor with $569k P&L is part of a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying Türkiye into a major pre-event volume spike.

A bettor who wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $569k is buying Türkiye here.
Three wallets bought the same side for $8.3k, all around 31–32¢.
This market’s volume spiked sharply before the game, with nearly $287k traded in 24 hours.

$8,279 on Türkiye

97% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Australia on the spread, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved positions and is up about $258K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 69 events, 103 markets, and $435K traded.
They bought Australia at 69¢, backing Türkiye not to win by 2+ goals.

$3,435 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 97%

New whale repeat bettor

A very new wallet with repeated large-bet alerts has put another $5.7k on Australia in a liquid World Cup spread market, suggesting notable fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

A 1-day-old wallet has already made 3 flagged large bets totaling $116k.
This bet adds $5.7k on Australia at 69¢ in a high-volume World Cup spread market.
The wallet has no resolved track record yet, so the signal is conviction rather than proven skill.

$5,726 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 100%

Elite bettor exits spread

Sharp sports bettor with an 84% record and large lifetime profit is exiting Türkiye -1.5, implying a lean toward Australia covering at about 70¢, though this is a position close rather than a fresh large bet.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $345k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $829k tracked across 208 events.
Selling Türkiye at 30¢ implies they no longer like the favorite to cover the -1.5 spread.

$1,329 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 82%

New repeat sports whale

A one-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable sports bets, with $10.4k total flagged and early profit from its first resolved position.

This wallet is only 1 day old but has already made 6 flagged bets totaling $10.4k.
It is already up $1.6k from its first resolved position, though the track record is still very short.
This bet buys Türkiye -1.5 at 32¢, implying a high-upside view that they win by 2+ goals.

$2,000 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 78%

New repeat sports whale

A one-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable sports bets, with $10.4k total flagged and early profit from its first resolved position.

This wallet is only 1 day old but has already made 6 flagged bets totaling $10.4k.
It is already up $1.6k from its first resolved position, though the track record is still very short.
This bet buys Türkiye -1.5 at 32¢, implying a high-upside view that they win by 2+ goals.

$2,335 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 78%

New repeat sports whale

A one-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable sports bets, with $10.4k total flagged and early profit from its first resolved position.

This wallet is only 1 day old but has already made 6 flagged bets totaling $10.4k.
It is already up $1.6k from its first resolved position, though the track record is still very short.
This bet buys Türkiye -1.5 at 32¢, implying a high-upside view that they win by 2+ goals.

$2,411 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 78%

88% winner buying spread

A highly profitable bettor with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying Australia on the spread despite only a weak automated signal.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.17M lifetime.
They bought Australia at 69¢, backing Türkiye not to win by 2+ goals.
The wallet has been flagged 15 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-volume bettor.

$2,629 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 88%