Part of: Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Team Falcons and 9z in the PGL Astana Counter-Strike 2 Group Stage match. It resolves to Team Falcons or 9z based on who wins the opening map, with resolution expected on May 10, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,247 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent sharp buying on Falcons.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,985.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster bought Falcons
Three wallets, including two with exceptional win records and a serial cross-market sharp, bought Team Falcons together at 51–54¢ before the market later moved to resolved odds.
- Two wallets in this cluster win 93–98% of their resolved bets, with one up $188K lifetime.
- Three wallets all bought Team Falcons within two minutes, totaling $6.9K at around 53¢.
- One bettor has traded 39 related events with a 98% record, suggesting a strong esports edge.
$6,885 on Team Falcons
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly active cross-market esports trader with strong lifetime profit bought 9z before a 19-point move, making this a worthwhile momentum/sharp-flow alert despite modest size.
- This bettor has won 62% of 548 resolved bets and is up about $392K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 165 events with over $812K in flagged activity.
- Their 49¢ entry on 9z is already moving in the right direction, with 9z now around 52% after a 19-point price jump.
$1,231 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 62%
93% winner buys dip
Sharp 93% winner bought Team Falcons after a major price drop, though the position is modest and currently slightly underwater.
- This bettor has won 26 of 28 resolved trades and is up $11.5K lifetime.
- They bought Team Falcons at 51¢ after the price fell about 26 percentage points from its prior range.
- The market is liquid, so this looks more like sharp dip-buying than a thin-market anomaly.
$1,016 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 93%
98% esports sharp
Elite 98% winner with strong cross-market history and linked-wallet support bought Falcons at 88%, now ahead of the move to 92%.
- This bettor has won 40 of 41 resolved positions and is up $188K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 38 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Three linked wallets share a funder, adding support to the same betting group.
$3,498 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial event bettor
Proven profitable esports/sports-style bettor with a 78% win rate and strong cross-market history is taking a large Team Falcons position in a thin Map 1 market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $84K lifetime.
- They have traded 25 related events across 32 markets, showing a repeat pattern rather than a one-off bet.
- The $1.36K buy was nearly 68% of the market’s 24h volume, a large position for a thin market.
$1,355 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x7d4d...8525 — Outcome 18339780, $17,717 (98% win rate)
- 0x8cbf...0eb4 — Outcome 18339780, $3,576 (74% win rate)
- 0x4e8d...febf — Outcome 18339780, $3,283 (72% win rate)
- 0x611a...e171 — Outcome 18339780, $2,800 (76% win rate)
- 0x3471...f17e — Outcome 18339780, $2,427 (49% win rate)
- 0x2d39...6053 — Outcome 18339780, $2,314 (48% win rate)
- 0xc639...b442 — Outcome 18339780, $2,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x8c14...d8fb — Outcome 18339780, $1,947 (58% win rate)
- 0xebe7...ddf5 — Outcome 18339780, $1,773 (79% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — Outcome 18339780, $1,757 (48% win rate)
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