Part of: Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Arc’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $500 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,335 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this Arc pre-market FDV outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,335.

Categories: Crypto, FDV, Pre-Market, Arc

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market specialist

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes on a thin Arc FDV market, with the bet dwarfing recent activity and already moving in their favor.

  • This bettor has made 465 resolved trades, wins 70%, and is up about $116K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 31 events with nearly $148K deployed in this pattern.
  • The $1.3K Yes buy was far larger than recent activity on a thin market and entered at 76¢ before odds moved to 80¢.

$1,335 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7d26...a7d1 No, $2,651 (55% win rate)
  2. 0xc9f9...c5e8 No, $1,311 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x95b1...e3b6 Yes, $1,237
  4. 0xa3e9...63d0 Yes, $1,128 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x8454...331a Yes, $1,118 (91% win rate)
  6. 0xd063...5ccd No, $1,000
  7. 0x7495...7fcf Yes, $706
  8. 0x1f85...a51b Yes, $529 (72% win rate)
  9. 0xdd5c...0c2a No, $500 (69% win rate)
  10. 0x9f14...7328 No, $428 (29% win rate)

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Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?

476dArc FDV above ___ one day after launch?$1,335 tracked1 signalCryptoFDVPre-MarketArc
Yes
69¢
No
32¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “Yes
82¢
74¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?

80d ago

$1,335 on Yes at 76¢

76¢69¢7¢

Related Theses