Part of: Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $103,626.

Categories: NBA, Games, Sports, Basketball

Notable Trades

5-wallet spread cluster

Five wallets piled into Raptors +8.5 for $23.6k in a strong pregame volume spike, including one elite high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate and $5.1M profit.

  • Five wallets bought Raptors +8.5 within minutes for $23.6k as market activity jumped 66x above normal.
  • The group includes a bettor with a 73% win rate over 2,690 resolved trades and $5.1M in profit.
  • They entered around 51¢ in a fairly liquid market, showing coordinated conviction rather than a random small bet.

$23,621 on Raptors

Serial timer with $1.1M P&L

A proven high-volume bettor with over $1.1M in profits made a last-minute Cavaliers spread buy as part of a 4-wallet one-sided push into the same side.

  • This bettor has made over $1.1M and repeatedly bets right before resolution, with 67 near-resolution bets across 42 markets.
  • Four wallets piled into Cavaliers together for nearly $19.9k, which adds conviction beyond this single $2.8k buy.
  • The market was highly active before close, and this buy came at 50¢ with a tight 1¢ spread.

$2,784 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 53%

99% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 99% win rate and broad cross-market success bought Cavaliers -8.5 at an even 50¢ price during a sharp pregame volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 70 of 71 resolved markets and is up about $327k lifetime
  • They have placed nearly $700k across 121 markets, so this looks like a proven operator rather than a random whale
  • They bought Cavaliers -8.5 at 50¢ during a 95x volume spike, suggesting they saw value at even odds

$1,478 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp sports bettor at 50¢

A highly profitable 76% win-rate sports trader with $3.35M in profit made a fresh $24k bet into a major pregame volume spike, making this a credible signal worth following.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $3.35M lifetime across 90 resolved markets.
  • They have bet more than $1.5M across 68 related markets, suggesting a repeatable edge in this kind of event.
  • They bought Raptors +8.5 at 50¢ during a 95x pregame volume spike, a clean even-money entry.

$24,031 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable sports regular

A profitable high-volume sports trader with 327 resolved bets bought Cavaliers -8.5 into an unusually large pregame volume surge, making this a modest but worthwhile follow signal.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 327 resolved markets and is up about $89k overall.
  • They bought into a 95x volume spike before game time, suggesting broader money is lining up on the same side.
  • Entry at 50¢ is a clean even-money price with plenty of liquidity still available.

$3,415 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 66%

3-wallet spread cluster

Three experienced sports traders bought Raptors +8.5 together around 50-51¢ and the market has already moved to 57¢, making this coordinated, profitable flow worth surfacing despite only moderate individual win rates.

  • Three wallets hit Raptors +8.5 together for $6.2k at 50-51¢, and the price quickly moved to 57¢.
  • Two of the three wallets are profitable over large sample sizes, including one up $172k and another up $991k lifetime.
  • They also trade many related markets across this event set, suggesting a deliberate game thesis rather than a one-off bet.

$6,243 on Raptors

Sharp cluster hit Cavaliers

Five wallets piled $36k into Cavaliers -8.5 at 57¢, including multiple highly profitable high-win-rate bettors, and the market has already moved to 75%.

  • Two standout bettors in this cluster win 87% and 94% of their resolved trades and are up about $606k and $1.88M.
  • Five wallets bought Cavaliers -8.5 within a minute, putting $36k to work at 57¢ before the price jumped to 75¢.
  • The market was already seeing unusual action, with volume running 401x above normal and a 25-point move in one day.

$36,430 on Cavaliers

90% win-rate sharp

A proven high-volume sharp bettor with a 90% win rate bought Cavaliers -8.5 at an even 50¢ price, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 90% of 828 resolved markets and is up about $45.0M lifetime
  • They trade across 55 markets in 26 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Cavaliers -8.5 at 50¢, an even-money entry that suggests they see the spread as mispriced

$3,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial market bettor

A very active and highly profitable sports-style trader with a massive history bought Cavaliers -8.5 at 49¢, making this a reasonable sharp-bettor signal despite only a moderate composite score.

  • This bettor has won 2,650 of 3,954 resolved trades and is up $14.1M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across events — 565 markets and $8.1M tracked in this signal alone.
  • They bought Cavaliers -8.5 at 49¢ in a liquid market, suggesting a modest edge rather than random whale activity.

$2,625 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x777d...5143 Outcome 80737499, $75,000 (58% win rate)
  2. 0xd38a...8d26 Outcome 80737499, $49,113 (79% win rate)
  3. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 80737499, $9,432 (95% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 80737499, $5,401 (73% win rate)
  5. 0xc991...abd4 Outcome 80737499, $4,777 (83% win rate)
  6. 0x1d5c...4f26 Outcome 80737499, $2,000 (66% win rate)
  7. 0xacc5...c31f Outcome 80737499, $2,000 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x9f45...0510 Outcome 80737499, $1,970
  9. 0x4bb2...a656 Outcome 80737499, $1,970 (72% win rate)
  10. 0xe802...e465 Outcome 80737499, $1,478 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

ResolvedRaptors vs. Cavaliers$103,626 tracked9 signalsNBAGamesSportsBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 18 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

TOR
46-36
Rocket Arena
CLE
52-30
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -8.5O/U: 222.5ML: +295/-375
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$23,621 on Raptors at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$2,784 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$1,478 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$24,031 on Raptors at 50¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$3,415 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$6,243 on Raptors at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$36,430 on Cavaliers at 57¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$3,000 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

24d ago

$2,625 on Cavaliers at 49¢

Related Theses