Part of: Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $160,596.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite sharp buys underdog

Elite 93% win-rate esports bettor with $3.47M profit is taking a $14.9k underdog position, backed by linked-wallet activity and cross-market sharp history.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $3.47M lifetime.
  • They put $14.9k on the 13¢ underdog, implying a high-conviction contrarian read.
  • Three linked wallets share a funder, and this trader has a strong record across 102 events.

$14,918 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 95%

93% sharp backed cluster

Elite 93% win-rate esports bettor with $3.5M profit is making a large underdog bet, backed by linked-wallet activity and pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $3.47M lifetime.
  • They put $17.7K on a 14% underdog, suggesting a high-conviction mispricing call.
  • Three funded wallets are aligned here, and market volume is 14.8x above normal before the match.

$17,741 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 95%

93% winner betting underdog

A highly profitable 93% win-rate esports bettor with extensive cross-market history is buying the 16-18¢ underdog, with linked-wallet support and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $3.47M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 101 events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • Three wallets sharing a funder are on this side, while market volume is running 12x above normal.

$2,823 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 395-market track record bought FlyQuest at 88¢ despite the market already pricing them as heavy favorites.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 395 resolved markets and is up about $742k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 88 events with nearly $930k in tracked volume.
  • They bought FlyQuest at 88¢, signaling confidence even with the market already making FlyQuest a heavy favorite.

$2,195 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 53%

Serial bettor up $8.8M

A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $8.4k of FlyQuest, supported by a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 1,446 resolved bets and is up $8.8M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 358 events with over $15.6M in tracked activity.
  • FlyQuest was bought at 82¢ while the market now sits around 84¢, showing early value on the entry.

$8,379 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 58%

94% serial sharp

Sharp, profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought FlyQuest despite the market since drifting lower.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved positions and is up $65K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events with the same 94% hit rate.
  • They bought FlyQuest at 89¢, while current odds near 82¢ offer a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.

$2,374 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp bettor on underdog

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: an 85% winner with +$129.5K P&L made a $7.2K underdog bet despite weak alert signals and adverse price movement.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $129,540 lifetime.
  • They put $7.2K on the underdog at 32¢, well above the market’s current 18¢ price.
  • Pre-match volume is running 15.5x above normal, though the market has moved against their entry.

$7,241 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 86%

94% winner backs favorite

Sharp esports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L bought $5.5k of FlyQuest amid a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved trades and is up $65k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 30 events with the same 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • A $5.5k FlyQuest buy came during an 18.6x pre-event volume spike.

$5,497 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp underdog cluster

Three profitable wallets, including two with exceptional track records, bought $22.4k of the CS underdog during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • Two bettors in this cluster have elite records: one wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $3.8M, another wins 85% and is up $130k.
  • Three wallets bought $22.4k of the same underdog, creating a strong one-sided signal before the match.
  • The market is now at 18%, below their 26–32% entries, so the same side is available cheaper than their buys.

$22,416 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER

Proven esports sharp on underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.43M lifetime profit bought the underdog despite a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $1.43M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 123 events with a long profitable track record.
  • Entry at 26¢ backs the underdog and implies they see a roughly 4x payout opportunity.

$1,076 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 35170511, $202,579 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x5966...f804 Outcome 35170511, $142,872 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x66ec...8c18 Outcome 35170511, $44,123 (22% win rate)
  4. 0x44c5...8d45 Outcome 35170511, $43,480 (79% win rate)
  5. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 35170511, $40,000 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x880b...c98b Outcome 35170511, $31,951 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x54c2...23ad Outcome 35170511, $23,716 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x45a7...1137 Outcome 35170511, $20,601 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 35170511, $19,231 (88% win rate)
  10. 0xa41c...fade Outcome 35170511, $12,000 (57% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

G2 wins in three maps

Covers 3 related markets

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

ResolvedCounter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$160,596 tracked23 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between THUNDER dOWNUNDER and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 4 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "THUNDER dOWNUNDER" if THUNDER dOWNUNDER win the match against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against THUNDER dOWNUNDER. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$14,918 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 13¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$17,741 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 14¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$2,823 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 17¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$2,195 on FlyQuest at 88¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$8,379 on FlyQuest at 82¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$2,374 on FlyQuest at 89¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$7,241 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 32¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$5,497 on FlyQuest at 84¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$22,416 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 28¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$1,076 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 26¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$20,679 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 25¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$1,500 on FlyQuest at 75¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$14,312 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 24¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$4,800 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 24¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$1,558 on FlyQuest at 77¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$4,944 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 24¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$2,828 on FlyQuest at 77¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$1,463 on FlyQuest at 77¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$2,749 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 23¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$4,600 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 23¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$1,500 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 24¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$7,149 on FlyQuest at 77¢

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

44d ago

$7,852 on FlyQuest at 77¢

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