Part of: Suns vs. Thunder

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $399,221.

Categories: Sports, Basketball, Games, NBA

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate and $2.19M P&L bought Thunder -15.5 at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 93¢.

  • This bettor has won 2,512 of 3,510 resolved trades and is up $2.19M lifetime
  • They trade across many related markets with scale: 908 markets across 370 events and $3.4M in total volume
  • Bought Thunder at 87¢ and the market is now 93¢, showing immediate price confirmation

$4,460 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 70%

71% win-rate sports grinder

A high-volume sports bettor with a strong long-term track record is active again, and their losing entry on this spread market could still be worth following because of sustained edge across 1,100+ resolved bets.

  • This bettor wins 71% of their trades across 1,110 resolved bets and is up $62.5k overall
  • They have traded 793 markets across 625 events, which suggests repeatable sports betting skill rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Thunder at 83¢ in a liquid market; even with the price now at 76¢, the main signal is the bettor’s long-term edge

$1,990 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 73%

74% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 74% win rate put nearly $5k into Thunder -15.5, making this worth watching despite the price moving against their entry.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $180k across 281 settled bets
  • They have traded 573 markets across 530 events, which points to a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Thunder at 76¢ for nearly $5k, and the market now sits near 68¢, giving a better follow price than the original entry

$4,963 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 74%

4-wallet late-game cluster

A 4-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Thunder seconds before resolution during a major volume spike, suggesting coordinated late-game conviction despite this wallet's mediocre standalone track record.

  • 4 wallets all bought Thunder together for $33.8k total, a strong one-way push on the same outcome
  • The bet landed just 0.7 minutes before resolution, when late-game edges can matter most in live sports
  • Market volume was running 35x above normal, confirming unusual action rather than a routine single bet

$3,066 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 64%

4-wallet Thunder push

A repeat new wallet joined a 4-wallet, $33.8k one-sided push into Thunder during a major pregame volume surge, suggesting coordinated conviction despite no proven track record yet.

  • Four wallets bought Thunder together for $33.8k total, a strong one-sided signal on the same outcome.
  • This wallet is only 15 days old but has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts, showing aggressive repeat sizing.
  • The market saw a 35x jump in activity before tipoff, and this buyer paid 55¢ with a tight 1¢ spread.

$1,871 on Thunder

9-wallet Thunder pile-in

A large 9-wallet cluster piled into Thunder on the spread, including a profitable high-volume sports trader, creating strong coordinated directional flow worth watching.

  • 9 wallets all bought Thunder on this spread, totaling $119k, with 2 wallets linked by funding source.
  • This wallet has a long track record: 3,623 resolved bets and $171k profit.
  • Bought at 54¢ while market volume suddenly jumped 249x, showing coordinated conviction before the game.

$1,890 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp cluster backing Thunder

A highly profitable 74% win-rate sports trader joined a 9-wallet coordinated Thunder position with nearly $50k at 53¢ amid a massive pregame volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime across $25.8M invested
  • 9 wallets all bought Thunder, putting $119k behind the same side, with some wallets sharing funding
  • The buy came at 53¢ and the market is now 56¢ after a 249x pregame volume surge

$49,295 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 50%

Serial timer exits into Thunder

A highly profitable serial live-betting wallet sold out of Suns 3 minutes before resolution, which converts to a strong buy-Thunder signal and is backed by a 9-wallet one-sided cluster.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $2.95M lifetime across more than 1,200 bets.
  • The trade came 3.4 minutes before resolution, and this wallet has 13 late bets across 9 markets with a strong history in live markets.
  • Nine wallets leaned the same way for $119k total, and this sell of Suns at 45¢ translates to buying Thunder around 55¢.

$25,662 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp cluster buying Suns

Three wallets, including two highly profitable high-volume traders, coordinated nearly $12k into Suns on a spread market during a strong volume spike, signaling a potentially informed contrarian bet.

  • Two bettors in this cluster have strong long-term records, including one up $15.5M with a 67% win rate and another up $5.5M with a 73% win rate.
  • Three wallets bought nearly $11.9k of Suns in a few minutes during a 16x volume spike, showing coordinated conviction.
  • They entered at 45-49¢ while Suns now trade at 36¢, so the market moved against them after entry.

$11,888 on Suns

90% win-rate sports bettor

A small but notable NBA spread bet from a bettor with a strong early track record, placed during an extreme pre-game volume surge at a price slightly better than the current market.

  • This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved trades and is up nearly $9.9k on about $21.9k invested
  • They bought Suns at 48¢ while the market now prices Suns around 46¢, suggesting they caught a favorable entry
  • This came during a 623x volume spike before tipoff, which often signals sharper money entering the market

$2,953 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 17716395, $100,000 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 17716395, $50,178 (67% win rate)
  3. 0xb8be...3d54 Outcome 17716395, $31,972 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 17716395, $13,605 (73% win rate)
  5. 0x99e0...5052 Outcome 17716395, $13,000 (41% win rate)
  6. 0xdb27...c56e Outcome 17716395, $11,028 (90% win rate)
  7. 0x5555...2af1 Outcome 17716395, $9,216 (92% win rate)
  8. 0xe0a2...40d5 Outcome 17716395, $6,153 (91% win rate)
  9. 0xf57e...bbd6 Outcome 17716395, $4,742 (94% win rate)
  10. 0xf41a...ea2b Outcome 17716395, $2,500 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

ResolvedSuns vs. Thunder$399,221 tracked14 signalsSportsBasketballGamesNBA

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 19 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PHX
45-37
Paycom Center
OKC
64-18
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -16.5O/U: 216.5ML: +850/-1450
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$4,460 on Thunder at 87¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$1,990 on Thunder at 83¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$4,963 on Thunder at 76¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$3,066 on Thunder at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$1,871 on Thunder at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$1,890 on Thunder at 54¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$49,295 on Thunder at 53¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$25,662 on Thunder at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$11,888 on Suns at 46¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$2,953 on Suns at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$1,478 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$8,513 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$1,251 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

23d ago

$279,942 on Thunder at 53¢

Related Theses