Part of: Brazil vs. Norway

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $154,516.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

82% serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 82% record is buying Brazil Yes despite the market being fairly liquid.

This bettor has won 82% of 45 resolved trades and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 32 events with $82K in similar positioning.
Buying Yes at 54¢ implies they still see value with Brazil only slightly favored.

$1,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Two-day repeat bettor

A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profit is buying Brazil Yes at 53¢, though the market itself is fairly liquid.

This 2-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged bets totaling about $20k.
The wallet is up $3k so far, with its only resolved bet winning.
Buying Yes at 53¢ suggests they see Brazil as better than a coin flip in regulation.

$1,012 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable new sports wallet

A 25-day-old wallet with early profits is making its third flagged large bet, buying $5.6k of Brazil Yes at 54¢.

This 25-day-old wallet is already up $1,553 with 3 wins and no resolved losses.
It has now made 3 flagged large bets, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
Entry at 54¢ implies a near-even sports edge with Brazil currently moving slightly higher on the day.

$5,567 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

80% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp 80% win-rate wallet with a strong cross-market sports record is buying Brazil No into a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 113 positions and is up $5.2k lifetime.
They have a strong cross-market record: 25 events traded with an 80% win rate.
Entry at 47¢ on No implies they see Brazil as more vulnerable than the market suggests.

$1,072 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Whale backs Yes pre-game

A very large, concentrated Yes buy from a highly active cross-market whale coincided with an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the wallet is not a proven winner.

A very active whale bought $125k of Yes at 53¢ in three near-simultaneous trades.
The buying came during a 2,378x volume spike, suggesting a sudden wave of attention before the game.
This wallet has traded across 625 markets, though its lifetime P&L is negative, so this is mainly a strong flow signal.

$125,253 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Two-day repeat bettor

A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profit is buying Brazil Yes at 53¢, though the market itself is fairly liquid.

This 2-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged bets totaling about $20k.
The wallet is up $3k so far, with its only resolved bet winning.
Buying Yes at 53¢ suggests they see Brazil as better than a coin flip in regulation.

$1,007 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

98% winner buying Yes

Elite profitable bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and major cross-market history bought $19.5k of Brazil Yes at 51¢.

This bettor has won 51 of 52 resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
They have traded across 86 events with a 98% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
The $19.5k buy at 51¢ implies they see Brazil as meaningfully underpriced.

$19,525 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 97578927, $1,038,735
0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 10565471, $650,000 (98% win rate)
0xee5c...0695 — Outcome 10565471, $394,230
0xe9a6...627b — Outcome 10565471, $361,263 (100% win rate)
0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 10565471, $243,295 (98% win rate)
0xab71...53fd — Outcome 10565471, $177,008
0x5b4e...0232 — Outcome 10565471, $126,723 (95% win rate)
0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 10565471, $120,715 (81% win rate)
0x440a...035a — Outcome 10565471, $101,453 (45% win rate)
0xf751...fec8 — Outcome 10565471, $100,550 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

France wins by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

ResolvedBrazil vs. Norway$154,516 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 5, 2026 If Brazil wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.