Spread: Heat (-18.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 4 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 19 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $75,924.

Notable Trades

Serial timer cluster on Wizards

Six wallets piled $65k into Wizards +18.5 just 2.7 minutes before resolution, led by a proven serial last-minute bettor with $8.1M profit and a documented near-resolution edge.

  • A six-wallet cluster bought $65k of Wizards +18.5 in the final 3 minutes before the game settled.
  • The lead wallet has 55 near-resolution bets across 29 markets and is up $8.1M overall with a measured edge on these late entries.
  • They entered around 50-51¢, which means they were treating this as materially better than a coin flip despite the market already being live and close to resolution.

$65,482 on Wizards

Profitable serial timer

A highly profitable serial last-minute sports trader bought Heat -18.5 at 49¢ just 4.5 minutes before resolution, a pattern that has generated nearly $948k in profit.

  • This wallet has made 33 near-resolution bets across 19 markets and is up $947,688 overall
  • The bet came just 4.5 minutes before the game resolved, which is this trader's standout pattern
  • They bought at 49¢ in a tight market, effectively calling the spread outcome a coin flip or better

$3,803 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable new wallet pressing Wizards

A 2-day-old wallet that has already been flagged 15 times and is up nearly $10k made a $5.5k bet into a pregame volume surge, suggesting repeat high-conviction activity worth watching.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 15 times and is up $9.8k early
  • It put $5.5k on Wizards in three buys around 50-51¢, showing clear conviction
  • The market was seeing a 112x jump in volume, so this bet landed during unusually active pregame trading

$5,456 on Wizards | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable new wallet

A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profitability is buying Wizards against a steep Heat spread amid a major pre-game volume surge, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already made 12 flagged bets and is up $9.8k.
  • The bettor is 3 for 3 so far and bought Wizards at 51¢, a near-even price on this spread.
  • Market volume is surging far above normal before tipoff, which supports the idea that informed money is moving in.

$1,182 on Wizards | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4924...3782 Heat, $478,452 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Wizards, $159,999 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x37c1...c53a Wizards, $143,895 (66% win rate)
  4. 0xee61...debf Wizards, $83,754 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xa080...234f Wizards, $19,700 (43% win rate)
  6. 0xd106...c79c Wizards, $15,921 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x93ab...9723 Heat, $14,805 (51% win rate)
  8. 0xd6bd...3096 Wizards, $13,751 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xf166...9cf5 Wizards, $11,909 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x6814...a9e7 Wizards, $10,771

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Heat (-18.5)

Resolved$75,924 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Heat
55¢
Wizards
46¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 4 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 19 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-18.5)

12h ago

$65,482 on Wizards at 51¢

51¢46¢5¢

Spread: Heat (-18.5)

13h ago

$3,803 on Heat at 49¢

49¢55¢6¢

Spread: Heat (-18.5)

13h ago

$5,456 on Wizards at 50¢

50¢46¢4¢

Spread: Heat (-18.5)

13h ago

$1,182 on Wizards at 51¢

51¢46¢5¢

Related Theses

Spread: Heat (-18.5) | PolySpotter