Part of: Argentina vs. Algeria
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
39 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,153,247.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market soccer sharp
Profitable bettor with a 76% record made a large Argentina YES buy amid a major volume spike and cross-market positioning.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $188K lifetime.
- They put $12.8K on Argentina at 89¢, and the market has already moved to 98¢.
- The same wallet has $25.6K positioned across 3 related event markets, alongside a 40x volume spike.
$12,838 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable sports volume trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader is re-entering Argentina Yes amid strong pre-game volume and price momentum, though the position size is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor is up $3.7M lifetime across more than 46,000 resolved bets.
- They have traded across 2,266 events and are buying Argentina at 83¢ after a 12-point daily move.
- Pre-game activity is elevated, with volume running 29x above the market’s historical average.
$3,088 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial trader into momentum
A profitable high-volume serial trader is buying Argentina Yes alongside a 29x pre-event volume spike and a 12-point move higher.
- This bettor is up $235k across 856 resolved bets, with a long history across 101 events.
- Market activity is surging 29x above normal, and Argentina Yes has moved up 12 points in the past day.
- The $8.3k buy at 83¢ aligns with strong pre-game momentum on a very liquid market.
$8,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable new whale
A 6-day-old wallet with $516k profit and 7-for-7 resolved record is putting $160k more on Argentina Yes during a major pre-event volume surge.
- This 6-day-old bettor is already up $516k and has won all 7 resolved bets.
- They just added $160k on Yes across four large buys at 83–84¢.
- Market volume is surging 27.5x while Argentina has moved up 12 points in the last day.
$160,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Contrarian sharp cluster
Six wallets made a coordinated contrarian No bet, including a highly profitable whale and a strong 89% historical winner, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- Six wallets put $34.6k on No, a coordinated bet against a heavy favorite.
- One No buyer is up $11.5M lifetime across $185M traded, suggesting this is not random flow.
- The entry was around 18¢, but No now trades near 2¢, so this is a high-risk contrarian follow.
$34,637 on No
Profitable 76% sports bettor
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 76% record and $171k lifetime profit is buying Argentina despite a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $171k lifetime.
- They bought Argentina Yes at 83¢, adding conviction in a market already moving up 11 points today.
- Pre-game volume is running 15.9x above normal, supporting the momentum behind the bet.
$1,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
New whale backing momentum
Brand-new repeat whale bought $24.8k of Argentina Yes into a strong volume spike and a roughly 20-point move upward.
- A 15-hour-old wallet has already triggered four large-bet alerts, with $43k in flagged positions.
- This trade put $24.8k on Argentina Yes at 82¢, a high-conviction entry on a heavy favorite.
- Market flow supports the same direction: volume is 24x normal and Yes has moved up about 20 points.
$24,757 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 4-day-old repeat whale bought $10k of Argentina Yes at 64¢ ahead of a major move to 82¢, alongside a large pre-event volume spike.
- A 4-day-old wallet has now been flagged 9 times with $212k in large bets.
- This trade caught Argentina at 64¢ before the market jumped to 82¢.
- Market volume spiked 23.8x, with Yes up about 20 percentage points.
$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
82% winner joins No cluster
A highly profitable 82% winner is buying No alongside a large 37-wallet same-direction cluster, despite Argentina being heavily favored.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $662K lifetime.
- 37 wallets have piled into the same No side for $246K, including 7 linked by a shared funder.
- No is priced around 19¢, so the trade is fading Argentina as a heavy favorite with roughly 5x upside if correct.
$1,686 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
37-wallet No cluster
High-conviction coordinated No flow from 37 wallets is worth surfacing despite this specific new wallet lacking a track record and the market moving toward Yes.
- 37 wallets are all betting No, totaling $245K, with 7 wallets linked by shared funding.
- This is a very one-sided contrarian position against an Argentina price that has jumped 12 points in the past day.
- The wallet is only 2 days old and has already made multiple flagged bets, though its short record is not yet profitable.
$1,260 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Outcome 25194550, $991,015 (77% win rate)
- 0x8428...9210 — Outcome 25194550, $261,098 (67% win rate)
- 0x91ce...16ec — Outcome 25194550, $189,999 (55% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 25194550, $138,295
- 0x86d2...731d — Outcome 25194550, $136,313 (94% win rate)
- 0xa8a5...122b — Outcome 25194550, $124,380 (63% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 25194550, $90,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 25194550, $76,285 (56% win rate)
- 0x9243...658e — Outcome 25194550, $75,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 25194550, $72,277 (87% win rate)
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