Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $743,681.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Six-wallet No cluster

High-score 6-wallet No cluster with one very sharp bettor, though much of the move has already played out and several trades were exits from prior Yes positions.

Six wallets put $22.6K behind No as the market sharply moved away from a draw.
One participant has won 95% of 95 resolved bets and is up $48.7K lifetime.
The cluster’s effective No entry was about 32¢; No now trades near 96¢, so the original edge is gone above 42¢.

$22,605 on No

Profitable whale in No cluster

High-scoring coordinated No flow with seven wallets, a linked-funder cluster, a 19x volume spike, and a highly profitable high-volume wallet, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.

Seven wallets are all buying No, totaling $22k, with two wallets linked by shared funding.
This bettor has traded massive size and is up about $890k lifetime.
Volume spiked 19x, but No has fallen from this 77¢ entry to 34¢ since the buy.

$5,477 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

Coordinated draw-buying surge

High-scoring coordinated Yes buying and a major pre-event volume spike pushed the draw price sharply higher, despite this specific wallet having a poor long-term record.

Multiple wallet groups are all buying Yes, including a 6-wallet wave totaling $69k.
The draw price has jumped from this bettor’s 33–44¢ entries to 56¢ now.
Volume is nearly 20x normal ahead of the match, with Yes up 19 points in 24 hours.

$9,397 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

Sharp cluster buying draw

Eight wallets, including a highly profitable 92% winner, are collectively betting nearly $20k on the draw after a major pre-event volume spike.

A bettor who wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $680k joined this same draw position.
Eight wallets all bought the same side for $19.6k, with some entries as low as 24–25¢.
Market volume is spiking 35x versus normal, suggesting unusually strong pre-game interest.

$19,604 on Yes

Sharp wallets bought No

Surface: a $229k No cluster includes two strongly profitable, high-win-rate wallets and coincides with a huge pre-event volume spike, though there is notable opposing Yes flow.

Two proven bettors joined the No side, including one who wins 93% of bets and is up $230k lifetime.
Six wallets bought $229k of No at 64¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.
Volume spiked 340x before the match, suggesting heavy informed positioning on this draw market.

$229,533 on No

95% winner joins draw flow

A highly profitable 95% win-rate serial sports trader bought Yes alongside large one-sided flow into the draw outcome.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $385K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 242 events tracked and a 95% hit rate.
Three wallets have pushed $310K the same way, with market volume spiking 383x before the match.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

New whale in draw surge

Huge late Yes draw buy from a repeat new whale, backed by a 383x volume spike and three-wallet same-side flow.

A 16-day-old wallet put $307K on the draw at 36¢, part of nearly $2M in recent flagged bets.
Three wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $310K on Yes.
Market volume spiked 383x before the event, suggesting a sudden wave of conviction.

$307,236 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

New whale buying draw

A 16-day-old repeat whale bought $70K of Yes on the draw at 36¢ amid a 121x pre-event volume spike, making this a notable conviction trade despite limited resolved history.

A 16-day-old wallet put $70K on the draw at 36¢ in two buys.
This wallet has triggered 20 large-bet alerts totaling $1.7M in flagged activity.
Market volume spiked 121x above normal, suggesting unusually strong pre-event interest.

$70,251 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

11-wallet Yes surge

Strong one-sided Yes flow from 11 wallets drove a sharp price move and volume spike, with several experienced profitable sports traders involved.

11 wallets bought $67.6K of Yes, far outweighing the smaller $15.7K No flow.
The price jumped from the low 60s to 76%, backed by a 28x volume spike before the match.
Several active traders in the cluster are profitable, including wallets up $623K and $234K lifetime.

$67,623 on Yes

Elite 88% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $920k profit bought No on the Egypt–Iran draw market, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $920k lifetime.
They have traded 267 markets across 244 events, showing a long-running sports edge.
Entry at 63¢ suggests they see No as underpriced despite a highly liquid market.

$2,001 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 50522080, $926,871
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 50522080, $140,096
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 50522080, $67,522 (63% win rate)
0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 50522080, $41,700 (72% win rate)
0x8806...2e83 — Outcome 50522080, $25,065 (72% win rate)
0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 50522080, $10,000 (76% win rate)
0x0a63...fc03 — Outcome 50522080, $6,000 (81% win rate)
0xde76...7d17 — Outcome 50522080, $5,800 (81% win rate)
0x06f2...1269 — Outcome 50522080, $5,051 (54% win rate)
0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 50522080, $4,004 (88% win rate)

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Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

ResolvedEgypt vs. IR Iran$743,681 tracked13 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

73¢

41¢

9¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction