Part of: BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $92,788.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor sold Fabian at 41¢, which converts to buying Tsitsipas at 59¢, and their trade came alongside a sharp 25.5-point market move.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $139k across 51 settled positions.
- They trade across 59 events with the same strong results, which makes this a credible signal rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Fabian at 41¢ is equivalent to buying Tsitsipas at 59¢, and the market moved 25.5 points in minutes.
$2,296 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 97%
86% win-rate contrarian
A very high-win-rate serial cross-market bettor sold Tsitsipas, which translates to buying Marozsan around 43¢ after an 18-point move, suggesting a sharp contrarian entry despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved markets across 437 bets and has traded nearly $6.0M across 336 events
- The trade effectively buys Fabian Marozsan around 43¢ by selling Tsitsipas at 57¢
- It came during a fast 18-point move in 5 minutes, suggesting the bettor stepped in against the surge
$2,226 on Fabian Marozsan | Wallet win rate: 86%
98% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 98% win rate sold Tsitsipas at 56¢, which translates to buying Marozsan at 44¢ right after a sharp market move.
- This bettor wins 170 of 173 resolved trades and is up $133k lifetime
- They have traded 97 related events with the same 98% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge
- Selling Tsitsipas at 56¢ is equivalent to buying Marozsan at 44¢ after an 18-point price swing
$1,776 on Fabian Marozsan | Wallet win rate: 98%
New wallet backing favorite
A brand-new wallet sold Marozsan into a sharp pre-match move, effectively buying Tsitsipas at 57¢ as the market shifted toward him on heavy event volume.
- A 3-hour-old wallet put $2.2k into this match, which is unusually large for a brand-new account.
- This sale of Marozsan at 43¢ is effectively a buy of Tsitsipas at 57¢, close to the current 60¢ market price.
- Match volume jumped 15.8x normal and Marozsan fell nearly 18 points, showing broader money moving the same way.
$2,230 on Stefanos Tsitsipas
Sharp cross-market buyer
Three wallets piled into Fabian Marozsan as the price jumped quickly, including one large profitable serial cross-market trader with a strong long-term record.
- A bettor with a 72% win rate and $311k profit joined this move, and they have traded 461 markets across 346 events
- Three wallets all bet Fabian Marozsan in a short burst while his price jumped from 42-45¢ to 46¢
- Buying around 42-45¢ means they see the underdog as better than a coin flip
$4,525 on Fabian Marozsan
Serial trader fades favorite
Large sell into a fast-moving pre-match tennis market by a serial cross-market trader suggests a fresh contrarian bet on Marozsan at roughly 19¢ equivalent.
- This wallet has bet across 63 events for more than $535k, showing a repeatable cross-market approach.
- The trade was large at $14.5k and sold Tsitsipas at 81¢, which is equivalent to buying Marozsan around 19¢.
- Market activity surged 57.5x versus normal and Tsitsipas moved fast, so this bettor stepped in against a sharp pre-match move.
$14,459 on Fabian Marozsan | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp bettor buying underdog
A highly profitable serial event trader with an 80% win rate and $2.86M P&L just took a fresh underdog position in a major tennis market at 22¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up $2.86M lifetime across 1,195 resolved bets
- They trade heavily across events — 151 events and 158 markets for $3.54M total — which suggests a repeatable edge, not a one-off bet
- They bought Fabian Marozsan at 22¢ in a liquid match market, a cheap underdog entry that now trades lower at 18¢
$2,497 on Fabian Marozsan | Wallet win rate: 80%
Pro sports bettor on underdog
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate bought the underdog at 17¢, and the price has already moved up to 20¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up $2.9M across nearly 1,200 resolved markets
- They have traded 157 markets across 150 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Fabian Marozsan at 17¢ and the market is already at 20¢, showing early follow-through
$1,227 on Fabian Marozsan | Wallet win rate: 80%
90% win-rate tennis bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 90% win rate bought Stefanos Tsitsipas during a sharp upward move, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 90% of their trades across 1,007 resolved markets and is up $72.6k overall
- They bought Stefanos at 84¢ during a fast 18-point price surge, showing conviction as the market moved
- This is a liquid tennis market, so the signal comes from the bettor's track record more than from market impact
$1,221 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 89%
86% win-rate serial bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with an 86% hit rate stepped into a market seeing unusual pre-match activity and a fast price move, making this worth watching despite the favorite price.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 433 bets and has traded 358 markets in 333 events
- This market saw a 56.5x volume spike before the match and Tsitsipas jumped 18 points in 5 minutes
- They bought Stefanos Tsitsipas at 84¢, showing confidence even after a sharp move in a very active market
$1,166 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 56569001, $9,411 (72% win rate)
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 56569001, $6,194 (77% win rate)
- 0xf93d...fc9b — Outcome 56569001, $3,912 (74% win rate)
- 0x021c...232f — Outcome 56569001, $3,657 (99% win rate)
- 0xd7db...ee3e — Outcome 56569001, $2,500 (94% win rate)
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 56569001, $2,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 56569001, $1,395 (44% win rate)
- 0x6a2f...f09f — Outcome 56569001, $1,048
- 0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 56569001, $1,000 (68% win rate)
- 0xb5e7...3c1a — Outcome 56569001, $968
