Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open qualifying match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days, the market rules apply accordingly. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,004 in smart money activity on this market, including signals tied to high win-rate tennis bettors.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,965.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
93% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $83k profit is taking Daniel Merida Aguilar at 58¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up $83k across 327 resolved positions
- They have made 555 bets across 530 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off guess
- They bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 58¢, implying they see fair odds meaningfully above the current price range
$1,004 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 93%
92% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.77M P&L is taking Daniel Merida Aguilar at 55¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $2.77M across 304 resolved positions.
- They have bet across 50 related markets and 42 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
- They bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 55¢, a clear directional bet from a proven sports trader.
$1,961 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $3,806
- 0xfe78...0319 — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $3,690 (73% win rate)
- 0x1b4d...e246 — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $3,565 (92% win rate)
- 0x77f6...dbd1 — Marco Trungelliti, $3,326 (46% win rate)
- 0xec59...bb35 — Marco Trungelliti, $2,900 (63% win rate)
- 0x9f3e...a5b5 — Marco Trungelliti, $2,534
- 0x1467...4372 — Marco Trungelliti, $2,439 (48% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Marco Trungelliti, $2,359
- 0xb045...7633 — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $2,300
- 0x8aa6...83f9 — Marco Trungelliti, $2,199 (45% win rate)
