Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open qualifying match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days, the market rules apply accordingly. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,004 in smart money activity on this market, including signals tied to high win-rate tennis bettors.

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,965.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

93% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $83k profit is taking Daniel Merida Aguilar at 58¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up $83k across 327 resolved positions
  • They have made 555 bets across 530 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off guess
  • They bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 58¢, implying they see fair odds meaningfully above the current price range

$1,004 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 93%

92% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.77M P&L is taking Daniel Merida Aguilar at 55¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $2.77M across 304 resolved positions.
  • They have bet across 50 related markets and 42 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 55¢, a clear directional bet from a proven sports trader.

$1,961 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x84ad...bfb7 Daniel Merida Aguilar, $3,806
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Daniel Merida Aguilar, $3,690 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x1b4d...e246 Daniel Merida Aguilar, $3,565 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x77f6...dbd1 Marco Trungelliti, $3,326 (46% win rate)
  5. 0xec59...bb35 Marco Trungelliti, $2,900 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x9f3e...a5b5 Marco Trungelliti, $2,534
  7. 0x1467...4372 Marco Trungelliti, $2,439 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x9c76...c926 Marco Trungelliti, $2,359
  9. 0xb045...7633 Daniel Merida Aguilar, $2,300
  10. 0x8aa6...83f9 Marco Trungelliti, $2,199 (45% win rate)

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Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

6d$2,965 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames
Marco Trungelliti
49¢
Daniel Merida Aguilar
52¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Daniel Merida Aguilar
60¢
57¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

4h ago

$1,004 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 58¢

58¢52¢6¢

Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

10h ago

$1,961 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 55¢

55¢52¢3¢

Related Theses

Trungelliti vs Merida Aguilar Polymarket Odds | PolySpotter