Part of: Haiti vs. Scotland
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,034,837.
Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Perfect-record soccer bettor
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a perfect 26-0 resolved record and $35.8k profit bought the draw at 19¢.
- This bettor has won all 26 resolved bets and is up $35.8k lifetime.
- They bought the draw at 19¢, implying a payout of about 5.3x if Haiti vs. Scotland ends level.
- The wallet has been flagged 7 times before, suggesting this is a recurring sharp bettor rather than a one-off trade.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% win-rate sports sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market sports history bought No on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.04M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 394 events with the same 94% win rate.
- They bought No at 83¢, showing confidence the match avoids a draw despite heavy market volume.
$1,297 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable bettor joins draw cluster
Three wallets bought the draw against the market, including one profitable 76% winner, but the signal is tempered by the very liquid market and recent price moving against them.
- A bettor who wins 76% of resolved trades joined the same side with a $1.5k equivalent buy.
- Three wallets put $5.1k on the draw within minutes, all effectively buying Yes around 16¢.
- This is a high-volume soccer market, so the cluster is more notable for the profitable wallet than for size alone.
$5,096 on Yes
Linked wallets backing draw
A known 4-wallet funded cluster is taking the draw side ahead of Haiti vs. Scotland amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the trader's standalone track record is not strong.
- A 4-wallet funded group is backing the draw with $12k total.
- Market volume spiked 134x above its historical pace before the match.
- Selling No at 78¢ is equivalent to buying the draw at 22¢.
$12,012 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
5-wallet No surge
Huge coordinated in-game flow into No, led by a new wallet and 5-wallet one-sided cluster, moved the draw market from roughly 38¢ No to 78¢ No.
- Five wallets piled into No for about $694k, creating a strong one-sided move against the draw.
- A new 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and put over $700k across 3 markets in this event.
- The main No entry was around 38¢ and has already jumped to 78¢, so the edge may be gone unless the price pulls back.
$719,828 on No
92% sports sharp buying No
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% record and extensive cross-market history bought No twice on a liquid Haiti-Scotland draw market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $175K lifetime.
- They have traded across 76 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Two equal buys at 79¢ show fresh conviction that Haiti vs. Scotland does not end in a draw.
$4,423 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
New whale backing draw
A very new wallet made a huge, mostly draw-focused position across this match, contributing to an extreme pre-event volume spike despite having no resolved track record yet.
- An 8-day-old wallet placed $286k across three markets on this match, with $326k total flagged recently.
- On this market, the wallet is net long the draw: about $217k on Yes versus $69k on No.
- The flow came with a 768x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated match-day interest.
$286,553 on Yes
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample is buying No on a quiet soccer market, with the trade exceeding recent 24h volume.
- This bettor has won 74% of 227 resolved trades and is up about $52K lifetime.
- They have traded across 47 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
- This $2K buy is larger than the market’s entire reported 24h volume, showing notable conviction.
$2,039 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial event trader
A modestly profitable serial cross-market trader with 234 resolved bets is taking a $1.6k No position that exceeds this quiet market's 24h volume.
- This bettor has a long record: 234 resolved bets, a 60% win rate, and $6.5k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $57.8k placed across 28 events.
- This $1.6k No buy is larger than the market’s $1.2k 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
$1,588 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x1c02...efd0 — Outcome 24186604, $1,495,555
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 29520100, $899,242
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 24186604, $46,152 (65% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 24186604, $34,855 (57% win rate)
- 0x8239...d9a3 — Outcome 24186604, $17,185 (94% win rate)
- 0x26d6...cacc — Outcome 24186604, $13,822 (51% win rate)
- 0x8be4...b795 — Outcome 24186604, $6,409 (92% win rate)
- 0xedf9...5c67 — Outcome 24186604, $5,969 (76% win rate)
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 24186604, $5,882 (71% win rate)
- 0xfd0e...9884 — Outcome 24186604, $5,263 (84% win rate)
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