What counts as an Ebola case for this Kenya market?

An active laboratory-confirmed or otherwise officially confirmed Ebola infection identified within Kenya qualifies, regardless of where exposure, symptoms, or testing occurred.

When does the Kenya Ebola prediction market resolve?

The case-reporting window ends December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

What are the current Polymarket odds for an Ebola case in Kenya?

The odds are not included in the market metadata provided here. Check the live market page for the latest Yes and No prices.

What does the smart-money activity show?

PolySpotter tracks $2,085 in smart money and one signal. The recent alert reports a profitable veteran adding to Yes in a thin market.

Part of: Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?

This Polymarket market resolves Yes if an active, confirmed Ebola infection is identified within Kenya between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise, it resolves No. Live odds are not included in the supplied market data. PolySpotter tracks $2,085 in smart money, with one signal noting a veteran trader adding to Yes in a thin market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,085.

Categories: Ebola, Culture, Weather, Pandemics, Hantavirus

Notable Trades

Profitable veteran adding to thin-market Yes

A highly active, profitable trader added a substantial Yes position in a thin market before a sharp repricing, though the current spread and odds make copying less attractive.

A veteran with 2,916 resolved bets and $335,000 in reported profit added another $2,085 to Yes.
The market moved from the trader’s 63¢ entry to 84¢, but the 19-point spread makes a late entry riskier.

$2,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%