Part of: Grêmio FBPA vs. Mirassol FC
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,765.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Copa do Brasil
Notable Trades
Serial trader drives sharp Yes move
A serial cross-market trader made a concentrated $3,333 Yes purchase during a 266.8x volume surge that helped drive the market up 29 percentage points, though the wallet's track record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.
- A $3,333 purchase at 75¢ coincided with a 266.8x surge in market volume.
- The Yes price rose 29 percentage points to 78%, indicating strong recent buying pressure.
- This wallet has traded 189 markets across 179 events and won 73% of 921 resolved bets, but its 80¢ average winning entry suggests only modest proven edge.
$3,333 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Serial trader caught a 30-point repricing
A serial cross-market trader bought Grêmio Yes at 48¢ before an extreme volume surge and 30-point repricing to 78¢, making this a notable early-positioning trade despite limited evidence of superior long-run odds-adjusted skill.
- This trader bought Yes at 48¢, and the market has since risen to 78¢.
- Trading volume spiked to 267 times its historical average across eight trades.
- The wallet has 804 resolved bets, a 68% win rate, and $223,315 in lifetime profit.
$4,725 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Serial trader exits No bullishly
A serial cross-market trader exited No as a major volume surge drove Grêmio's Yes price sharply higher, though the trade may partly reflect position management rather than a proven edge.
- This bettor has traded 176 markets across 115 events and is up $261,000 lifetime.
- The market saw a 266.8x historical volume spike while No fell roughly 31 percentage points.
- The two No exits imply buying Yes around 75–78¢, but the wallet's 65% win rate is not clearly above its 78¢ average winning entry price.
$2,937 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
Linked cluster buying Grêmio Yes
An eight-wallet linked cluster deployed $40,359 toward Yes, including several highly profitable bettors, with entries around 48¢ before the market moved to 100%.
- Eight linked wallets committed $40,359 to Yes, with the largest buys around 45–48¢ before the price reached 100%.
- Several participants have strong records, including 72% and 88% win rates with multimillion-dollar lifetime profits.
- The No sells are economically bullish for Yes, but the market now shows 100%, so the opportunity has already passed unless Yes becomes available below the original entry range.
$40,359 on Yes
Perfect-record bettor adds to No
A proven 100% winner is adding $10.3K to an existing No position in a thin sports market, supported by serial cross-market activity and a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 17 resolved trades and is up $527,021 lifetime.
- They added $10,340 to No at 55¢ after already investing $26,310 in the same position.
- The trade dominated recent volume in a relatively quiet market, while the wallet has traded across 25 events.
$6,072 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record bettor adds to No
A proven 100% winner is adding $10.3K to an existing No position in a thin sports market, supported by serial cross-market activity and a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 17 resolved trades and is up $527,021 lifetime.
- They added $10,340 to No at 55¢ after already investing $26,310 in the same position.
- The trade dominated recent volume in a relatively quiet market, while the wallet has traded across 25 events.
$10,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x7ad7...42aa — Outcome 73889230, $40,087 (100% win rate)
- 0xbc5b...3ddc — Outcome 73889230, $4,357
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 73889230, $3,414 (58% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 73889230, $2,234
- 0x57f6...ba20 — Outcome 73889230, $1,598 (99% win rate)
- 0x8806...2e83 — Outcome 73889230, $906 (70% win rate)
- 0xafd0...ebd0 — Outcome 73889230, $563 (53% win rate)
- 0x2a0b...2500 — Outcome 73889230, $557
- 0x46cd...6b95 — Outcome 73889230, $510 (58% win rate)
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 73889230, $459
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