Part of: Grêmio FBPA vs. Mirassol FC

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,765.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Copa do Brasil

Notable Trades

Serial trader drives sharp Yes move

A serial cross-market trader made a concentrated $3,333 Yes purchase during a 266.8x volume surge that helped drive the market up 29 percentage points, though the wallet's track record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • A $3,333 purchase at 75¢ coincided with a 266.8x surge in market volume.
  • The Yes price rose 29 percentage points to 78%, indicating strong recent buying pressure.
  • This wallet has traded 189 markets across 179 events and won 73% of 921 resolved bets, but its 80¢ average winning entry suggests only modest proven edge.

$3,333 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Serial trader caught a 30-point repricing

A serial cross-market trader bought Grêmio Yes at 48¢ before an extreme volume surge and 30-point repricing to 78¢, making this a notable early-positioning trade despite limited evidence of superior long-run odds-adjusted skill.

  • This trader bought Yes at 48¢, and the market has since risen to 78¢.
  • Trading volume spiked to 267 times its historical average across eight trades.
  • The wallet has 804 resolved bets, a 68% win rate, and $223,315 in lifetime profit.

$4,725 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Serial trader exits No bullishly

A serial cross-market trader exited No as a major volume surge drove Grêmio's Yes price sharply higher, though the trade may partly reflect position management rather than a proven edge.

  • This bettor has traded 176 markets across 115 events and is up $261,000 lifetime.
  • The market saw a 266.8x historical volume spike while No fell roughly 31 percentage points.
  • The two No exits imply buying Yes around 75–78¢, but the wallet's 65% win rate is not clearly above its 78¢ average winning entry price.

$2,937 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Linked cluster buying Grêmio Yes

An eight-wallet linked cluster deployed $40,359 toward Yes, including several highly profitable bettors, with entries around 48¢ before the market moved to 100%.

  • Eight linked wallets committed $40,359 to Yes, with the largest buys around 45–48¢ before the price reached 100%.
  • Several participants have strong records, including 72% and 88% win rates with multimillion-dollar lifetime profits.
  • The No sells are economically bullish for Yes, but the market now shows 100%, so the opportunity has already passed unless Yes becomes available below the original entry range.

$40,359 on Yes

Perfect-record bettor adds to No

A proven 100% winner is adding $10.3K to an existing No position in a thin sports market, supported by serial cross-market activity and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won all 17 resolved trades and is up $527,021 lifetime.
  • They added $10,340 to No at 55¢ after already investing $26,310 in the same position.
  • The trade dominated recent volume in a relatively quiet market, while the wallet has traded across 25 events.

$6,072 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Perfect-record bettor adds to No

A proven 100% winner is adding $10.3K to an existing No position in a thin sports market, supported by serial cross-market activity and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won all 17 resolved trades and is up $527,021 lifetime.
  • They added $10,340 to No at 55¢ after already investing $26,310 in the same position.
  • The trade dominated recent volume in a relatively quiet market, while the wallet has traded across 25 events.

$10,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7ad7...42aa Outcome 73889230, $40,087 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xbc5b...3ddc Outcome 73889230, $4,357
  3. 0xdbdd...a5de Outcome 73889230, $3,414 (58% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 73889230, $2,234
  5. 0x57f6...ba20 Outcome 73889230, $1,598 (99% win rate)
  6. 0x8806...2e83 Outcome 73889230, $906 (70% win rate)
  7. 0xafd0...ebd0 Outcome 73889230, $563 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x2a0b...2500 Outcome 73889230, $557
  9. 0x46cd...6b95 Outcome 73889230, $510 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 73889230, $459

Related Theses

Ghana covers low-scoring match

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Early goal, exactly two total

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Early goal, low-scoring match

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Colombia won't win

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Brazil-Haiti exceeds four goals

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Slow start, exactly four goals

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Racing Club will not win

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Botafogo wins on May 20

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France wins on July 18

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Cristal keeps it close

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Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?

ResolvedGrêmio FBPA vs. Mirassol FC$67,765 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerCopa do Brasil

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 5, 2026 If Grêmio FBPA wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
59¢
55¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?

3d ago

$3,333 on Yes at 75¢

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?

3d ago

$4,725 on Yes at 78¢

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?

3d ago

$2,937 on Yes at 77¢

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?

2d ago

$40,359 on Yes at 48¢

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?

3d ago

$6,072 on No at 55¢

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?

3d ago

$10,340 on No at 55¢

Related Theses