Part of: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $554,067.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor caught wrong-way move

A highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet joined a large one-sided Bilibili buy wave, but the market has since collapsed from their ~65¢ entry to 4¢.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $170K lifetime.
24 wallets bought Bilibili the same way, totaling about $122K in one-sided flow.
Major caveat: Bilibili has fallen from this wallet’s ~65¢ entry to 4¢, so the market has moved hard against them.

$15,120 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor caught in big reversal

A highly profitable 92% win-rate bettor bought Bilibili Gaming amid major one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $151K lifetime.
24 wallets bought the same side, totaling $121K on Bilibili Gaming.
The entry was 52¢, but the market has since collapsed to 4¢, so this is high-risk unless the live situation changes.

$2,000 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 90%

38-wallet sharp esports surge

Massive 38-wallet BLG buy cluster includes several proven sharp bettors, but the signal is noisy because price has moved sharply against them and there is also heavy T1 flow.

38 wallets bought $232k of Bilibili Gaming, a very large coordinated move on one live esports outcome.
Several participants have strong records, including bettors winning 92–98% across 60+ resolved markets.
The signal is volatile: Bilibili has since fallen to 20¢ and another 20-wallet cluster bought T1 for $126k.

$232,200 on Bilibili Gaming

Profitable bettor joins T1 surge

High-scoring T1-side flow with 20 wallets, a large one-sided cluster, and a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor exiting Bilibili exposure.

A bettor up $325k lifetime is moving with the T1 side of this market.
20 wallets pushed the same direction, totaling $126k on T1-side exposure.
This trade effectively backed T1 at 47¢ before the market moved to 80¢.

$1,060 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp whale backing T1 cluster

A highly profitable 79% lifetime bettor is effectively buying T1 alongside 19-wallet one-sided flow and heavy event-wide positioning.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up nearly $4.0M lifetime.
They are effectively buying T1 at 35¢ while 19 wallets have put $131K on the same side.
This is part of a broader event thesis, with the wallet trading 5 related markets and $80.9K in exposure.

$1,673 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite bettor joins T1 flow

Elite 91% lifetime bettor is buying T1 alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $400K lifetime.
17 wallets are all buying T1, totaling $126K in one-sided flow.
This wallet has traded 39 related events with a 91% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$7,398 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial bettor on T1

High-conviction T1 buy from a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor, backed by 17-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 71% of 1,430 resolved bets and is up $1.13M lifetime.
17 wallets are all buying T1, totaling $126K in the same direction.
Market volume spiked 112x before the event, suggesting a strong wave of positioning.

$5,200 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 72%

97% winner joins T1 cluster

Elite 97% winning bettor joined a large 17-wallet one-sided T1 push amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 38 of 39 resolved positions and is up $25.5K lifetime.
17 wallets are all buying T1, totaling $126K in the same direction.
Market volume spiked 113x before the match, suggesting a broad rush into this side.

$1,900 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 86%

93% winner joins BLG flow

Elite 93% winner is buying Bilibili Gaming alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $69K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with 70 events tracked and a 93% hit rate.
Four wallets are all buying Bilibili Gaming, with $35K in same-side flow.

$2,350 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

82% winner joins BLG flow

Sharp esports bettor with an 82% win rate is buying Bilibili Gaming alongside one-sided flow from four wallets and a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $79K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with 118 events tracked and the same 82% win rate.
Four wallets bought Bilibili Gaming in the same direction, totaling $35K.

$2,040 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

0xf1d4...38d6 — Outcome 11003490, $81,110
0x06d9...4bd1 — Outcome 11003490, $62,000
0xd532...25ef — Outcome 11003490, $54,945 (79% win rate)
0x1341...0853 — Outcome 11003490, $47,747 (85% win rate)
0xab44...7ffe — Outcome 11003490, $40,000 (82% win rate)
0x66e5...d3c7 — Outcome 11003490, $39,694 (81% win rate)
0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 11003490, $31,824 (65% win rate)
0x9b49...04a8 — Outcome 11003490, $30,303 (77% win rate)
0x87da...53d1 — Outcome 11003490, $26,672 (77% win rate)
0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 11003490, $26,641 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$554,067 tracked14 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 4 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 4 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.