This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $118K lifetime. They have traded across 64 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet. Entry at 41¢ implies about 2.4x upside if Nongshim Red Force covers.

Part of: LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,442.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable whale backing handicap

A highly profitable high-volume wallet placed a $31k buy on Nongshim Red Force during a major pre-match volume surge in a relatively thin esports handicap market.

This bettor is up about $2.0M lifetime across $73.5M of Polymarket volume.
They put $31k on Nongshim Red Force at 42¢, more than 3x the visible market liquidity.
Market activity spiked over 500x versus its usual pace before the match.

$31,019 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 44%

Three-wallet DRX volume surge

Three wallets bought nearly $20k of Kiwoom DRX into a 228x pre-event volume spike, led by a large profitable wallet taking most of the position.

Three wallets all bought Kiwoom DRX, totaling $19.7k on the same side.
Market volume is running 228x above normal ahead of the match.
The largest buyer put in $16.9k at 60¢ and is up about $2.0M lifetime.

$19,719 on Kiwoom DRX

70% winner buying NS

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 70% resolved win rate is buying Nongshim Red Force at 41¢.

This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $118K lifetime.
They have traded across 64 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 41¢ implies about 2.4x upside if Nongshim Red Force covers.

$3,644 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 81%

86% winner backs underdog handicap

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 86% historical win rate bought Kiwoom DRX at 58¢ in a liquid LCK handicap market.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $4.6M lifetime.
They have traded across 194 events with $2.4M in similar cross-market activity.
Entry at 58¢ suggests they see Kiwoom DRX +1.5 as better than the market’s 60% current price.

$2,878 on Kiwoom DRX | Wallet win rate: 86%

93% winner buying favorite handicap

Sharp serial sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate is buying Nongshim Red Force on the handicap at 44¢.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $639K lifetime.
They have traded across 853 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting edge rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 44¢ implies they see meaningful upside versus the current market price.

$1,680 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 93%

86% serial cross-market sharp

Highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate bought Kiwoom DRX at 56¢ in a moderately quiet esports handicap market.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $4.65M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 192 events with $2.38M in detected activity.
Entry at 56¢ implies they see Kiwoom DRX as still underpriced despite a recent 4.5-point move.

$3,155 on Kiwoom DRX | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable esports sharp

Profitable esports bettor with an 86% record is taking a modest but meaningful position on a relatively quiet handicap market.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $18.8K lifetime.
They bought $1.3K of Nongshim Red Force at 46¢ in a market with only $8.1K traded today.
Entry at 46¢ implies they see value versus the current 44–46¢ order book.

$1,347 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0x6ac5...4b6e — Outcome 22438927, $45,870 (44% win rate)
0x2307...3934 — Outcome 22438927, $30,000 (54% win rate)
0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 22438927, $8,888 (81% win rate)
0xa2e4...bf9d — Outcome 22438927, $8,000 (58% win rate)
0x988d...9899 — Outcome 22438927, $3,818 (93% win rate)
0x53f2...5343 — Outcome 22438927, $3,420 (41% win rate)
0xb86f...da81 — Outcome 22438927, $2,928 (86% win rate)
0x8725...eb10 — Outcome 22438927, $2,016 (80% win rate)
0xde1d...c645 — Outcome 22438927, $1,786
0xcf38...848b — Outcome 22438927, $1,778 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$63,442 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 2 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force wins 2 or more games than Kiwoom DRX in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.