Part of: Croatia vs. Ghana
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,023,026.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp exits with No cluster
Despite this wallet partly looking like profit-taking, the alert is worth surfacing because a 98% lifetime bettor is exiting Yes while a 45-wallet linked cluster is taking the same No side into a major price move.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $157k lifetime.
- 45 wallets are on the No side for $267k, including linked wallets moving together.
- The market has surged 41 points in a day, but this sharp trader sold Yes at 90¢ instead of holding.
$1,309 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
89% winner fading favorite
Very sharp 89% win-rate wallet joined a large one-sided No cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $240k lifetime.
- 45 wallets put $266k on the same No side, with some linked funding.
- The position has moved against them from 34¢ to about 4¢, making this a contrarian long-shot follow.
$2,189 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
92% winner backing Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% long-term win rate bought Croatia Yes despite the market already moving sharply higher.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $680K lifetime.
- They have traded across 174 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Croatia Yes has already moved up 27 points in 24h, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 81¢.
$1,221 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
New repeat sports bettor
A two-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing large sports bets, already showing early profit, and bought $3.5k of Croatia Yes despite a sharp recent move higher.
- This two-day-old wallet has already made 5 flagged large bets totaling $10.6k.
- The bettor is 2-for-2 on resolved markets and up $1.6k so far.
- They bought Croatia at 82¢ after the market moved up 25 points in a day, signaling continued conviction.
$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
80% winner re-enters Yes
Sharp sports wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and positive P&L is re-entering Croatia Yes despite weak standalone signal strength.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $4.3k lifetime.
- They bought Croatia Yes at 83¢ after previously closing a similar Yes position.
- The market has moved strongly toward Yes, up 25 points in the past day.
$4,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
92% winner backing Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% long-term win rate bought Croatia Yes despite the market already moving sharply higher.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $680K lifetime.
- They have traded across 174 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Croatia Yes has already moved up 27 points in 24h, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 81¢.
$1,221 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable No-side cluster
A profitable serial cross-market trader and 7-wallet cluster are taking the No side, though the market has moved sharply toward Yes.
- This bettor is up $185k lifetime across 389 resolved trades.
- Seven wallets have all taken the No side, totaling about $23k in the same direction.
- The market has moved hard toward Yes, so this is a contrarian No position against recent momentum.
$3,994 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
7-wallet No cluster
Seven wallets bought Croatia No in the same window, creating a notable coordinated-flow signal, though the position has moved sharply against them since entry.
- Seven wallets all backed the same No outcome, totaling about $23k in coordinated flow.
- This wallet has a long betting history and is up about $208k lifetime despite only winning 54% of resolved bets.
- The trade is risky: they entered No at 49¢, but the market has since moved to about 20¢.
$6,485 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
82% winner joins Yes cluster
Sharp 82% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Croatia Yes alongside 8-wallet same-direction flow.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $69,886 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 214 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/event edge.
- 8 wallets are all buying the same side, adding $37,629 of Yes demand.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor joins 8-wallet Yes flow
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 84% record is buying Croatia Yes alongside one-sided flow from 8 wallets.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $79k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events with the same 84% win record.
- Eight wallets are all buying Yes, totaling $37.6k in one-sided flow.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x3496...8fc4 — Outcome 69263580, $2,052,828 (68% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 69263580, $1,050,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 69263580, $975,338 (62% win rate)
- 0xd44f...7842 — Outcome 69263580, $748,228
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 69263580, $713,513
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 69263580, $389,446 (97% win rate)
- 0x9ee8...89de — Outcome 69263580, $326,894 (74% win rate)
- 0x8b5a...00f2 — Outcome 69263580, $250,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 69263580, $230,180 (87% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Outcome 69263580, $182,246 (45% win rate)
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