Part of: Austria vs. Jordan
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $196,881.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
87% winner fading draw
Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved win rate sold Yes, equivalent to backing No at 65¢, despite heavy draw-side momentum.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $1,374 on 23 tracked positions.
- They are effectively backing No at 65¢ while the draw price has surged 21 points in the last day.
- The market is seeing a 21.6x volume spike, so this is a sharp bettor taking the other side of a major move.
$1,725 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
$1.1M-profit sports regular
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with $1.13M lifetime P&L is buying No on a draw market amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $1.13M across more than 11,000 resolved bets.
- They have traded across 139 events, showing a long-running sports betting pattern.
- Buying No at 88¢ aligns with heavy pre-game volume and the draw price falling over the past day.
$1,047 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
16-wallet draw cluster
A large 16-wallet cluster is taking the draw side, with several serial cross-market sports bettors involved despite the market moving sharply against earlier entries.
- 16 wallets put $68K on the draw side, a large coordinated move for one outcome.
- Several involved wallets are seasoned sports traders, including serial cross-market bettors with 84% win records.
- Current draw odds are 12%, far below many earlier cluster entries near 43–50¢.
$68,396 on Yes
Sharp wallet leads draw cluster
Strong one-sided draw buying led by a profitable 11-for-11 wallet, with 7 wallets putting $75.7k into Yes amid a 27x volume spike and major price move.
- A bettor who is 11-for-11 and up $644k lifetime bought $50k of Yes at 38¢.
- Seven wallets put $75.7k on the same side, pushing Yes up about 30 percentage points.
- Volume is 27x normal and the current 44¢ price is still near the cluster’s entry range.
$75,713 on Yes
New whale repeat bettor
A 3-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profit bought $50k of the draw at 20¢ shortly before kickoff/resolution.
- This 3-day-old bettor has already placed $232k in flagged large bets and is up about $108k so far.
- They put $50k on the draw at 20¢, a concentrated bet on a relatively unlikely outcome.
- The market is near game time, so this looks like a fresh high-conviction position rather than passive long-term exposure.
$50,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 62927402, $479,558
- 0x408f...b2f4 — Outcome 10941081, $133,177 (100% win rate)
- 0x8b2c...d7e6 — Outcome 10941081, $27,500 (97% win rate)
- 0x8227...013d — Outcome 10941081, $21,551 (73% win rate)
- 0x209b...5706 — Outcome 10941081, $18,554 (92% win rate)
- 0xb1bf...f74b — Outcome 10941081, $17,500 (46% win rate)
- 0x52bf...3e9f — Outcome 10941081, $14,420
- 0xda19...c13b — Outcome 10941081, $13,333
- 0x3da4...367e — Outcome 10941081, $12,846 (81% win rate)
- 0x8b9a...5f69 — Outcome 10941081, $11,047
