Part of: UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $901,300.
Categories: Games, Sports, UFC
Notable Trades
Whale scaling into favorite
A $333,000 add-on to an existing position at 65¢ preceded a 24.5-point price surge and a 434x volume spike, despite the wallet's mediocre long-term record.
- This trader added $333,000 at 65¢ to an existing $615,000 position, showing substantial conviction.
- The purchase coincided with a 434x historical volume spike and a 24.5-point move, with Dern now priced at 93¢.
- The wallet is not a proven sharp bettor, posting a 59% win rate and lifetime losses exceeding $1.1 million.
$27,377 on Mackenzie Dern | Wallet win rate: 60%
Whale scaling into favorite
A $333,000 add-on to an existing position at 65¢ preceded a 24.5-point price surge and a 434x volume spike, despite the wallet's mediocre long-term record.
- This trader added $333,000 at 65¢ to an existing $615,000 position, showing substantial conviction.
- The purchase coincided with a 434x historical volume spike and a 24.5-point move, with Dern now priced at 93¢.
- The wallet is not a proven sharp bettor, posting a 59% win rate and lifetime losses exceeding $1.1 million.
$333,490 on Mackenzie Dern | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp bettor doubles down on Dern
A proven 92% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding $3,300 to an existing Mackenzie Dern position in a relatively thin market.
- This bettor has won 92% of 24 resolved positions and is up $30,230 lifetime.
- The $3,300 purchase represents 688% of the market's reported 24-hour volume.
- They are adding to a $10,500 Dern position despite the market sitting slightly below their 67¢ average entry.
$7,875 on Mackenzie Dern | Wallet win rate: 92%
17-wallet Dern conviction cluster
A $505,851 coordinated buy by 17 wallets coincided with a 24-point price surge, including a highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge.
- 17 wallets committed $505,851 to Mackenzie Dern, creating unusually strong one-sided conviction.
- One participant wins 96% of 297 resolved bets, is up $981,605, and typically beats market-implied odds by a wide margin.
- The position entered at 65¢ before Dern surged to about 88%, alongside a 633x volume spike and 24-point price increase.
$505,851 on Mackenzie Dern
Proven sharp adds to Dern
A highly experienced bettor with 10,526 resolved trades, an 81% win rate, and substantial proven edge is adding to an existing Mackenzie Dern position at 64¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of 10,526 resolved trades and is up $619,558 lifetime.
- The 64¢ buy adds to an existing $4,923 Dern position, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The bettor’s average winning entry is 57%, yet this trade pays 64%, making the proven track record the strongest reason to follow.
$1,050 on Mackenzie Dern | Wallet win rate: 81%
89% winner backs the underdog
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $11.7K bet on the 36% underdog amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 89% of 259 resolved positions and is up $16.25 million.
- They made a fresh $11,664 bet on Gillian Robertson at 36%, opposing the market’s 64% favorite.
- Trading across 51 markets and 39 events, this wallet’s underdog position coincides with a 195.7x volume spike.
$11,664 on Gillian Robertson | Wallet win rate: 87%
Elite serial bettor backs Dern
A highly profitable serial bettor with 1,864 resolved positions and an exceptional 89% win rate placed a fresh $10.7K bet on Mackenzie Dern.
- This bettor has won 89% of 1,864 resolved positions and earned $3.1 million in profit.
- The $10,691 bet represents 59% of 24-hour market volume, showing substantial conviction despite the market's reasonable liquidity.
- The entry at 64¢ is close to the current 64% odds, with a copy ceiling of 74¢.
$10,691 on Mackenzie Dern | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp bettor doubles down on Dern
A proven 92% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding $3,300 to an existing Mackenzie Dern position in a relatively thin market.
- This bettor has won 92% of 24 resolved positions and is up $30,230 lifetime.
- The $3,300 purchase represents 688% of the market's reported 24-hour volume.
- They are adding to a $10,500 Dern position despite the market sitting slightly below their 67¢ average entry.
$3,300 on Mackenzie Dern | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x8f8c...e275 — Outcome 53305694, $30,907 (83% win rate)
- 0x8b32...5950 — Outcome 53305694, $30,600 (44% win rate)
- 0xcf3c...e7cb — Outcome 53305694, $29,141 (57% win rate)
- 0x163e...dc5b — Outcome 53305694, $12,950 (94% win rate)
- 0x38fb...d07c — Outcome 53305694, $11,429 (29% win rate)
- 0x97b5...0443 — Outcome 53305694, $8,547
- 0xbcd2...43f3 — Outcome 53305694, $6,778 (85% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 53305694, $6,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xe2ba...1883 — Outcome 53305694, $5,117 (78% win rate)
- 0xe542...0a37 — Outcome 53305694, $3,900 (63% win rate)
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