Part of: Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakova
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakova
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $125,759.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Large buy on Siniakova from a highly profitable serial sports trader with 16k resolved bets and $16.2M lifetime profit.
- This bettor has 16,368 resolved bets and is up $16.2M lifetime.
- They win 64% of resolved trades across more than 3,000 markets.
- Entry at 62¢ implies they see Siniakova as meaningfully undervalued.
$7,085 on Katerina Siniakova | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp tennis bettor exits underdog
Sharp 82% lifetime winner exited Katerina at 44¢ during a volume spike, effectively backing Samsonova at 56¢ before the market moved to 64¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $38,393 lifetime.
- They have traded 43 sports events with an 82% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Selling Katerina at 44¢ effectively backed Samsonova at 56¢, ahead of a move to 64¢.
$1,232 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 82%
Elite sports sharp buying
Surfacing because a highly proven sports bettor with a 452-2 resolved record bought Samsonova, with corroborating cross-market history, volume spike, and quick price move.
- This bettor has won 452 of 454 resolved trades and is up about $278K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 361 events with nearly $991K wagered and a perfect tracked record.
- Samsonova moved from 63¢ to 67¢ after the buy, alongside a 20x pre-event volume spike.
$1,071 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable wallet in 7-wallet flow
High-score tennis alert with a profitable 20-hour-old wallet joining 7-wallet same-side flow into Katerina Siniakova amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- A 20-hour-old wallet with $2,036 profit already bought Katerina Siniakova at 42¢.
- 7 wallets have all backed the same side, totaling $11,530 on Katerina.
- Trading volume is running 43.9x above normal before the match, suggesting fresh conviction around this line.
$1,593 on Katerina Siniakova | Wallet win rate: 58%
Sharp 7-wallet Siniakova cluster
Seven wallets are collectively backing Katerina Siniakova, including a highly profitable bettor with 452 wins in 454 resolved markets and a major pre-event volume spike.
- One bettor in this move has won 452 of 454 resolved bets and is up $278k lifetime.
- Seven wallets backed the same side for $11.5k, combining direct Siniakova buys with equivalent Samsonova sells.
- The market saw a 42x volume spike, and early Siniakova entries at 32¢ are already trading around 40¢.
$8,269 on Katerina Siniakova
Serial sports trader on move
Surfacing due to a high composite score from a serial sports trader plus a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price move, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has traded 75 markets across 62 events and wins 68% of resolved bets.
- The market saw a 46.8x volume spike, suggesting a rush of money before the match.
- They bought at 32¢ before the price moved to 49¢, so the original edge has partly disappeared.
$1,594 on Katerina Siniakova | Wallet win rate: 72%
77% serial sports winner
Proven 77% winner with positive lifetime P&L bought Samsonova before a sharp move from 73¢ to 88¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $55k lifetime.
- They have traded across 154 events with $304k deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Their 73¢ entry was followed by a move to 88¢ on a 35x volume spike.
$4,500 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 83%
77% serial sports winner
Proven 77% winner with positive lifetime P&L bought Samsonova before a sharp move from 73¢ to 88¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $55k lifetime.
- They have traded across 154 events with $304k deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Their 73¢ entry was followed by a move to 88¢ on a 35x volume spike.
$3,650 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable bettor caught move
A highly profitable, repeat-flagged sports bettor bought $10.9k of Samsonova before a sharp odds move from the mid-60s to 88%.
- This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across a very large betting history.
- They bought $10.9k of Samsonova around 66¢ before the market jumped to 88¢.
- The market saw a 35x volume spike and an 18-point price move in the same direction.
$10,897 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Large buy on Siniakova from a highly profitable serial sports trader with 16k resolved bets and $16.2M lifetime profit.
- This bettor has 16,368 resolved bets and is up $16.2M lifetime.
- They win 64% of resolved trades across more than 3,000 markets.
- Entry at 62¢ implies they see Siniakova as meaningfully undervalued.
$2,860 on Katerina Siniakova | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xb6c3...600f — Outcome 10668374, $20,514 (52% win rate)
- 0xf94f...9ada — Outcome 10668374, $4,981 (72% win rate)
- 0x4064...5f1e — Outcome 10668374, $4,110 (86% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 10668374, $3,000 (46% win rate)
- 0xf7e3...22cb — Outcome 10668374, $2,119 (92% win rate)
- 0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 10668374, $1,935 (94% win rate)
- 0xda5f...2e9b — Outcome 10668374, $1,565 (52% win rate)
- 0x998f...75d1 — Outcome 10668374, $1,400 (63% win rate)
- 0xba31...836d — Outcome 10668374, $1,290
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 10668374, $1,214 (69% win rate)
Related Theses
Türkiye avoids defeat
Covers 3 related markets
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
